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Sønderjyske Fodbold
Sønderjyske Fodbold
AGF
Sønderjyske Fodbold
Sønderjyske Fodbold
Sønderjyske Fodbold
AGF
Sønderjyske Fodbold
Sønderjyske Fodbold
AGF
Sønderjyske Fodbold
AGF
AGF
AGF
Jakob Poulsen
AGF
Sønderjyske Fodbold
AGF
3-4-2-1 · 4-2-3-1
Sønderjyske Fodbold
Commentary
90'
Full-time. AGF 3-0 Sønderjyske Fodbold.
90'
2 minutes of added time.
90'
Sønderjyske Fodbold
Corner, Sønderjyske Fodbold.
90'
Attempt saved. M. Haidara (Sønderjyske Fodbold), right-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.04.
89'
Attempt missed. M. Haidara (Sønderjyske Fodbold), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.11.
89'
Attempt blocked. T. Haltvik (Sønderjyske Fodbold), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.44.
88'
Sønderjyske Fodbold
Corner, Sønderjyske Fodbold.
83'
AGF
Offside, AGF.
77'
Attempt missed. O. D. Rosario (Sønderjyske Fodbold), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.06.
73'
Sønderjyske Fodbold
Corner, Sønderjyske Fodbold.
69'
Sønderjyske Fodbold
Corner, Sønderjyske Fodbold.
69'
Attempt missed. T. Haltvik (Sønderjyske Fodbold), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.07.
69'
Cleared off the line! O. D. Rosario (Sønderjyske Fodbold), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.30.
68'
Sønderjyske Fodbold
Corner, Sønderjyske Fodbold.
67'
AGF
Offside, AGF.
62'
Sønderjyske Fodbold
Corner, Sønderjyske Fodbold.
57'
Attempt missed. M. Haidara (Sønderjyske Fodbold), right-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.06.
50'
Sønderjyske Fodbold
Corner, Sønderjyske Fodbold.
48'
AGF
Offside, AGF.
46'
Sønderjyske Fodbold
Offside, Sønderjyske Fodbold.
46'
The second half is under way.
45'
Half-time. AGF 3-0 Sønderjyske Fodbold.
45'
2 minutes of added time.
38'
Goal! AGF 3-0 Sønderjyske Fodbold. F. Tingager (AGF) scores, assisted by K. Arnstad.
37'
AGF
Corner, AGF.
23'
AGF
Corner, AGF.
13'
AGF
Corner, AGF.
1'
Kick-off: AGF vs Sønderjyske Fodbold.
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
89822 EUR · live
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
91.2%
-7.8 vs price
Draw
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
5.8%
+5.7 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
3.0%
+2.9 vs price
Half time
1813 EUR · live
Home
1.02 · implied 98.0%
91.3%
-6.7 vs price
Away
390.0 · implied 0.3%
6.5%
+6.2 vs price
Draw
7.0 · implied 14.3%
2.2%
-12.1 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
11697 EUR · live
Over
1.09 · implied 91.7%
86.7%
-5.1 vs price
Under
13.0 · implied 7.7%
14.0%
+6.3 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
5336 EUR · live
Over
1.63 · implied 61.3%
70.2%
+8.9 vs price
Under
2.26 · implied 44.2%
29.8%
-14.5 vs price
14 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
9'
⚽
K. Arnstad1–0
15'
⚽
J. Serra · assist R. Carstensen2–0
