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Jakob Poulsen
AGF
Brøndby IF
AGF
3-4-3 · 4-2-3-1
Brøndby IF
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Player of the match
Match events
19'
M. Köhlert · Foul
26'
B. Slisz · Foul
Half-time · 0–0
46'
🔁
M. Divković ◂ M. Köhlert
53'
⚽
B. Slisz · assist L. Binks0–1
56'
F. Bundgaard · Foul
61'
🔁
J. Jønsson ◂ M. Anderson
61'
🔁
J. Bogere ◂ S. Jørgensen
65'
🔁
M. Jensen ◂ M. Ejdum
65'
🔁
O. Fenger ◂ P. Mortensen
67'
M. Divković · Foul
73'
🔁
J. Ambaek ◂ F. Bundgaard
76'
🔁
J. Jensen-Abbew ◂ J. Andersen
76'
🔁
R. Carstensen ◂ F. Emmery
81'
🔁
D. Wass ◂ M. Frøkjær-Jensen
83'
L. Binks · Foul
84'
⚽
K. Arnstad (pen)1–1
85'
E. Kahl · Foul
88'
🔁
T. Ó. Kristjánsson ◂ G. Links
Full-time · 1–1
Coaches
Jakob PoulsenThomas Norgaard 
Recent form
AGFLHLech Poznań1-4
WHAC Horsens2-0
LARoyale Union Saint-Gilloise1-2
WHMotherwell4-0
DHViborg FF1-1
Brøndby IFLAHibernian1-2
DHNykøbing FC2-2
WHOdense Boldklub4-0
DHFC Nordsjælland3-3
WHHvidovre8-1
Where to watch
Arena Sport Premium 3
Betano
TV3+ HDViaplay
Betclic
Viaplay
Betclic
Match facts
Stadium
Vejlby Stadion
City
Aarhus
Referee
Morten Krogh
Kickoff
25 Jul, 16:00 UTC
Competition
Danish Superliga
AGF
3-4-3 · 4-2-3-1
Brøndby IF
1
J. Hansen
6.7
40
J. Jensen-Abbew
6.9
↑ 76'
5
F. Tingager
7.7
19
E. Kahl
7.6
20
T. Ó. Kristjánsson
↑ 88'
4
M. Knudsen
7.1
10
K. Arnstad
7.4
29
R. Carstensen
7.1
↑ 76'
16
J. Jønsson
6.9
↑ 61'
31
T. Bech
6.9
28
J. Bogere
6.4
↑ 61'
50
W. Sonne-Schmidt
7.5
2
O. Villadsen
6.8
30
J. Vanlerberghe
7.1
4
L. Binks
6.3
24
M. Divković
6.6
↑ 46'
99
B. Slisz
7.1
42
M. Jensen
6.6
↑ 65'
21
M. Younis
6.2
10
D. Wass
6.5
↑ 81'
38
J. Ambaek
6.7
↑ 73'
51
O. Fenger
6.6
↑ 65'
Substitutes
21GM. Hedenstad
44DM. Camara
11MG. Links↓ 88'7.8
8MS. Jørgensen↓ 61'7.2
23MM. Anderson↓ 61'6.6
26MJ. Andersen↓ 76'6.6
22MO. Haugstrup
39FF. Emmery↓ 76'7.0
27FS. Tchamche
Coach: Jakob Poulsen
Substitutes
13GG. Beavers
27DM. Köhlert↓ 46'6.4
32DF. Alves
37DR. Canut
18MM. Ejdum↓ 65'6.5
29MM. Frøkjær-Jensen↓ 81'6.3
9FP. Mortensen↓ 65'6.6
11FF. Bundgaard↓ 73'6.4
19FS. Fukuda
Coach: Thomas Norgaard
Top stats
54%Possession46%
1.62Expected goals (xG)0.91
13Total shots14
3Shots on target2
2Big chances1
10Corners6
Shots
7Shots off target7
3Blocked shots5
8Shots inside box10
5Shots outside box4
0Hit woodwork0
1Big chances scored1
1Big chances missed0
0.11Goals prevented0.71
Attack
33Touches in box22
61Final third entries32
1Offsides1
22Free kicks12
4Fouled in final third0
Passing
388Passes335
313Accurate passes270
25/46 (54%)Long balls13/38 (34%)
3/29 (10%)Crosses6/21 (29%)
24Throw-ins34
Duels
63Duels37
56/82 (68%)Ground duels27/84 (32%)
10/22 (45%)Aerial duels12/22 (55%)
8/15 (53%)Dribbles3/12 (25%)
5Dispossessed17
Defending
25Tackles13
60Tackles won54
9Interceptions10
23Clearances46
36Recoveries35
Discipline
12Fouls23
1Yellow cards5
Goalkeeping
1Saves2
0Big saves1
10Goal kicks12
1Punches0
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 38 bookmakers
BTTSBoth teams to score 60% · 1.58 @ Novibet
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 57% · 1.69 @ 1xBet
CornersOver 9.5 corners 50% · 1.89 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 8.5 corners 62% · 1.55 @ Interwetten
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 78% · 1.22 @ Betano
1X2Draw 26% · 3.90 @ Bet365
1X2Brøndby to win 31% · 3.59 @ Pinnacle
