Vitória SC B 0-1 Paços de Ferreira: Stats & xG

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Vitória SC B 0-1 Paços de Ferreira.

90+6'

W. Junio

Yellow card for W. Junio (Paços de Ferreira).

90+6'

L. Dias

Yellow card for L. Dias (Paços de Ferreira).

90+4'

T. Rodrigues

Attempt blocked. T. Rodrigues (Vitória SC B), right-footed shot. xG 0.06.

90+4'

T. Rodrigues

Attempt saved. T. Rodrigues (Vitória SC B), left-footed shot. xG 0.05.

90+3'

R. Rocha

Yellow card for R. Rocha (Vitória SC B).

90+2'

C. Rafael

Attempt missed. C. Rafael (Paços de Ferreira), right-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.00.

90'

T. Rodrigues

Yellow card for T. Rodrigues (Vitória SC B).

88'

R. Rocha

Attempt missed. R. Rocha (Vitória SC B), right-footed shot. xG 0.00.

83'

U. Akuazaoku

Attempt saved. U. Akuazaoku (Vitória SC B), header from a throw-in. xG 0.09.

82'

R. Duarte

Attempt missed. R. Duarte (Vitória SC B), right-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.00.

81'

M. Falé

Substitution, Paços de Ferreira: Diegão comes on for M. Falé.

81'

T. Castro

Substitution, Paços de Ferreira: I. Vulpe comes on for T. Castro.

80'

G. Paula

Substitution, Vitória SC B: Jota comes on for G. Paula.

77'

U. Akuazaoku

Attempt saved. U. Akuazaoku (Vitória SC B), header from a throw-in. xG 0.04.

74'

J. Pedro

Substitution, Paços de Ferreira: C. Rafael comes on for J. Pedro.

70'

S. G. Dahle

Off the woodwork! S. G. Dahle (Vitória SC B), header. xG 0.17.

68'

Zeega

Substitution, Vitória SC B: S. G. Dahle comes on for Zeega.

68'

R. Macedo

Substitution, Vitória SC B: U. Akuazaoku comes on for R. Macedo.

67'

H. Platiny

Substitution, Paços de Ferreira: Vitinho comes on for H. Platiny.

67'

N. Cunha

Substitution, Paços de Ferreira: Sacra comes on for N. Cunha.

65'

T. Podstawski

Yellow card for T. Podstawski (Paços de Ferreira).

64'

R. Macedo

Attempt saved. R. Macedo (Vitória SC B), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

63'

M. Falé

Attempt saved. M. Falé (Paços de Ferreira), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.06.

62'

N. Cunha

Attempt blocked. N. Cunha (Paços de Ferreira), left-footed shot. xG 0.25.

60'

R. Duarte

Attempt missed. R. Duarte (Vitória SC B), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.01.

56'

R. Silva

Substitution, Vitória SC B: G. Braga comes on for R. Silva.

56'

R. Neto

Substitution, Vitória SC B: M. Tepe comes on for R. Neto.

51'

J. Pedro

Attempt missed. J. Pedro (Paços de Ferreira), left-footed shot. xG 0.01.

49'

T. Podstawski

Attempt missed. T. Podstawski (Paços de Ferreira), right-footed shot. xG 0.08.

49'

R. Neto

Attempt saved. R. Neto (Vitória SC B), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

47'

N. Cunha

Attempt blocked. N. Cunha (Paços de Ferreira), left-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.03.

47'

M. Falé

Attempt missed. M. Falé (Paços de Ferreira), right-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.07.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Vitória SC B 0-1 Paços de Ferreira.

45+1'

M. Falé

Attempt saved. M. Falé (Paços de Ferreira), right-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.10.

44'

R. Duarte

Attempt missed. R. Duarte (Vitória SC B), left-footed shot. xG 0.11.

43'

R. J. F. Ribeiro

Attempt blocked. R. J. F. Ribeiro (Vitória SC B), right-footed shot. xG 0.00.

40'

R. Macedo

Attempt missed. R. Macedo (Vitória SC B), right-footed shot. xG 0.01.

