Atletico CP 3-1 UD Oliveirense: Stats, xG & Lineups

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Atletico CP 3-1 UD Oliveirense.

90+3'

Unknown

Red card! Unknown (UD Oliveirense) is sent off.

90+3'

Unknown

Goal! Atletico CP 3-1 UD Oliveirense. Unknown (Atletico CP) converts the penalty.

87'

Unknown

Yellow card for Unknown (UD Oliveirense).

87'

Unknown

Yellow card for Unknown (Atletico CP).

86'

Unknown

Yellow card for Unknown (UD Oliveirense).

85'

R. Rei

Substitution, UD Oliveirense: J. Felix comes on for R. Rei.

83'

A. Calegari

Attempt saved. A. Calegari (Atletico CP), header from a throw-in. xG 0.05.

82'

H. Suker

Substitution, Atletico CP: G. Costa comes on for H. Suker.

80'

J. Daniel

Attempt blocked. J. Daniel (UD Oliveirense), right-footed shot. xG 0.00.

73'

P. Ramos

Attempt blocked. P. Ramos (Atletico CP), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

73'

N. Souza

Attempt missed. N. Souza (Atletico CP), header from a corner. xG 0.11.

73'

J. Tavares

Substitution, UD Oliveirense: K. Félix comes on for J. Tavares.

67'

C. Sousa

Substitution, Atletico CP: N. Souza comes on for C. Sousa.

65'

P. Ramos

Attempt saved. P. Ramos (Atletico CP), left-footed shot. xG 0.08.

65'

Unknown

Yellow card for Unknown (Atletico CP).

61'

H. Suker

Attempt missed. H. Suker (Atletico CP), right-footed shot. xG 0.06.

59'

Y. Rodríguez

Goal! Atletico CP 2-1 UD Oliveirense. Y. Rodríguez (UD Oliveirense) scores, assisted by J. Sérgio.

46'

R. Rei

Attempt saved. R. Rei (UD Oliveirense), left-footed shot. xG 0.09.

46'

L. Bastos

Substitution, UD Oliveirense: T. Fonseca comes on for L. Bastos.

46'

S. Traoré

Substitution, Atletico CP: P. Ramos comes on for S. Traoré.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Atletico CP 2-0 UD Oliveirense.

44'

M. Konate

Goal! Atletico CP 2-0 UD Oliveirense. M. Konate (Atletico CP) scores, assisted by Caleb.

43'

E. Monteiro

Attempt missed. E. Monteiro (Atletico CP), header from a corner. xG 0.22.

42'

V. Durand

Attempt saved. V. Durand (Atletico CP), header. xG 0.27.

38'

M. Konate

Attempt missed. M. Konate (Atletico CP), right-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.14.

37'

S. Traoré

Attempt saved. S. Traoré (Atletico CP), right-footed shot. xG 0.05.

35'

M. Konate

Attempt saved. M. Konate (Atletico CP), right-footed shot. xG 0.05.

28'

Janico

Attempt saved. Janico (Atletico CP), header from a corner. xG 0.23.

28'

S. Traoré

Yellow card for S. Traoré (Atletico CP).

25'

S. Traoré

Attempt blocked. S. Traoré (Atletico CP), right-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.00.

23'

A. Calegari

Attempt saved. A. Calegari (Atletico CP), header from a throw-in. xG 0.05.

20'

Caleb

Goal! Atletico CP 1-0 UD Oliveirense. Caleb (Atletico CP) scores.

17'

H. Suker

Attempt blocked. H. Suker (Atletico CP), left-footed shot. xG 0.24.

16'

G. Silva

Attempt saved. G. Silva (UD Oliveirense), header from a corner. xG 0.07.

11'

A. Calegari

Attempt missed. A. Calegari (Atletico CP), header. xG 0.04.

5'

S. Traoré

Attempt missed. S. Traoré (Atletico CP), right-footed shot. xG 0.00.

1'

Kick-off: Atletico CP vs UD Oliveirense.