Who winsAGF to win (DNB) 57% · 1.52 @ Betano
1X2AGF to win 42% · 2.05 @ Betano
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 61% · 1.56 @ Pinnacle
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 65% · 1.52 @ Bet365
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.99
AGF ▼
3.65
Draw ▲
3.41
Brøndby IF ▲
Double Chanceconsensus
1.28
AGF or Draw ▼
1.26
AGF or Brøndby IF ▼
1.79
Draw or Brøndby IF ▲
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.55
Yes ▼
2.35
No ▲
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.03
Over 0.50
12.44
Under 0.50 ▲
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.20
Over 1.50 ▼
4.43
Under 1.50 ▲
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.64
Over 2.50 ▼
2.23
Under 2.50 ▲
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.54
Over 3.50 ▼
1.49
Under 3.50 ▲
Total Goals 4.50consensus
4.45
Over 4.50 ▼
1.20
Under 4.50 ▲
Draw No Betconsensus
1.48
AGF ▼
2.50
Brøndby IF ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
1.01
Over 4.50
12.25
Under 4.50
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.05
Over 5.50
9.33
Under 5.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.12
Over 6.50 ▼
5.31
Under 6.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.27
Over 7.50 ▲
3.40
Under 7.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.49
Over 8.50 ▲
2.42
Under 8.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.83
Over 9.50
1.85
Under 9.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.35
Over 10.50 ▲
1.52
Under 10.50 ▼
1.7 – 1.5Expected goals
1-1Most likely score
No bet in this match — nothing offers both a real edge and a worthwhile price. The full breakdown is below for the curious.
Every market recommended rows highlighted
| Our call | How likely | Bookmakers say | Their odds | Price check | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams to scoreBTTS | 60% | 60% | 1.55 | Overpriced | low |
| Over 2.5 goalsGoals | 57% | 56% | 1.66 | Overpriced | low |
| Over 9.5 cornersCorners | 50% | 50% | 1.83 | Overpriced | low |
| Over 8.5 cornersCorners | 62% | 62% | 1.49 | Overpriced | medium |
| Over 1.5 goalsGoals | 78% | 78% | 1.2 | Overpriced | high |
| Draw1X2 | 26% | 26% | 3.55 | Overpriced | low |
| Brøndby to win1X2 | 31% | 31% | 3.0 | Overpriced | low |
| AGF to win (DNB)Who wins | 57% | 57% | 1.62 | Overpriced | low |
| AGF to win1X2 | 42% | 42% | 2.2 | Overpriced | low |
| Under 10.5 cornersCorners | 61% | 61% | 1.52 | Overpriced | medium |
| Under 3.5 goalsGoals | 65% | 65% | 1.44 | Overpriced | medium |
Probability vs league average
| Market | This match | League avg | Diff | More likely? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 78% | 80% | -2% | No |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 55% | +2% | Yes |
| Over 3.5 goals | 35% | 34% | +1% | Yes |
| Both teams to score | 60% | 59% | +1% | Yes |
| Home win | 42% | 41% | +1% | Yes |
| Draw | 26% | 27% | -1% | No |
| Away win | 31% | 32% | -1% | No |
How to read this: "72% · high" means we expect it to happen about 72 times out of 100 — football always keeps the rest. "Worth it above X" is the minimum odds where the pick makes mathematical sense; "Overpriced" means the bookmaker pays less than that. Not betting advice — no outcome is guaranteed.
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