GD Vitória Sernache 1-3 C.F. Os Belenenses: Stats

Commentary

90'

Full-time. GD Vitória Sernache 1-3 C.F. Os Belenenses.

90+5'

L. Daniel

Attempt saved. L. Daniel (GD Vitória Sernache), right-footed shot. xG 0.16.

90+5'

J. Muriel

Yellow card for J. Muriel (GD Vitória Sernache).

90+5'

D. Ferreira

Yellow card for D. Ferreira (C.F. Os Belenenses).

90+1'

M. Alves

Attempt saved. M. Alves (GD Vitória Sernache), header from a set piece. xG 0.11.

90+1'

T. Moninhas

Yellow card for T. Moninhas (C.F. Os Belenenses).

88'

D. Leitão

Attempt saved. D. Leitão (C.F. Os Belenenses), left-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.37.

88'

A. Pinto

Attempt blocked. A. Pinto (C.F. Os Belenenses), left-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.49.

88'

M. Bandarra

Attempt saved. M. Bandarra (C.F. Os Belenenses), right-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.17.

88'

J. Oliveira

Goal! GD Vitória Sernache 1-3 C.F. Os Belenenses. J. Oliveira (C.F. Os Belenenses) scores.

87'

D. Tavares

Yellow card for D. Tavares (GD Vitória Sernache).

81'

N. Tomás

Attempt saved. N. Tomás (C.F. Os Belenenses), left-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.00.

81'

Paulinho

Substitution, GD Vitória Sernache: J. Muriel comes on for Paulinho.

80'

Paulinho

Yellow card for Paulinho (GD Vitória Sernache).

79'

E. Moura

Substitution, GD Vitória Sernache: H. Silva comes on for E. Moura.

78'

T. Moninhas

Attempt missed. T. Moninhas (C.F. Os Belenenses), header from a throw-in. xG 0.17.

78'

Dudu

Substitution, GD Vitória Sernache: H. Graca comes on for Dudu.

76'

E. Barros

Off the woodwork! E. Barros (C.F. Os Belenenses), header. xG 0.04.

76'

A. D. Patricio

Substitution, GD Vitória Sernache: R. Embaló comes on for A. D. Patricio.

74'

C. Alfandega

Substitution, C.F. Os Belenenses: J. Oliveira comes on for C. Alfandega.

74'

Bruninho

Substitution, C.F. Os Belenenses: T. Moninhas comes on for Bruninho.

69'

Bruninho

Goal! GD Vitória Sernache 1-2 C.F. Os Belenenses. Bruninho (C.F. Os Belenenses) scores.

67'

D. Ferreira

Attempt saved. D. Ferreira (C.F. Os Belenenses), left-footed shot. xG 0.14.

67'

G. O. Barge

Substitution, GD Vitória Sernache: L. Daniel comes on for G. O. Barge.

66'

M. Bandarra

Yellow card for M. Bandarra (C.F. Os Belenenses).

64'

A. Afonso

Substitution, C.F. Os Belenenses: D. Ferreira comes on for A. Afonso.

62'

César

Yellow card for César (C.F. Os Belenenses).

59'

G. O. Barge

Attempt missed. G. O. Barge (GD Vitória Sernache), left-footed shot. xG 0.01.

57'

Bruninho

Attempt missed. Bruninho (C.F. Os Belenenses), right-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.02.

55'

A. Dias

Goal! GD Vitória Sernache 1-1 C.F. Os Belenenses. A. Dias (GD Vitória Sernache) scores, assisted by Dudu.

49'

A. Afonso

Attempt missed. A. Afonso (C.F. Os Belenenses), right-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.00.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. GD Vitória Sernache 0-1 C.F. Os Belenenses.

43'

N. Tomás

Goal! GD Vitória Sernache 0-1 C.F. Os Belenenses. N. Tomás (C.F. Os Belenenses) scores, assisted by J. Lucas.

38'

César

Attempt missed. César (C.F. Os Belenenses), header from a corner. xG 0.17.

