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John Russell
Shelbourne
AFC Ajax
Shelbourne
3-5-2 · 4-3-3
AFC Ajax
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
364145 EUR · live
Away
50.0 · implied 2.0%
68.1%
+66.1 vs price
Draw
1.02 · implied 98.0%
28.6%
-69.5 vs price
Home
95.0 · implied 1.1%
3.4%
+2.3 vs price
Half time
7077 EUR · live
Away
3.65 · implied 27.4%
77.1%
+49.7 vs price
Draw
1.6 · implied 62.5%
17.3%
-45.2 vs price
Home
14.0 · implied 7.1%
5.6%
-1.6 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
36104 EUR · live
Over
1.08 · implied 92.6%
89.6%
-3.0 vs price
Under
14.5 · implied 6.9%
10.6%
+3.7 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
8702 EUR · live
Over
3.15 · implied 31.7%
57.2%
+25.5 vs price
Under
1.46 · implied 68.5%
42.8%
-25.7 vs price
15 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
20'
⚽
J. Brandt · assist J. Mokio0–1
23'
A. Bouwman · Foul
24'
⚽
R. Freitas · assist E. Caffrey1–1
25'
M. Leonardo · Foul
27'
R. Freitas · Foul
39'
⚽
A. Gaaei1–2
Half-time · 1–2
46'
🔁
Y. Baas ◂ D. Blind
57'
🔁
T. Arokodare ◂ M. Leonardo
57'
🔁
A. Ouazane ◂ J. Brandt
60'
🔁
S. Gannon ◂ S. Bone
65'
VAR
Goal not given after review · M. Mbeng
69'
🔁
C. Henrique ◂ O. Wijndal
70'
J. Lunney · Foul
70'
🔁
D. Janse ◂ M. Carrizo
72'
🔁
J. Roche ◂ J. Lunney
72'
🔁
D. Ring ◂ R. Freitas
74'
J. Roche · Foul
81'
🔁
W. Jarvis ◂ J. Norris
81'
🔁
S. Moore ◂ M. Mbeng
85'
⚽
S. Moore · assist E. Caffrey2–2
Full-time · 2–2
90'+2
S. Gannon · Foul
Coaches
John RussellMichel 
Recent form
ShelbourneLAAFC Ajax1-3
LANõmme Kalju1-2
WHNõmme Kalju5-2
DHCeltic1-1
WHLongford Town4-1
AFC AjaxWAPEC Zwolle2-0
WHShelbourne3-1
WAFC Volendam3-1
WHFK Vojvodina4-1
WHBurnley2-1
Where to watch
OneFootball Deutschland
Premier Sports 1 HD
Premier Sports 1 HD
Ziggo Sport
Match facts
Stadium
Tolka Park
City
Dublin
Kickoff
13 Aug, 18:45 UTC
Competition
Conference League
Highlights & clips
Shelbourne
3-5-2 · 4-3-3
AFC Ajax
19
E. Beach
5.8
2
S. Gannon
6.8
↑ 60'
16
O. Casey
7.3
4
K. Ledwidge
6.8
22
S. Moore
7.7
↑ 81'
27
E. Caffrey
6.9
55
J. Roche
6.6
↑ 72'
23
K. McInroy
7.2
36
W. Jarvis
6.8
↑ 81'
17
D. Kelly
6.4
44
D. Ring
6.4
↑ 72'
26
M. Paes
7.1
3
A. Gaaei
8.4
30
A. Bouwman
6.9
15
Y. Baas
6.7
↑ 46'
12
C. Henrique
6.4
↑ 69'
68
A. Ouazane
6.4
↑ 57'
6
Y. Regeer
7.9
24
J. Mokio
6.7
36
D. Janse
6.3
↑ 70'
99
T. Arokodare
5.8
↑ 57'
20
O. Edvardsen
6.9
Substitutes
13GM. Johnson
15DS. Bone↓ 60'6.4
25DM. Mbeng↓ 81'6.4
18DJ. Norris↓ 81'6.4
6MJ. Lunney↓ 72'6.5
60MK. Ryan
20FR. Freitas↓ 72'7.2
56FJ. I. Wuna
Coach: John Russell
Top stats
28%Possession72%
0.0Expected goals (xG)0.0
12Total shots19
5Shots on target7
1Big chances3
4Corners11
Shots
5Shots off target6
2Blocked shots6
7Shots inside box9
5Shots outside box10
0Hit woodwork1
0Big chances missed3
Attack
13Touches in box23
45Final third entries60
6Offsides0
12Free kicks10
2Fouled in final third1
Passing
264Passes695
211Accurate passes638
24/47 (51%)Long balls26/37 (70%)
2/8 (25%)Crosses7/22 (32%)
10Throw-ins15
Duels
49Duels51
36/73 (49%)Ground duels37/73 (51%)
8/17 (47%)Aerial duels9/17 (53%)
6/18 (33%)Dribbles7/14 (50%)
8Dispossessed11
Defending
18Tackles20
56Tackles won65
9Interceptions6
19Clearances13
42Recoveries35
Discipline
10Fouls12
4Yellow cards2
Goalkeeping
5Saves3
1Big saves1
7Goal kicks9
1Punches0
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 65 bookmakers
Who winsAjax to win (DNB) 90% · 1.15 @ merkurxtip
1X2Ajax to win 80% · 1.50 @ 888Sport
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 67% · 1.45 @ betfair
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 85% · 1.14 @ betfair
CornersOver 9.5 corners 54% · 1.77 @ Novibet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 66% · 1.45 @ Betway
BTTSBTTS: No 54% · 2.05 @ 888Sport
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 57% · 1.67 @ 888Sport
1X2Draw 13% · 3.80 @ tipico
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 54% · 1.87 @ mansion
1X2Shelbourne to win 6% · 9.00 @ fonbet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
11.04
Shelbourne
6.54
Draw
1.20
AFC Ajax
Double Chanceconsensus
3.98
Shelbourne or Draw
1.10
Shelbourne or AFC Ajax
1.04
Draw or AFC Ajax
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.84
Yes
1.87
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.01
Over 0.50
17.80
Under 0.50 ▼
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.10
Over 1.50
6.13
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.37
Over 2.50
2.86
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
1.96
Over 3.50
1.77
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
3.33
Over 4.50 ▲
1.33
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
8.46
Shelbourne
1.05
AFC Ajax
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
1.01
Over 4.50
12.75
Under 4.50
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.04
Over 5.50
8.70
Under 5.50
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.12
Over 6.50
5.60
Under 6.50
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.21
Over 7.50
3.83
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.40
Over 8.50 ▲
2.69
Under 8.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.69
Over 9.50 ▼
2.02
Under 9.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.11
Over 10.50
1.62
Under 10.50
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
AFC Ajax to win or draw
✓
94% confidence
Over 1.5 goals
✓
85% confidence
AFC Ajax win
✗
80% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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