Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedTap a player for their full match card.
**AD Marco 09 rolls into this Liga 3 clash on a five-game streak — Leça's got the talent but the inconsistency to prove.** This is the kind of weekend where form meets vulnerability, and Marco's been bulletproof while Leça's choking away at home (0-3 vs Fafe, anyone?). 🔥
Leça have the individual class — look at that attacking trio of **B. Mesquita**, **D. Fernandes**, and **N. Reis** on paper. But they've leaked goals at home and their away wins feel fleeting. **Marco 09** thrives on compact defending and clinical finishes: **L. Garro** and **K. Semedo** up top have done the job quietly, and **J. Gata** orchestrates from midfield with zero fuss.
Key storylines:
- **Leça's home form is shaky** — one win in the last three at the stadium spells danger against a confident visitor
- **Marco's attacking cohesion** — **L. Garro** and **K. Semedo** have been ruthlessly efficient; even a 1-0 wins games when you don't leak
- **Midfield chess** — **C. Avelino** and **D. Pereira** need to dominate possession or Leça gets overrun
Expected lineups:
- **Leça FC**: M. Paiva, A. Coutinho, C. Scheid, F. Baldé, D. Ribeiro, C. Avelino, D. Pereira, R. Ferreira, B. Mesquita, D. Fernandes, N. Reis
- **AD Marco 09**: T. Martins, Erivaldo, Chicao, J. Guerrero, R. Barrett, J. Gata, B. Traoré, J. Guilherme, L. Garro, K. Semedo, Pepê
Prediction:
**Marco 09 1–0 Leça FC.** Lean Marco's form and Leça's soft defense at home.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.6%.
Report a data issue
Spotted something wrong on this match? Tell us what and we'll fix it.