Where the money is

9007 EUR matched · captured 1 month, 2 weeks ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 3783 EUR · live

Home 1.01 · implied 99.0%

93.8%

-5.2 vs price

Away 90.0 · implied 1.1%

4.3%

+3.2 vs price

Draw 8.6 · implied 11.6%

2.0%

-9.6 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 989 EUR · live

Over 1.46 · implied 68.5%

62.2%

-6.3 vs price

Under 3.05 · implied 32.8%

37.7%

+4.9 vs price

8 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 1 clip

Match events

20' ⚽ Caleb1–0

28' S. Traoré

44' ⚽ M. Konate · assist Caleb2–0

Half-time · 2–0

46' 🔁 P. Ramos ◂ S. Traoré

46' 🔁 T. Fonseca ◂ L. Bastos

59' ⚽ Y. Rodríguez · assist J. Sérgio2–1

65' Unknown

67' 🔁 N. Souza ◂ C. Sousa

73' 🔁 K. Félix ◂ J. Tavares

82' 🔁 G. Costa ◂ H. Suker

85' 🔁 J. Felix ◂ R. Rei

86' Unknown

87' Unknown

Full-time · 3–1

90'⁺³ Unknown

90'⁺³ ⚽ Unknown (pen)3–1

Coaches

Pedro Macedo Basto D'Oliveira

Recent form

Atletico CP

WACO Montijo4-0

WASC Covilhã3-0

DHCD Mafra1-1

WALusitano Ginásio Clube1-0

LHSL Benfica B0-1

UD Oliveirense

WHSC Penalva do Castelo4-0

WHGD Vitória Sernache3-2

DAUD Santarém1-1

DHLouletano DC0-0

LHFelgueiras1-5

About this match

**Atletico CP are the flashier outfit on paper, but Oliveirense's head-to-head record is genuinely spooky** — they've won 6 of the last 10 meetings. This could be a trap game. 🔴

Atletico CP are rolling with three straight wins and a brutal goal difference (4-0, 3-0 wins), while Oliveirense have steadied the ship after a mixed run, posting back-to-back wins themselves. Both look sharp going forward, which means this could turn into a shootout.

Key storylines:

- **Atletico CP's attack** has been clinical on the road; **Caleb** and **H. Suker** will fancy their chances against a Oliveirense defence that's been leaky at times
- **Oliveirense's historical edge** in the head-to-head is undeniable — they've stolen this fixture repeatedly
- Midfield battle between **B. Lourenço** and **R. Dias** for Atletico versus **J. Daniel** and **G. Loureiro** could define tempo

Expected lineups:

- **Atletico CP**: N. Hidalgo, V. Durand, E. Monteiro, Janico, D. Henriques, B. Lourenço, R. Dias, C. Sousa, Caleb, C. Santana, H. Suker
- **UD Oliveirense**: R. Ribeiro, L. Bastos, V. Santos, S. Martins, G. Loureiro, J. Daniel, V. Braga, J. Tavares, K. Onohara, K. Félix, Y. Rodríguez

Prediction:

**Atletico CP 2–1 UD Oliveirense** — Form and firepower edge it, but don't sleep on Oliveirense's needle here. 📊

Match facts

Kickoff

06 Sep, 15:00 UTC

Competition

Liga 3

Highlights & clips

Atletico CP 4-3-3 · 4-3-3 UD Oliveirense

22 N. Hidalgo 2 Janico 30 E. Monteiro 33 A. Calegari 5 V. Durand 17 B. Lourenço 28 M. Konate ⚽1 10 Caleb ⚽1 47 P. Ramos ↑ 46' 6 G. Costa ↑ 82' 9 N. Souza ↑ 67' 1 R. Dabo 95 T. Fonseca ↑ 46' 3 G. Silva 14 S. Martins 13 V. Santos 8 V. Braga 6 J. Daniel 23 J. Sérgio 4 J. Felix ↑ 85' 7 Y. Rodríguez ⚽1 70 K. Félix ↑ 73'

Substitutes

99GR. Dias 4DD. Henriques 45DR. Tavares 8MC. Sousa↓ 67' 19FS. Traoré↓ 46' 11FH. Suker↓ 82' 7FS. Hernández 23D. Arezes 14E. Oliveira

Coach: Pedro Macedo Basto D'Oliveira

Substitutes

99GS. Dutra 55DL. Bastos↓ 46' 24DG. Loureiro 22MR. Rei↓ 85' 80MK. Onohara 16MR. Pinho 10FJ. Tavares↓ 73' 27FM. Monteiro 78D. Sancho

Top stats

59%Possession41%

2.77Expected goals (xG)0.53

13Shots on target3

9Corners2

Shots

7Shots off target2

Attack

2Offsides0

14Free kicks12

Passing

20Throw-ins20

Discipline

10Fouls13

3Yellow cards3

0Red cards1

Goalkeeping

4Goal kicks10

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 19 bookmakers

Atletico 46%

28%

Oliveirense 26%

Who winsAtletico to win (DNB) 77% · 1.45 @ Unibet

CornersOver 9.5 corners 53%

CornersOver 8.5 corners 65%

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 78%

GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 54% · 1.75 @ Bet365

1X2Draw 28% · 2.10 @ Bet365

1X2Atletico to win 46% · 2.60 @ Bet365

BTTSBoth teams to score 51% · 1.85 @ Betway

1X2Oliveirense to win 26% · 4.00 @ Bet365

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 70%

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 58%

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

1.94

Atletico CP

3.24

Draw

3.50

UD Oliveirense

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.80

Yes

1.85

No

Total Goals 2.50consensus

2.05

Over 2.50

1.75

Under 2.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.43

Atletico CP

2.61

UD Oliveirense

1X2 (1st Half)consensus

2.60

Atletico CP

2.10

Draw

4.00

UD Oliveirense

Full odds via API →

No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.6%.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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