40'

M. Falé

Yellow card for M. Falé (Paços de Ferreira).

30'

H. Platiny

Attempt missed. H. Platiny (Paços de Ferreira), right-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.04.

27'

M. Guedes

Attempt blocked. M. Guedes (Vitória SC B), right-footed shot. xG 0.12.

26'

R. Rocha

Attempt blocked. R. Rocha (Vitória SC B), right-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.00.

26'

R. Macedo

Attempt saved. R. Macedo (Vitória SC B), header. xG 0.20.

16'

J. Pedro

Attempt blocked. J. Pedro (Paços de Ferreira), right-footed shot. xG 0.25.

12'

M. Falé

Attempt blocked. M. Falé (Paços de Ferreira), right-footed shot. xG 0.05.

9'

T. Castro

Goal! Vitória SC B 0-1 Paços de Ferreira. T. Castro (Paços de Ferreira) scores.

1'

Kick-off: Vitória SC B vs Paços de Ferreira.

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 1 clip

Match events

9' ⚽ T. Castro0–1

40' M. Falé

Half-time · 0–1

56' 🔁 M. Tepe ◂ R. Neto

56' 🔁 G. Braga ◂ R. Silva

65' T. Podstawski

67' 🔁 Sacra ◂ N. Cunha

67' 🔁 Vitinho ◂ H. Platiny

68' 🔁 U. Akuazaoku ◂ R. Macedo

68' 🔁 S. G. Dahle ◂ Zeega

74' 🔁 C. Rafael ◂ J. Pedro

80' 🔁 Jota ◂ G. Paula

81' 🔁 I. Vulpe ◂ T. Castro

81' 🔁 Diegão ◂ M. Falé

Full-time · 0–1

90' T. Rodrigues

90'⁺³ R. Rocha

90'⁺⁶ L. Dias

90'⁺⁶ W. Junio

Coaches

Gil Lameiras

Vitor Paneira

Recent form

Vitória SC B

LAAD Marco 090-1

DHCD Trofense0-0

DAAD Fafe1-1

WHLeça FC2-0

LAUSC Paredes1-3

Paços de Ferreira

DHSC São João Ver1-1

DASC Vianense2-2

LHAD Fafe0-1

LHVarzim SC1-4

LHUSC Paredes0-1

About this match

**Vitória B hosting a Paços side in freefall — this is basically a pick-the-home-team-to-finally-convert-chances kind of afternoon.** 🏟️

Vitória are 1W-2D-2L but at least they're not bleeding goals; Paços, meanwhile, have gone winless in five and just got hammered 0-1 at home by AD Fafe. The visitors are struggling badly, and on the road against a team that *should* be more clinical, this feels like a mismatch.

Key storylines:

- **Vitória's attack needs a breakthrough** — they've drawn too many and barely scored; **Jota**, **Zeega**, and **R. Duarte** have to make something stick today
- **Paços can't find the net** — three losses in five, zero wins; **C. Rafael**, **M. Falé**, and **J. Neto** haven't rescued them yet
- **Home advantage tips the scales** — Vitória have the mental edge and Paços are fragile

Expected lineups:

- **Vitória SC B**: G. Cardoso, T. Rodrigues, R. Ribeiro, R. Alcobia, M. Tepe, R. Rocha, G. Paula, Jota, Zeega, R. Duarte, E. Opara
- **Paços de Ferreira**: P. R. Oliveira, L. Dias, R. Vieira, J. Sidónio, D. Castro, N. Cunha, C. Ramos, M. Falé, C. Rafael, J. Neto, H. Platiny

Prediction:

**Vitória SC B 2–0 Paços de Ferreira** — home team finally converts; Paços stay toothless.

Where to watch

Canal 11

Match facts

Kickoff

11 Oct, 13:00 UTC

Competition

Liga 3

Highlights & clips

Vitória SC B 4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1 Paços de Ferreira