38'

T. Morgado

Attempt saved. T. Morgado (C.F. Os Belenenses), right-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.07.

30'

P. A. C. T. Carvalho

Attempt blocked. P. A. C. T. Carvalho (GD Vitória Sernache), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.00.

24'

Bruninho

Attempt saved. Bruninho (C.F. Os Belenenses), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

22'

D. Leitão

Attempt blocked. D. Leitão (C.F. Os Belenenses), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

10'

Dudu

Attempt blocked. Dudu (GD Vitória Sernache), left-footed shot. xG 0.01.

5'

C. Alfandega

Attempt missed. C. Alfandega (C.F. Os Belenenses), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.32.

1'

Kick-off: GD Vitória Sernache vs C.F. Os Belenenses.

Where the money is

6526 EUR matched · captured 1 month, 2 weeks ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 4509 EUR · live

Away 1.01 · implied 99.0%

91.4%

-7.6 vs price

Draw 950.0 · implied 0.1%

6.2%

+6.1 vs price

Home 950.0 · implied 0.1%

2.4%

+2.3 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 499 EUR · live

Over 1.87 · implied 53.5%

60.6%

+7.1 vs price

Under 2.16 · implied 46.3%

39.1%

-7.2 vs price

5 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 1 clip

Match events

43' ⚽ N. Tomás · assist J. Lucas0–1

Half-time · 0–1

55' ⚽ A. Dias · assist Dudu1–1

62' César

64' 🔁 D. Ferreira ◂ A. Afonso

66' M. Bandarra

67' 🔁 L. Daniel ◂ G. O. Barge

69' ⚽ Bruninho1–2

74' 🔁 T. Moninhas ◂ Bruninho

74' 🔁 J. Oliveira ◂ C. Alfandega

76' 🔁 R. Embaló ◂ A. D. Patricio

78' 🔁 H. Graca ◂ Dudu

79' 🔁 H. Silva ◂ E. Moura

80' Paulinho

81' 🔁 J. Muriel ◂ Paulinho

87' D. Tavares

88' ⚽ J. Oliveira1–3

Full-time · 1–3

90'⁺¹ T. Moninhas

90'⁺⁵ D. Ferreira

90'⁺⁵ J. Muriel

Coaches

Natan Costa

Gonçalo Jardim Brandão

Recent form

GD Vitória Sernache

WAGd Nazarenos3-0

LAUD Oliveirense2-3

DHSC Covilhã0-0

LACD Mafra0-5

LHPortimonense SAD1-2

C.F. Os Belenenses

WALusitano Ginásio Clube2-1

WHUD Santarém5-0

WALouletano DC3-1

WHCaldas SC1-0

DAEstoril Praia1-1

About this match

**Belenenses rolling in on a hot streak** — Vitória Sernache are struggling, and this could get messy fast. 🔥

Sernache sit 1W-1D-3L and just got walloped 0-0 at home. Meanwhile, Belenenses are 4W-1D-0L with a five-goal demolition of UD Santarém last time out. Form gap is *chef's kiss* wide.

Key storylines:

- **C.F. Os Belenenses** need to keep the momentum train rolling and avoid any slip-up against a side that's clearly stuck in neutral
- **Sernache's leaky defense** will face **Belenenses' attacking firepower** — E. Barros and C. Alfandega have been clinical all season
- **G. O. Barge** and **B. Henrique** are Sernache's best hope to nick something on the counter, but it's a long shot

Expected lineups:

- **GD Vitória Sernache**: N. Haymamba, D. Tavares, Dudu, M. Alves, T. Marques, E. Moura, R. Embaló, H. Silva, B. Henrique, A. Dias, G. O. Barge
- **C.F. Os Belenenses**: G. Oliveira, J. Lucas, N. Tomás, A. Pinto, M. Bandarra, D. Leitão, T. Morgado, Bruninho, A. Afonso, E. Barros, C. Alfandega

Prediction:

