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Fredrik Holmberg
GAIS
FC Nordsjælland
GAIS
4-3-3 · 3-4-3
FC Nordsjælland
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
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Player of the match
Match events
42'
⚽
M. d. Brienne · assist A. Wängberg1–0
Half-time · 1–0
60'
W. Milovanovic · Foul
60'
🔁
S. Jørgensen ◂ M. Andersson
63'
🔁
N. Røjkjær ◂ M. Brink
63'
🔁
O. Solbakken ◂ H. Rasmussen
68'
🔁
H. Sletsjoe ◂ J. Fagerjord
69'
🔁
N. Vasic ◂ S. Salter
73'
🔁
L. Nene ◂ L. Sadio
81'
🔁
R. W. Thomasson ◂ M. d. Brienne
81'
🔁
D. Collander ◂ O. Pettersson
Full-time · 1–0
Coaches
Fredrik HolmbergJens Olsen 
Recent form
GAISLAAIK0-2
WHIF Elfsborg1-0
DAIF Brommapojkarna1-1
WAVålerenga IF2-1
DHHalmstads BK1-1
FC NordsjællandDAHørsholm-Usserød IK2-2
LAJagiellonia Białystok1-2
WHAC Sparta Praha5-1
LHGórnik Zabrze0-2
LAFC Hradec Králové0-3
Where to watch
BetanoOneFootball
OneFootball Deutschland
Betclic
Betclic
Betclic
Match facts
Stadium
Gamla Ullevi
City
Gothenburg
Referee
Peiman Simani
Kickoff
23 Jul, 17:00 UTC
Competition
Conference League
GAIS
4-3-3 · 3-4-3
FC Nordsjælland
1
M. Krasniqi
7.1
6
A. Wängberg
7.4
22
A. Cardaklija
7.9
4
O. Ågren
7.3
5
R. W. Thomasson
6.6
↑ 81'
8
W. Milovanovic
6.6
10
H. Sletsjoe
6.7
↑ 68'
17
R. F. Thorkelsson
7.2
14
S. Jørgensen
6.5
↑ 60'
21
N. Vasic
6.4
↑ 69'
34
D. Collander
6.6
↑ 81'
13
A. Hansen
7.6
2
P. Ankersen
7.3
3
T. Salquist
6.7
36
C. Yirenkyi
7.2
25
J. Lähteenmäki
6.5
18
J. Janssen
6.8
8
N. Røjkjær
6.6
↑ 63'
23
R. Norheim
6.3
17
L. Nene
6.2
↑ 73'
9
O. Solbakken
6.6
↑ 63'
10
P. A. Junior
6.5
Top stats
40%Possession60%
1.15Expected goals (xG, estimated)0.56
16Total shots10
4Shots on target1
1Big chances0
8Corners6
Shots
7Shots off target5
5Blocked shots4
7Shots inside box5
9Shots outside box5
1Hit woodwork0
1Big chances missed0
Attack
11Touches in box27
54Final third entries49
3Offsides2
13Free kicks13
4Fouled in final third4
Passing
375Passes580
310Accurate passes498
19/50 (38%)Long balls35/62 (56%)
5/20 (25%)Crosses4/18 (22%)
13Throw-ins18
Duels
55Duels45
45/82 (55%)Ground duels37/81 (46%)
14/26 (54%)Aerial duels12/26 (46%)
5/13 (38%)Dribbles9/25 (36%)
9Dispossessed10
Defending
27Tackles17
63Tackles won76
14Interceptions7
30Clearances30
49Recoveries46
Discipline
13Fouls13
1Yellow cards0
Goalkeeping
1Saves3
1Big saves1
8Goal kicks9
2Punches0
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 20 bookmakers
Who winsNordsjælland to win (DNB) 52% · 1.75 @ Betano
1X2Nordsjælland to win 38% · 2.37 @ Betano
BTTSBoth teams to score 55% · 1.73 @ 1xBet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 60% · 1.67 @ Bet365
1X2Draw 27% · 3.55 @ Betano
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 50% · 1.93 @ Pinnacle
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 71% · 1.38 @ 1xBet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 73% · 1.28 @ 10bet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 63% · 1.50 @ Betway
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 52% · 1.80 @ Bet365
1X2GAIS to win 35% · 3.13 @ Pinnacle
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.73
GAIS ▼
3.25
Draw ▲
2.32
FC Nordsjælland ▼
Double Chanceconsensus
1.51
GAIS or Draw ▼
1.30
GAIS or FC Nordsjælland ▲
1.39
Draw or FC Nordsjælland ▲
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.68
Yes ▼
2.06
No ▲
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.04
Over 0.50 ▼
9.41
Under 0.50 ▲
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.28
Over 1.50 ▲
3.55
Under 1.50 ▼
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.86
Over 2.50 ▼
1.93
Under 2.50 ▲
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.10
Over 3.50 ▲
1.35
Under 3.50 ▼
Total Goals 4.50consensus
5.90
Over 4.50 ▼
1.13
Under 4.50 ▲
Draw No Betconsensus
1.95
GAIS ▼
1.69
FC Nordsjælland ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.07
Over 5.50
8.50
Under 5.50
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.15
Over 6.50
4.85
Under 6.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.29
Over 7.50 ▼
3.22
Under 7.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.55
Over 8.50 ▼
2.26
Under 8.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.92
Over 9.50 ▲
1.77
Under 9.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.50
Over 10.50 ▼
1.45
Under 10.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
3.48
Over 11.50 ▲
1.25
Under 11.50 ▼
1.5 – 1.1Expected goals
1-1Most likely score
No bet in this match — nothing offers both a real edge and a worthwhile price. The full breakdown is below for the curious.
Every market recommended rows highlighted
| Our call | How likely | Bookmakers say | Their odds | Price check | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nordsjælland to win (DNB)Who wins | 52% | 52% | 1.78 | Overpriced | low |
| Nordsjælland to win1X2 | 38% | 38% | 2.44 | Overpriced | low |
| Both teams to scoreBTTS | 55% | 55% | 1.69 | Overpriced | low |
| Over 8.5 cornersCorners | 60% | 60% | 1.55 | Overpriced | low |
| Draw1X2 | 27% | 27% | 3.36 | Overpriced | low |
| Over 2.5 goalsGoals | 50% | 50% | 1.86 | Overpriced | low |
| Under 3.5 goalsGoals | 71% | 71% | 1.31 | Overpriced | high |
| Over 1.5 goalsGoals | 73% | 73% | 1.27 | Overpriced | high |
| Under 10.5 cornersCorners | 63% | 63% | 1.46 | Overpriced | medium |
| Under 9.5 cornersCorners | 52% | 52% | 1.78 | Overpriced | low |
| GAIS to win1X2 | 35% | 35% | 2.63 | Overpriced | low |
Where we disagree most with the bookmakers: GAIS to win (DNB) — we say 64%, they say 48%.
Probability vs league average
| Market | This match | League avg | Diff | More likely? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 73% | 72% | +1% | Yes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 50% | 0% | No |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29% | 29% | 0% | No |
| Both teams to score | 55% | 49% | +6% | Yes |
| Home win | 35% | 46% | -11% | No |
| Draw | 27% | 25% | +2% | Yes |
| Away win | 38% | 30% | +8% | Yes |
How to read this: "72% · high" means we expect it to happen about 72 times out of 100 — football always keeps the rest. "Worth it above X" is the minimum odds where the pick makes mathematical sense; "Overpriced" means the bookmaker pays less than that. Not betting advice — no outcome is guaranteed.
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