99 G. Cardoso 93 R. Ribeiro 76 R. Alcobia 72 T. Rodrigues 74 G. Braga ↑ 56' 80 R. Rocha 88 S. G. Dahle ↑ 68' 32 M. Tepe ↑ 56' 14 R. Duarte 37 Jota ↑ 80' 89 U. Akuazaoku ↑ 68' 1 P. R. Oliveira 2 T. Mesquita 33 R. Vieira 22 W. Junio 15 L. Dias 70 Vitinho ↑ 67' 6 T. Podstawski 80 C. Rafael ↑ 74' 3 Diegão ↑ 81' 37 I. Vulpe ↑ 81' 11 Sacra ↑ 67'

Substitutes

81GJ. Fernandes 96DR. Silva↓ 56' 75DA. Oliveira 83DJ. H. F. Sampaio 50MZeega↓ 68' 87MG. Paula↓ 80' 67FR. Neto↓ 56' 90FR. Macedo↓ 68' 68R. Cunha

Coach: Gil Lameiras

Substitutes

31GC. Pereira 85DD. Castro 29DT. Cerveira 8MN. Cunha↓ 67' 7MJ. Pedro↓ 74' 34MJ. Anunciação 99FH. Platiny↓ 67' 96FM. Falé↓ 81' 19T. Castro↓ 81'

Coach: Vitor Paneira

Top stats

66%Possession34%

0.93Expected goals (xG)1.19

16Total shots12

6Shots on target3

6Corners4

Shots

5Shots off target5

4Blocked shots4

6Shots inside box5

10Shots outside box7

1Hit woodwork0

Attack

1Offsides0

2Free kicks3

Passing

486Passes237

388Accurate passes165

24/47 (51%)Long balls15/40 (37%)

6/20 (30%)Crosses3/7 (42%)

28Throw-ins18

Duels

51Duels48

50/98 (51%)Ground duels49/100 (49%)

16/31 (52%)Aerial duels15/32 (47%)

11/13 (85%)Dribbles6/7 (86%)

8Dispossessed6

Defending

1Tackles3

10Interceptions21

18Clearances34

Discipline

17Fouls14

3Yellow cards4

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

2Saves6

10Goal kicks17

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 20 bookmakers

Vitória B 43%

28%

Paços de Ferreira 29%

CornersOver 9.5 corners 56%

CornersOver 8.5 corners 67%

Who winsVitória B to win (DNB) 69% · 1.54 @ Unibet

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 75% · 1.23 @ 1xBet

GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 52% · 1.14 @ 1xBet

1X2Draw 28% · 2.38 @ 1xBet

BTTSBoth teams to score 52% · 3.34 @ 1xBet

1X2Vitória B to win 43% · 2.50 @ William Hill

1X2Paços de Ferreira to win 29% · 3.60 @ 1xBet

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 71% · 2.15 @ 1xBet

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 55%

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

2.05

Vitória SC B

3.25

Draw

3.10

Paços de Ferreira

Double Chanceconsensus

1.30

Vitória SC B or Draw

1.29

Vitória SC B or Paços de Ferreira

1.62

Draw or Paços de Ferreira

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.73

Yes

1.95

No

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.02

Over 0.50

9.10

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.27

Over 1.50

3.14

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.95

Over 2.50

1.85

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

3.42

Over 3.50

1.23

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

6.50

Over 4.50

1.10

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.53

Vitória SC B

2.34

Paços de Ferreira

1X2 (1st Half)consensus

2.68

Vitória SC B

2.15

Draw

3.80

Paços de Ferreira

1X2 (2nd Half)consensus

2.46

Vitória SC B

2.34

Draw

3.55

Paços de Ferreira

Both Teams to Score (1st Half)consensus

4.55

Yes

1.15

No

Both Teams to Score (2nd Half)consensus

3.34

Yes

1.26

No

Total Goals (1st Half) 0.50consensus

1.35

Over 0.50

2.88

Under 0.50

Total Goals (1st Half) 1.50consensus

2.75

Over 1.50

1.38

Under 1.50

Total Goals (1st Half) 2.50consensus

7.00

Over 2.50

1.07

Under 2.50

Full odds via API →

No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.6%.

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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