**Belenenses 3-0 Vitória Sernache**. Belenenses' form is too strong to ignore here — they're the obvious favorite. 📊

Where to watch

Canal 11

Match facts

Kickoff

06 Sep, 13:30 UTC

Competition

Liga 3

Highlights & clips

GD Vitória Sernache 4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1 C.F. Os Belenenses

1 J. Lucas 17 T. Marques 4 M. Alves 3 D. Tavares 23 J. Muriel ↑ 81' 77 H. Silva ↑ 79' 14 B. Henrique 10 A. Dias ⚽1 6 R. Embaló ↑ 76' 14 H. Graca ↑ 78' 9 L. Daniel ↑ 67' 99 G. Oliveira 58 D. Monteiro 66 César 4 N. Tomás ⚽1 15 J. Lucas 81 D. Ferreira ↑ 64' 21 T. Morgado 27 E. Barros 17 D. Leitão 11 J. Oliveira ↑ 74' 20 T. Moninhas ↑ 74'

Substitutes

12GN. Haymamba 2DPaulinho↓ 81' 66DM. Rosário 18MDudu↓ 78' 19ME. Moura↓ 79' 20FG. O. Barge↓ 67' 7FA. D. Patricio↓ 76' 87L. Fachadas 34M. D. A. Santos

Coach: Natan Costa

Substitutes

95GD. Riechelmann 39DA. Pinto 14MA. Afonso↓ 64' 8MJ. Herrera 19MA. Valente 22MM. Bandarra 23FBruninho↓ 74' 33FC. Alfandega↓ 74' 38FLian

Coach: Gonçalo Jardim Brandão

Top stats

39%Possession61%

0.55Expected goals (xG)2.96

4Shots on target7

3Corners6

Shots

1Shots off target6

Attack

4Offsides0

16Free kicks13

Passing

20Throw-ins29

Discipline

9Fouls16

3Yellow cards4

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

11Goal kicks4

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 18 bookmakers

Vitória Sernache 18%

26%

Belenenses 57%

Who winsBelenenses to win (DNB) 73% · 1.24 @ Betano

1X2Belenenses to win 57% · 2.00 @ William Hill

GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 55% · 1.13 @ 1xBet

BTTSBTTS: No 54% · 1.21 @ 1xBet

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 74% · 1.22 @ 1xBet

1X2Draw 26% · 2.42 @ 1xBet

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 69% · 2.24 @ 1xBet

1X2Vitória Sernache to win 18% · 5.21 @ 1xBet

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

5.00

GD Vitória Sernache

3.45

Draw

1.62

C.F. Os Belenenses

Double Chanceconsensus

2.13

GD Vitória Sernache or Draw

1.23

GD Vitória Sernache or C.F. Os Belenenses

1.12

Draw or C.F. Os Belenenses

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

2.01

Yes

1.69

No

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.06

Over 0.50

7.85

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.34

Over 1.50

2.92

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

2.07

Over 2.50

1.68

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

3.50

Over 3.50

1.22

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

8.00

Over 4.50

1.07

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

3.70

GD Vitória Sernache

1.23

C.F. Os Belenenses

1X2 (1st Half)consensus

5.53

GD Vitória Sernache

2.13

Draw

2.21

C.F. Os Belenenses

1X2 (2nd Half)consensus

5.11

GD Vitória Sernache

2.41

Draw

1.99

C.F. Os Belenenses

Both Teams to Score (1st Half)consensus

5.05

Yes

1.12

No

Both Teams to Score (2nd Half)consensus

3.78

Yes

1.21

No

Total Goals (1st Half) 0.50consensus

1.40

Over 0.50

2.65

Under 0.50

Total Goals (1st Half) 1.50consensus

2.90

Over 1.50

1.34

Under 1.50

Total Goals (1st Half) 2.50consensus

7.80

Over 2.50

1.06

Under 2.50

Full odds via API →

Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.

C.F. Os Belenenses to win or draw

✓

82% confidence

A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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