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Mika Pinto
Leça FC
AD Fafe
Leça FC
4-3-3 · 4-3-3
AD Fafe
Commentary
90'
Full-time. Leça FC 0-3 AD Fafe.
90'
3 minutes of added time.
46'
The second half is under way.
45'
Half-time. Leça FC 0-1 AD Fafe.
45'
1 minute of added time.
41'
Attempt blocked. B. Mesquita (Leça FC), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.22.
1'
Kick-off: Leça FC vs AD Fafe.
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
1480 EUR · live
Away
1.01 · implied 99.0%
87.2%
-11.8 vs price
Home
490.0 · implied 0.2%
9.0%
+8.8 vs price
Draw
85.0 · implied 1.2%
7.5%
+6.3 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
704 EUR · live
Under
1.68 · implied 59.5%
82.9%
+23.3 vs price
Over
2.48 · implied 40.3%
16.9%
-23.4 vs price
9 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Match events
8'
⚽
T. Veiga · assist M. Correia0–1
40'
K. E. Asamoah
Half-time · 0–1
52'
L. Teixeira
54'
⚽
M. Correia · assist Picas0–2
56'
⚽
Picas · assist D. Carvalho0–3
59'
🔁
P. Pereira ◂ J. Batista
59'
🔁
M. Biai ◂ K. E. Asamoah
61'
🔁
M. Fortes ◂ R. Ferreira
61'
🔁
D. Rebelo ◂ B. Mesquita
64'
P. Pereira
67'
M. Fortes
70'
🔁
P. Otumba ◂ D. Carvalho
70'
🔁
D. Gama ◂ D. Carvalho
73'
🔁
E. Jurjonas ◂ S. Sousa
76'
🔁
Benny ◂ O. Ribeiro
82'
🔁
M. Miranda ◂ D. Rebelo
82'
🔁
T. Augusto ◂ D. Pereira
Full-time · 0–3
Coaches
Mário Ferreira 
Recent form
WAUSC Paredes2-1
LAVitória SC B0-2
DHSC São João Ver1-1
DHLusitânia Lourosa0-0
LASanta Clara0-4
WAPaços de Ferreira1-0
DHVitória SC B1-1
WASC São João Ver3-1
DHSC Vianense0-0
WHSC Maria da Fonte2-0
Where to watch
Canal 11
Match facts
Kickoff
06 Sep, 10:00 UTC
Competition
Liga 3
Highlights & clips
1
M. Paiva
66
E. Jurjonas
↑ 73'
4
F. Baldé
41
C. Scheid
23
D. Ribeiro
31
D. Rebelo
↑ 61'
18
M. Miranda
↑ 82'
21
C. Avelino
10
N. Reis
7
D. Fernandes
9
M. Fortes
↑ 61'
1
P. Kudakovskiy
28
Benny
↑ 76'
4
P. Pereira
↑ 59'
4
L. Teixeira
6
N. Sequeira
8
D. Gama
↑ 70'
90
P. Otumba
↑ 70'
13
T. Veiga
⚽1
98
M. Biai
↑ 59'
9
M. Correia
⚽1
11
Picas
⚽1
Substitutes
16DS. Sousa↓ 73'
14DD. Maneta
20MR. Ferreira↓ 61'
33MD. Pereira↓ 82'
88MT. Augusto ↑ 82'
11FB. Mesquita↓ 61'
Coach: Mika Pinto
Substitutes
12GL. Ferreira
26DJ. Batista↓ 59'
88DK. E. Asamoah↓ 59'
2DO. Ribeiro↓ 76'
15DBreno
10MD. Carvalho↓ 70'
20MD. Carvalho↓ 70'
66FS. Silva
99FR. Martins
Coach: Mário Ferreira
Top stats
46%Possession54%
1.38Expected goals (xG)1.84
6Shots on target6
3Corners0
Shots
6Shots off target5
Attack
3Offsides1
16Free kicks13
Passing
20Throw-ins17
Discipline
9Fouls15
0Yellow cards3
1Red cards0
Goalkeeping
6Goal kicks8
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 21 bookmakers
Who winsAD Fafe to win (DNB) 54% · 1.80 @ 10bet
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 58% · 1.11 @ 1xBet
1X2AD Fafe to win 39% · 2.80 @ William Hill
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 77% · 1.22 @ Unibet
1X2Draw 29% · 2.24 @ 1xBet
BTTSBTTS: No 51% · 1.22 @ 1xBet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 67% · 2.34 @ 1xBet
1X2Leça to win 32% · 3.36 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.85
Leça FC
3.10
Draw
2.30
AD Fafe
Double Chanceconsensus
1.48
Leça FC or Draw
1.27
Leça FC or AD Fafe
1.34
Draw or AD Fafe
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.80
Yes
1.85
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.05
Over 0.50
7.29
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.35
Over 1.50
2.80
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.20
Over 2.50
1.61
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.77
Over 3.50
1.19
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
8.50
Over 4.50
1.06
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.93
Leça FC
1.78
AD Fafe
1X2 (1st Half)consensus
3.52
Leça FC
2.05
Draw
3.04
AD Fafe
1X2 (2nd Half)consensus
3.33
Leça FC
2.22
Draw
2.76
AD Fafe
Both Teams to Score (1st Half)consensus
5.05
Yes
1.12
No
Both Teams to Score (2nd Half)consensus
3.66
Yes
1.22
No
Total Goals (1st Half) 0.50consensus
1.40
Over 0.50
2.55
Under 0.50
Total Goals (1st Half) 1.50consensus
3.02
Over 1.50
1.32
Under 1.50
Total Goals (1st Half) 2.50consensus
8.20
Over 2.50
1.06
Under 2.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.6%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.6%.
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