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Niki Zimling
AC Horsens
Lyngby
AC Horsens
4-2-3-1 · 4-4-2
Lyngby
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
165453 EUR · live
Home
1.05 · implied 95.2%
67.7%
-27.5 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
18.5%
+18.4 vs price
Draw
22.0 · implied 4.5%
15.0%
+10.4 vs price
Half time
642 EUR · live
Draw
4.4 · implied 22.7%
42.7%
+20.0 vs price
Home
1.44 · implied 69.4%
29.8%
-39.7 vs price
Away
15.5 · implied 6.5%
27.3%
+20.8 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
70869 EUR · live
Under
1.3 · implied 76.9%
62.5%
-14.4 vs price
Over
3.6 · implied 27.8%
37.5%
+9.7 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
5011 EUR · live
Under
1.12 · implied 89.3%
93.3%
+4.0 vs price
Over
8.6 · implied 11.6%
6.7%
-4.9 vs price
13 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
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Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
5'
A. Saine · Foul
15'
⚽
K. Ehibhatiomhan · assist K. Kirkegaard1–0
34'
K. Ehibhatiomhan · Foul
Half-time · 1–0
46'
🔁
O. Højer ◂ J. J. Thomasen
46'
🔁
D. Kristjansson ◂ R. Tytens
55'
🔁
J. Körkkö ◂ K. Ehibhatiomhan
55'
🔁
A. Herdonsson ◂ A. Moro
59'
K. Kirkegaard · Foul
66'
⚽
Í. S. Þorvaldsson · assist S. Colyn1–1
70'
M. Kupijbida · Foul
73'
G. Fraulo · Foul
74'
🔁
J. Tauriainen ◂ Y. Ouorou
74'
🔁
A. Justinussen ◂ K. Kirkegaard
76'
🔁
F. Gytkjær ◂ G. Fraulo
79'
C. Winther · Foul
81'
🔁
C. Allen ◂ O. Buur
89'
C. Allen · Foul
Full-time · 2–1
90'
⚽
A. Justinussen2–1
90'+2
🔁
A. Bøndergaard ◂ S. Colyn
90'+3
🔁
I. Milićević ◂ J. Madsen
Coaches
Niki ZimlingMikkel Jespersen 
Recent form
AC HorsensWAOdense Boldklub2-1
LHBrøndby IF0-2
LAFC Midtjylland1-2
DHFC Nordsjælland1-1
LAVendsyssel FF0-1
LyngbyDHFC Midtjylland1-1
LARanders FC0-2
DHAGF2-2
LAFC København2-3
WAHillerød Fodbold1-0
Where to watch
TV2 Play DenmarkTV2 Sport X
TV2 Play DenmarkTV2 Sport X
Match facts
Stadium
CASA Arena
City
Horsens
Kickoff
23 Aug, 14:00 UTC
Competition
Danish Superliga
Highlights & clips
AC Horsens
4-2-3-1 · 4-4-2
Lyngby
1
M. Delač
8.9
26
V. Pálsson
6.9
35
M. Kupijbida
6.1
24
O. Kolskogen
6.4
28
A. Saine
6.7
17
A. Herdonsson
6.4
↑ 55'
20
K. Lusavec
7.0
19
J. Tauriainen
6.7
↑ 74'
7
I. Milićević
↑ 90'
15
A. Justinussen
7.4
↑ 74'
18
J. Körkkö
6.3
↑ 55'
31
D. Kochen
6.3
4
C. Allen
6.2
↑ 81'
30
M. Fischer
7.2
24
M. Garananga
7.0
6
D. Kristjansson
6.7
↑ 46'
26
F. Gytkjær
6.5
↑ 76'
13
C. Winther
7.3
5
O. Højer
7.0
↑ 46'
14
L. Sandgrav
6.4
10
Í. S. Þorvaldsson
6.7
16
A. Bøndergaard
↑ 90'
Substitutes
31GA. Hoff
27MY. Ouorou↓ 74'7.0
16MA. Moro↓ 55'6.7
14MJ. Madsen↓ 90'6.7
10MK. Kirkegaard↓ 74'6.5
30MS. Doua
22MJ. Batigi
11FK. Ehibhatiomhan↓ 55'7.4
39FO. Mandrup
Coach: Niki Zimling
Substitutes
1GJ. Ægidius
2DO. Buur↓ 81'6.8
25DR. Tytens↓ 46'6.2
12DD. H. Aronsson
7MS. Colyn↓ 90'7.2
19MG. Fraulo↓ 76'7.0
18MJ. J. Thomasen↓ 46'6.6
8MM. H. Rasmussen
20MM. Kaarsbo
Coach: Mikkel Jespersen
Top stats
42%Possession58%
0.76Expected goals (xG)2.87
10Total shots17
5Shots on target7
0Big chances10
2Corners9
Shots
2Shots off target5
3Blocked shots5
4Shots inside box16
6Shots outside box1
0Hit woodwork0
0Big chances scored1
0Big chances missed9
1.7Goals prevented-0.82
Attack
23Touches in box52
42Final third entries82
1Offsides1
10Free kicks20
1Fouled in final third4
Passing
398Passes535
310Accurate passes438
23/63 (37%)Long balls20/51 (39%)
3/6 (50%)Crosses14/34 (41%)
14Throw-ins24
Duels
42Duels58
27/69 (39%)Ground duels42/69 (61%)
20/43 (47%)Aerial duels23/43 (53%)
2/13 (15%)Dribbles5/9 (56%)
6Dispossessed11
Defending
15Tackles17
53Tackles won71
16Interceptions5
47Clearances27
50Recoveries46
Discipline
21Fouls10
4Yellow cards3
Goalkeeping
6Saves4
1Big saves0
11Goal kicks3
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 71 bookmakers
CornersOver 9.5 corners 59% · 1.63 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 8.5 corners 69% · 1.33 @ Unibet
Who winsLyngby to win (DNB) 53% · 1.81 @ forbet
1X2Lyngby to win 39% · 2.75 @ 888Sport
1X2Draw 28% · 2.71 @ efbet.net
BTTSBoth teams to score 54% · 3.25 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 51% · 4.60 @ William Hill
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 75% · 2.10 @ 1xBet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 71% · 1.37 @ kto
1X2Horsens to win 33% · 3.38 @ 1xBet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 52% · 1.81 @ Novibet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.78
AC Horsens ▲
3.30
Draw ▼
2.38
Lyngby ▲
Double Chanceconsensus
1.52
AC Horsens or Draw ▲
1.30
AC Horsens or Lyngby ▲
1.40
Draw or Lyngby ▼
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.65
Yes ▲
2.11
No ▼
Home Win to Nilconsensus
5.12
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
4.12
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.05
Over 0.50
9.85
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.25
Over 1.50 ▲
3.57
Under 1.50 ▼
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.83
Over 2.50 ▲
1.91
Under 2.50 ▲
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.03
Over 3.50 ▲
1.34
Under 3.50 ▲
Total Goals 4.50consensus
5.73
Over 4.50
1.11
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.97
AC Horsens ▲
1.74
Lyngby ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.17
Over 7.50
4.10
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.32
Over 8.50
3.00
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.55
Over 9.50
2.21
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
1.91
Over 10.50
1.79
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.45
Over 11.50
1.46
Under 11.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.6%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.6%.
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