AC Horsens 2-2 AGF: Stats, xG & Lineups – Sep 20, 2026

Commentary

90'

Full-time. AC Horsens 2-2 AGF.

90+5'

M. Anderson

Yellow card for M. Anderson (AGF) for argument.

90+4'

I. Milićević

Goal! AC Horsens 2-2 AGF. I. Milićević (AC Horsens) scores.

90+3'

J. Körkkö

Attempt missed. J. Körkkö (AC Horsens), left-footed shot. xG 0.10.

90+3'

J. Bonde

Attempt blocked. J. Bonde (AC Horsens), right-footed shot. xG 0.06.

90+2'

J. Körkkö

Attempt missed. J. Körkkö (AC Horsens), header. xG 0.03.

90+1'

A. Saine

Attempt saved. A. Saine (AC Horsens), header. xG 0.03.

90'

4 minutes of added time.

89'

J. Bonde

Goal! AC Horsens 1-2 AGF. J. Bonde (AC Horsens) scores, assisted by V. Pálsson.

89'

K. Arnstad

Yellow card for K. Arnstad (AGF) for argument.

85'

K. Lusavec

Attempt saved. K. Lusavec (AC Horsens), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

84'

K. Lusavec

Attempt blocked. K. Lusavec (AC Horsens), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

84'

C. Rösler

Substitution, AGF: J. Andersen comes on for C. Rösler.

84'

R. Carstensen

Substitution, AGF: F. Tingager comes on for R. Carstensen.

80'

AC Horsens

Corner, AC Horsens.

78'

V. Pálsson

Attempt missed. V. Pálsson (AC Horsens), header. xG 0.06.

78'

K. Bimpong

Attempt blocked. K. Bimpong (AC Horsens), left-footed shot. xG 0.08.

78'

I. Milićević

Attempt blocked. I. Milićević (AC Horsens), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

77'

A. Justinussen

Substitution, AC Horsens: J. Bonde comes on for A. Justinussen.

77'

A. Moro

Substitution, AC Horsens: J. Körkkö comes on for A. Moro.

69'

AC Horsens

Offside, AC Horsens.

69'

K. Bimpong

Attempt saved. K. Bimpong (AC Horsens), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

68'

C. McCowatt

Goal! AC Horsens 0-2 AGF. C. McCowatt (AGF) scores.

67'

K. Ehibhatiomhan

Attempt missed. K. Ehibhatiomhan (AC Horsens), header. xG 0.12.

67'

F. Emmery

Substitution, AGF: S. Tchamche comes on for F. Emmery.

67'

J. Serra

Substitution, AGF: C. McCowatt comes on for J. Serra.

66'

Y. Ouorou

Substitution, AC Horsens: K. Bimpong comes on for Y. Ouorou.

62'

F. Emmery

Attempt missed. F. Emmery (AGF), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

61'

T. Bech

Substitution, AGF: S. Jørgensen comes on for T. Bech.

60'

A. Saine

Yellow card for A. Saine (AC Horsens) for foul.

59'

K. Ehibhatiomhan

Attempt missed. K. Ehibhatiomhan (AC Horsens), right-footed shot. xG 0.09.

59'

A. Herdonsson

Substitution, AC Horsens: K. Lusavec comes on for A. Herdonsson.

59'

O. Kolskogen

Substitution, AC Horsens: I. Milićević comes on for O. Kolskogen.

58'

M. Knudsen

Goal! AC Horsens 0-1 AGF. M. Knudsen (AGF) scores, assisted by T. Bech.

56'

T. Bech

Attempt missed. T. Bech (AGF), left-footed shot. xG 0.09.

51'

Y. Ouorou

Attempt missed. Y. Ouorou (AC Horsens), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.04.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. AC Horsens 0-0 AGF.

44'

R. Carstensen

Attempt missed. R. Carstensen (AGF), header. xG 0.04.

43'

A. Moro

Attempt missed. A. Moro (AC Horsens), right-footed shot. xG 0.01.

41'

M. Anderson

Attempt missed. M. Anderson (AGF), header. xG 0.13.

40'

F. Emmery

Attempt saved. F. Emmery (AGF), right-footed shot. xG 0.11.

38'

A. Moro

Attempt missed. A. Moro (AC Horsens), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

38'

J. Madsen

Attempt blocked. J. Madsen (AC Horsens), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.05.

36'

T. Mølgaard

Attempt missed. T. Mølgaard (AGF), left-footed shot. xG 0.06.

35'

A. Herdonsson

Yellow card for A. Herdonsson (AC Horsens) for foul.

30'

M. Anderson

Attempt missed. M. Anderson (AGF), right-footed shot. xG 0.10.

