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Jakob Poulsen
AGF
Silkeborg IF
AGF
3-4-2-1 · 3-4-2-1
Silkeborg IF
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
143198 EUR · live
Away
34.0 · implied 2.9%
55.9%
+53.0 vs price
Home
100.0 · implied 1.0%
36.4%
+35.4 vs price
Draw
1.05 · implied 95.2%
7.7%
-87.6 vs price
Half time
1261 EUR · live
Home
2.64 · implied 37.9%
76.5%
+38.7 vs price
Away
7.0 · implied 14.3%
14.7%
+0.4 vs price
Draw
2.1 · implied 47.6%
8.6%
-39.0 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
52206 EUR · live
Under
1.29 · implied 77.5%
55.7%
-21.9 vs price
Over
4.4 · implied 22.7%
44.3%
+21.6 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
2071 EUR · live
Under
1.05 · implied 95.2%
90.5%
-4.7 vs price
Over
18.0 · implied 5.6%
9.5%
+3.9 vs price
14 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
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Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
26'
VAR
Penalty check · R. Al Hajj
29'
⚽
R. Al Hajj (pen)0–1
39'
⚽
L. Riisgaard · assist W. Kirk0–2
Half-time · 0–2
46'
🔁
J. Serra ◂ J. Bogere
46'
🔁
F. Emmery ◂ R. Carstensen
63'
🔁
C. McCowatt ◂ T. Bech
67'
🔁
K. Kirkegaard ◂ R. Al Hajj
71'
🔁
M. Hansen ◂ O. Ross
71'
🔁
A. Poulsen ◂ W. Kirk
71'
🔁
J. Andersen ◂ C. Rösler
79'
🔁
S. Tchamche ◂ M. Knudsen
82'
🔁
M. d. Gevigney ◂ V. Westh
82'
🔁
J. L. Nielsen ◂ L. Riisgaard
88'
⚽
J. Serra · assist F. Emmery1–2
Full-time · 2–2
90'+1
M. Anderson · Argument
90'+3
⚽
J. Serra2–2
Coaches
Jakob PoulsenMorten Dahm Kjærgaard 
Recent form
AGFLHFC Midtjylland0-2
LARanders FC1-2
LHBenfica1-3
DHOdense Boldklub2-2
LABenfica1-3
Silkeborg IFDHFC Midtjylland1-1
LABrøndby IF1-3
LAFC Nordsjælland0-1
WHOdense Boldklub1-0
LHFC København1-3
Where to watch
TV3 SportViaplay
TV3 Sport
Viaplay
TV3 Sport
TV3 Sport
Viaplay
Viaplay
Match facts
Stadium
Vejlby Stadion
City
Aarhus
Kickoff
05 Sep, 16:00 UTC
Competition
Danish Superliga
Highlights & clips
AGF
3-4-2-1 · 3-4-2-1
Silkeborg IF
21
M. Hedenstad
6.7
26
J. Andersen
6.7
↑ 71'
33
L. Callø
6.6
19
E. Kahl
7.5
39
F. Emmery
7.3
↑ 46'
27
S. Tchamche
6.5
↑ 79'
10
K. Arnstad
7.3
23
M. Anderson
7.5
18
C. McCowatt
6.7
↑ 63'
8
S. Jørgensen
6.9
13
J. Serra
8.7
↑ 46'
1
A. Andrésen
8.1
24
A. Priesborg
6.0
3
R. Østrøm
6.9
29
W. Møller
6.7
6
M. d. Gevigney
6.0
↑ 82'
20
M. Larsen
7.2
2
A. Poulsen
5.8
↑ 71'
19
J. Gammelby
6.4
36
J. L. Nielsen
6.4
↑ 82'
8
K. Kirkegaard
6.3
↑ 67'
23
M. Hansen
6.4
↑ 71'
Substitutes
1GJ. Hansen
25DC. Rösler↓ 71'6.0
14DT. Mølgaard
3DD. Grétarsson
4MM. Knudsen↓ 79'6.5
29MR. Carstensen↓ 46'6.4
16MJ. Jønsson
28FJ. Bogere↓ 46'7.0
31FT. Bech↓ 63'6.7
Coach: Jakob Poulsen
Substitutes
30GT. Mikkelsen
22MR. Al Hajj↓ 67'7.7
27MW. Kirk↓ 71'7.1
7MV. Westh↓ 82'6.9
14MS. Berger
10MY. Bakiz
21FL. Riisgaard↓ 82'7.6
11FO. Ross↓ 71'7.0
42FK. Bøgild
Coach: Morten Dahm Kjærgaard
Top stats
62%Possession38%
1.92Expected goals (xG)1.23
16Total shots10
6Shots on target4
5Big chances2
8Corners3
Shots
7Shots off target5
3Blocked shots1
14Shots inside box6
2Shots outside box4
1Big chances scored2
4Big chances missed0
-0.48Goals prevented1.07
Attack
45Touches in box18
56Final third entries54
1Offsides0
7Free kicks12
2Fouled in final third3
Passing
578Passes356
497Accurate passes271
13/40 (33%)Long balls22/65 (34%)
9/32 (28%)Crosses2/14 (14%)
24Throw-ins30
Duels
49Duels51
23/53 (43%)Ground duels30/53 (57%)
15/24 (63%)Aerial duels9/24 (38%)
6/13 (46%)Dribbles7/13 (54%)
6Dispossessed6
Defending
12Tackles13
58Tackles won77
5Interceptions9
22Clearances51
51Recoveries38
Discipline
13Fouls7
1Yellow cards0
Goalkeeping
2Saves4
1Big saves0
3Goal kicks11
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 22 bookmakers
1X2AGF to win 62% · 1.85 @ William Hill
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 66% · 3.25 @ William Hill
Who winsAGF to win (DNB) 72% · 1.20 @ Novibet
CornersOver 9.5 corners 55% · 1.58 @ Unibet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 84% · 1.70 @ William Hill
CornersOver 8.5 corners 66% · 1.36 @ Unibet
BTTSBoth teams to score 61% · 2.65 @ 10bet
1X2Draw 20% · 3.25 @ Unibet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 56% · 1.88 @ Pinnacle
1X2Silkeborg to win 17% · 5.13 @ 1xBet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 56% · 1.83 @ Unibet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.50
AGF
4.60
Draw
5.50
Silkeborg IF
Double Chanceconsensus
1.13
AGF or Draw
1.16
AGF or Silkeborg IF
2.55
Draw or Silkeborg IF
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.53
Yes
2.38
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
3.00
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
11.50
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.02
Over 0.50
16.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.10
Over 1.50
6.06
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.40
Over 2.50
2.80
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.09
Over 3.50
1.73
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
3.42
Over 4.50
1.30
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.18
AGF
4.50
Silkeborg IF
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.17
Over 7.50
3.83
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.31
Over 8.50
2.85
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.55
Over 9.50
2.25
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
1.92
Over 10.50
1.81
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.40
Over 11.50
1.49
Under 11.50
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
Over 1.5 goals
✓
84% confidence
AGF to win or draw
✓
83% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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