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Jakob Poulsen
AGF
FC Midtjylland
AGF
3-4-2-1 · 4-2-2-2
FC Midtjylland
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
251482 EUR · live
Away
1.01 · implied 99.0%
84.9%
-14.1 vs price
Home
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
11.0%
+10.9 vs price
Draw
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
4.4%
+4.3 vs price
Half time
2474 EUR · live
Away
1.24 · implied 80.6%
73.3%
-7.4 vs price
Draw
5.3 · implied 18.9%
14.4%
-4.4 vs price
Home
44.0 · implied 2.3%
12.2%
+9.9 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
75822 EUR · live
Under
1.26 · implied 79.4%
51.2%
-28.2 vs price
Over
4.5 · implied 22.2%
48.8%
+26.6 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
3591 EUR · live
Under
1.06 · implied 94.3%
69.2%
-25.2 vs price
Over
14.0 · implied 7.1%
30.8%
+23.7 vs price
14 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
11'
⚽
F. Etim · assist P. Billing0–1
Half-time · 0–1
46'
🔁
S. Johannesen ◂ P. Bravo
56'
⚽
D. Castillo · assist F. Etim0–2
59'
🔁
L. Callø ◂ M. Camara
59'
🔁
J. Bogere ◂ M. Anderson
60'
🔁
J. Serra ◂ S. Tchamche
67'
🔁
S. Iheanacho ◂ G. Cho
67'
🔁
V. B. Jensen ◂ M. Erlić
68'
C. Rösler · Foul
72'
🔁
R. Carstensen ◂ C. Rösler
81'
🔁
S. Jørgensen ◂ T. Bech
81'
🔁
E. Chilufya ◂ F. Etim
81'
K. Wätjen · Time wasting
85'
🔁
A. A. Ndiaye ◂ B. Junior
87'
M. Knudsen · Foul
89'
P. Billing · Foul
Full-time · 0–2
90'+2
R. Kristensen · Argument
Coaches
Mike Tullberg 
Recent form
LARanders FC1-2
LHBenfica1-3
DHOdense Boldklub2-2
LABenfica1-3
LAViborg FF1-2
DASilkeborg IF1-1
WAHNK Rijeka4-1
WHRanders FC1-0
WHHNK Rijeka2-0
DALyngby1-1
Where to watch
TV2 Play DenmarkTV2 Sport X
TV2 Play DenmarkTV2 Sport X
Match facts
Stadium
Vejlby Stadion
City
Aarhus
Kickoff
02 Sep, 18:00 UTC
Competition
Danish Superliga
Highlights & clips
21
M. Hedenstad
6.7
29
R. Carstensen
6.9
↑ 72'
33
L. Callø
7.1
↑ 59'
19
E. Kahl
7.4
26
J. Andersen
6.4
4
M. Knudsen
6.5
10
K. Arnstad
7.0
39
F. Emmery
6.8
8
S. Jørgensen
6.9
↑ 81'
28
J. Bogere
6.5
↑ 59'
13
J. Serra
6.8
↑ 60'
1
E. Ólafsson
7.3
5
R. Kristensen
7.4
18
S. Iheanacho
6.6
↑ 67'
3
M. Jensen
7.7
34
A. A. Ndiaye
6.6
↑ 85'
8
P. Billing
7.5
27
S. Johannesen
6.2
↑ 46'
21
D. Castillo
7.6
29
K. Wätjen
6.8
55
V. B. Jensen
6.7
↑ 67'
14
E. Chilufya
6.4
↑ 81'
Substitutes
1GJ. Hansen
44DM. Camara↓ 59'6.5
25DC. Rösler↓ 72'6.1
14DT. Mølgaard
23MM. Anderson↓ 59'6.4
16MJ. Jønsson
7MM. Solbakken
27FS. Tchamche↓ 60'6.7
31FT. Bech↓ 81'6.6
Coach: Jakob Poulsen
Substitutes
25GN. Bakker
6DM. Erlić↓ 67'7.0
15DB. Junior↓ 85'6.9
19MP. Bravo↓ 46'6.7
33MA. Djabi
90FF. Etim↓ 81'8.6
10FG. Cho↓ 67'6.3
7FF. Djú
17FM. Uhre
Coach: Mike Tullberg
Top stats
59%Possession41%
1.21Expected goals (xG)1.71
18Total shots14
3Shots on target7
2Big chances5
8Corners5
Shots
10Shots off target6
5Blocked shots1
10Shots inside box10
8Shots outside box4
0Hit woodwork1
0Big chances scored1
2Big chances missed4
-0.27Goals prevented0.28
Attack
22Touches in box21
57Final third entries57
1Offsides2
20Free kicks19
4Fouled in final third2
Passing
449Passes302
384Accurate passes239
12/34 (35%)Long balls27/59 (46%)
3/21 (14%)Crosses3/16 (19%)
18Throw-ins14
Duels
52Duels48
36/68 (53%)Ground duels32/68 (47%)
15/31 (48%)Aerial duels16/31 (52%)
5/11 (45%)Dribbles2/8 (25%)
7Dispossessed6
Defending
12Tackles13
83Tackles won77
5Interceptions15
32Clearances24
39Recoveries45
Discipline
19Fouls20
2Yellow cards3
Goalkeeping
5Saves3
2Big saves0
9Goal kicks8
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers
Who winsMidtjylland to win (DNB) 57% · 1.66 @ Betsson
1X2Midtjylland to win 44% · 2.50 @ Bet365
CornersOver 9.5 corners 55% · 1.67 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 8.5 corners 66% · 1.40 @ Unibet
BTTSBoth teams to score 61% · 2.75 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 59% · 3.70 @ William Hill
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 79% · 1.85 @ William Hill
1X2Draw 26% · 2.80 @ Unibet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 63% · 1.51 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 57% · 1.85 @ 10bet
1X2AGF to win 30% · 3.28 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
3.10
AGF
3.60
Draw
2.10
FC Midtjylland
Double Chanceconsensus
1.70
AGF or Draw
1.25
AGF or FC Midtjylland
1.33
Draw or FC Midtjylland
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.50
Yes
2.40
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
6.12
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
4.37
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.02
Over 0.50
12.90
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.19
Over 1.50
4.50
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.60
Over 2.50
2.26
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.58
Over 3.50
1.50
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
4.58
Over 4.50
1.18
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
2.20
AGF
1.61
FC Midtjylland
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.20
Over 7.50
3.60
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.38
Over 8.50
2.67
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.66
Over 9.50
2.08
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.03
Over 10.50
1.71
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.54
Over 11.50
1.42
Under 11.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.6%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.6%.
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