26'

AGF

Corner, AGF.

19'

R. Carstensen

Attempt missed. R. Carstensen (AGF), header. xG 0.05.

16'

T. Bech

Attempt blocked. T. Bech (AGF), left-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.05.

13'

D. Grétarsson

Attempt missed. D. Grétarsson (AGF), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.08.

13'

C. Rösler

Attempt blocked. C. Rösler (AGF), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.07.

12'

AGF

Corner, AGF.

9'

K. Arnstad

Attempt missed. K. Arnstad (AGF), right-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.04.

4'

AC Horsens

Corner, AC Horsens.

3'

J. Madsen

Attempt missed. J. Madsen (AC Horsens), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.04.

2'

K. Ehibhatiomhan

Attempt blocked. K. Ehibhatiomhan (AC Horsens), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

2'

AC Horsens

Corner, AC Horsens.

1'

Kick-off: AC Horsens vs AGF.

Where the money is

156118 EUR matched · captured 1 month ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 59103 EUR · live

Away 48.0 · implied 2.1%

64.8%

+62.8 vs price

Draw 1.03 · implied 97.1%

26.4%

-70.7 vs price

Home 250.0 · implied 0.4%

8.7%

+8.3 vs price

Half time 4031 EUR · live

Draw 1.72 · implied 58.1%

89.5%

+31.4 vs price

Away 3.6 · implied 27.8%

9.9%

-17.9 vs price

Home 5.2 · implied 19.2%

0.6%

-18.7 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 32037 EUR · live

Under 1.25 · implied 80.0%

71.5%

-8.5 vs price

Over 5.7 · implied 17.5%

28.5%

+11.0 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 1856 EUR · live

Under 1.02 · implied 98.0%

93.1%

-4.9 vs price

Over 17.0 · implied 5.9%

6.8%

+0.9 vs price

14 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 1 clip

Player of the match

Match events

35' A. Herdonsson · Foul

Half-time · 0–0

58' ⚽ M. Knudsen · assist T. Bech0–1

59' 🔁 I. Milićević ◂ O. Kolskogen

59' 🔁 K. Lusavec ◂ A. Herdonsson

60' A. Saine · Foul

61' 🔁 S. Jørgensen ◂ T. Bech

66' 🔁 K. Bimpong ◂ Y. Ouorou

67' 🔁 C. McCowatt ◂ J. Serra

67' 🔁 S. Tchamche ◂ F. Emmery

68' ⚽ C. McCowatt0–2

77' 🔁 J. Körkkö ◂ A. Moro

77' 🔁 J. Bonde ◂ A. Justinussen

84' 🔁 F. Tingager ◂ R. Carstensen

84' 🔁 J. Andersen ◂ C. Rösler

89' K. Arnstad · Argument

89' ⚽ J. Bonde · assist V. Pálsson1–2

Full-time · 2–2

90'⁺⁴ ⚽ I. Milićević2–2

90'⁺⁵ M. Anderson · Argument

Coaches

Niki Zimling

Jakob Poulsen

Recent form

AC Horsens

LAFC København0-2

WASønderjyske Fodbold5-2

LHViborg FF2-3

WHLyngby2-1

WAOdense Boldklub2-1

AGF

LAFC Nordsjælland0-2

DHSilkeborg IF2-2

LHFC Midtjylland0-2

LARanders FC1-2

LHBenfica1-3

About this match

**AC Horsens are surging and AGF is in freefall** — this should be a mismatch on paper, but derby vibes always complicate things. 🔴

Horsens just hammered Sønderjyske 5-2 away and have won three of their last five. AGF, meanwhile, are winless in their last five (1D, 4L) and shipped two goals to both Nordsjælland and Midtjylland. The form gap is real.

Key storylines:

- **AC Horsens** riding momentum at home with attacking threat from **K. Ehibhatiomhan** and **J. Madsen** vs a fragile AGF backline
- **T. Bech** and **J. Bogere** will need to spark something creative for AGF — they're running on fumes defensively
- Horsens missing **C. Vestergaard** (knee) but still have defensive solidity; AGF without **G. Links** adds to their injury woes

Expected lineups:

- **AC Horsens**: M. Delač, I. Milićević, O. Kolskogen, A. Saine, V. Pálsson, K. Lusavec, A. Moro, K. Ehibhatiomhan, J. Madsen, Y. Ouorou
- **AGF**: M. Hedenstad, F. Emmery, E. Kahl, C. Rösler, R. Carstensen, M. Solbakken, M. Knudsen, K. Arnstad, T. Bech, S. Jørgensen

Prediction:

**AC Horsens 2–0 AGF** — Horsens have the form, home advantage, and attacking thrust. AGF can't stop anything right now. 📈

Where to watch

Betano

Match facts

Stadium

CASA Arena

City

Horsens

Referee

Jonas Hansen

4.03 yellows/match · 62 matches

Kickoff

20 Sep, 14:00 UTC

Competition

Danish Superliga

Highlights & clips

AC Horsens 4-2-3-1 · 3-4-2-1 AGF

1 M. Delač 5.8 26 V. Pálsson 6.7 20 K. Lusavec 6.4 ↑ 59' 35 M. Kupijbida 6.6 28 A. Saine 6.0 7 I. Milićević 6.5 ↑ 59' 6 J. Bonde 6.5 ↑ 77' 41 K. Bimpong 6.6 ↑ 66' 14 J. Madsen 6.5 18 J. Körkkö 6.7 ↑ 77' 11 K. Ehibhatiomhan 6.5 21 M. Hedenstad 6.4 14 T. Mølgaard 6.6 3 D. Grétarsson 6.7 26 J. Andersen 6.0 ↑ 84' 5 F. Tingager 5.9 ↑ 84' 4 M. Knudsen 7.4 10 K. Arnstad 7.0 18 C. McCowatt 7.3 ↑ 67' 8 S. Jørgensen 6.3 ↑ 61' 23 M. Anderson 6.7 27 S. Tchamche 6.7 ↑ 67'

Substitutes

31GA. Hoff 24DO. Kolskogen↓ 59'6.5 27MY. Ouorou↓ 66'6.5 16MA. Moro↓ 77'6.1 17MA. Herdonsson↓ 59'5.9 30MS. Doua 22MJ. Batigi 15FA. Justinussen↓ 77'6.6 25FF. Sene

Coach: Niki Zimling

Substitutes

1GJ. Hansen 25DC. Rösler↓ 84'6.9 33DL. Callø 39MF. Emmery↓ 67'7.1 29MR. Carstensen↓ 84'6.7 16MJ. Jønsson 31FT. Bech↓ 61'7.1 13FJ. Serra↓ 67'6.8 28FJ. Bogere

Coach: Jakob Poulsen

Top stats

53%Possession47%

1.19Expected goals (xG)1.01

20Total shots14

5Shots on target3

4Big chances3

3Corners2

Shots

9Shots off target9

6Blocked shots2

10Shots inside box9

10Shots outside box5

1Big chances scored0

3Big chances missed3

-1.55Goals prevented-1.4

Attack

29Touches in box19

71Final third entries56

1Offsides0

6Free kicks17

3Fouled in final third4

Passing

483Passes438

379Accurate passes347

30/70 (43%)Long balls16/55 (29%)

5/23 (22%)Crosses3/13 (23%)

16Throw-ins15

Duels

44Duels56

22/60 (37%)Ground duels38/60 (63%)

15/25 (60%)Aerial duels10/25 (40%)

6/10 (60%)Dribbles5/10 (50%)

12Dispossessed6

Defending

11Tackles16

55Tackles won50

6Interceptions9

24Clearances28

55Recoveries49

Discipline

17Fouls6

2Yellow cards2

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

1Saves3

15Goal kicks14

0Punches1

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers

Horsens 24%

25%

AGF 51%

1X2AGF to win 51% · 2.25 @ William Hill

Who winsAGF to win (DNB) 55% · 1.40 @ Betano

CornersOver 9.5 corners 51% · 1.83 @ 1xBet

CornersOver 8.5 corners 63% · 1.51 @ Pinnacle

BTTSBoth teams to score 56% · 3.25 @ Bet365

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 55% · 4.00 @ William Hill

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 78% · 1.95 @ William Hill

1X2Draw 25% · 2.64 @ 1xBet

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 61% · 1.62 @ Pinnacle

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 65% · 1.45 @ Pinnacle

1X2Horsens to win 24% · 4.14 @ 1xBet

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

3.90

AC Horsens

3.72

Draw

1.81

AGF

Double Chanceconsensus

1.97

AC Horsens or Draw

1.24

AC Horsens or AGF

1.22

Draw or AGF

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.67

Yes

2.10

No

Home Win to Nilconsensus

7.50

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

3.30

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.03

Over 0.50

11.80

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.20

Over 1.50

4.20

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.73

Over 2.50

2.08

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

2.80

Over 3.50

1.40

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

5.38

Over 4.50

1.13

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

2.88

AC Horsens

1.36

AGF

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.26

Over 7.50

3.30

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.50

Over 8.50

2.44

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

1.83

Over 9.50

1.93

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

2.27

Over 10.50

1.58

Under 10.50

Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus

2.90

Over 11.50

1.33

Under 11.50

Full odds via API →

No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.8%.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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