15'
VAR
Goal check · K. Arnstad
25'
VAR
Goal not given after review · M. Knudsen
38'
⚽
F. Tingager · assist K. Arnstad3–0
Half-time · 3–0
45'
I. Seydi · Foul
46'
🔁
S. Velkov ◂ B. Bjarnason
63'
🔁
C. McCowatt ◂ F. Emmery
66'
🔁
J. Christensen ◂ M. Olesen
66'
🔁
T. Haltvik ◂ S. Emini
77'
🔁
E. Kahl ◂ D. Grétarsson
78'
🔁
S. Tchamche ◂ J. Serra
81'
🔁
A. Oggesen ◂ A. Hoeg
81'
🔁
B. Tambedou ◂ I. Seydi
Full-time · 3–0
90'
🔁
J. Andersen ◂ R. Carstensen
90'
🔁
J. Bogere ◂ T. Bech
Coaches
Jakob PoulsenFatah Abdirahman 
Recent form
AGFWHVendsyssel FF2-1
DAAC Horsens2-2
LAFC Nordsjælland0-2
DHSilkeborg IF2-2
LHFC Midtjylland0-2
Sønderjyske FodboldWHRanders FC4-2
DALyngby1-1
LHAC Horsens2-5
LAFC København1-3
LHFC Nordsjælland0-3
About this match
**AGF's home fortress meets a Sønderjyske side desperately chasing consistency** — the visitors have leaked goals for fun lately (conceded 5 to Horsens last time out), while the hosts are hunting a third straight win at Vejlby. 🏟️
AGF sitting at 1W-2D-2L form, but their home record has bite. Sønderjyske spiraling after that mauling — 1W-1D-3L is relegation-zone energy. The H2H tells the real story: AGF own this fixture (20 wins to 10).
Key storylines:
- **T. Bech and J. Serra** lead AGF's attack at home, where they've shown ruthless finishing
- **Sønderjyske's backline** (C. Duru, M. Soulas, B. Bjarnason) has been exposed; watch for quick transitions
- **R. Carstensen and M. Anderson** will anchor AGF's midfield to control tempo and limit the visitors' chaos
Expected lineups:
- **AGF**: M. Hedenstad, F. Emmery, C. Rösler, R. Carstensen, M. Anderson, K. Arnstad, J. Serra, T. Bech, S. Jørgensen
- **Sønderjyske Fodbold**: M. Bundgaard Sorensen, C. Duru, M. Soulas, B. Bjarnason, A. Munksgaard, M. Haidara, S. Emini, M. Hoppe, R. Vinderslev, I. Seydi
Prediction:
**AGF 2–0 Sønderjyske** — home form + visitor fragility = comfortable evening for the hosts. Lean AGF.
Where to watch
TV 2 Sport X
TV2 Play
Match facts
Stadium
Vejlby Stadion
City
Aarhus
Kickoff
12 Oct, 17:00 UTC
Competition
Danish Superliga
Highlights & clips
AGF
3-4-2-1 · 4-2-3-1
Sønderjyske Fodbold
1
J. Hansen
8.4
14
T. Mølgaard
8.0
5
F. Tingager
9.3
19
E. Kahl
6.7
↑ 77'
26
J. Andersen
↑ 90'
10
K. Arnstad
8.5
4
M. Knudsen
6.9
18
C. McCowatt
6.5
↑ 63'
28
J. Bogere
↑ 90'
23
M. Anderson
7.0
27
S. Tchamche
6.4
↑ 78'
24
N. Shinton
4.9
3
A. Munksgaard
6.7
12
M. Soulas
6.7
21
S. Velkov
7.2
↑ 46'
19
P. Kristensen
6.2
22
A. Oggesen
6.5
↑ 81'
33
J. Christensen
6.5
↑ 66'
26
B. Tambedou
6.5
↑ 81'
8
M. Haidara
7.1
14
T. Haltvik
6.2
↑ 66'
11
O. D. Rosario
6.1
Substitutes
21GM. Hedenstad
3DD. Grétarsson↓ 77'7.1
25DC. Rösler
39MF. Emmery↓ 63'6.9
29MR. Carstensen↓ 90'6.7
7MM. Solbakken
8MS. Jørgensen
13FJ. Serra↓ 78'6.8
31FT. Bech↓ 90'6.8
Coach: Jakob Poulsen
Substitutes
1GN. Flø
25DB. Bjarnason↓ 46'6.0
30DG. Wagner
10MM. Olesen↓ 66'7.0
17MA. Hoeg↓ 81'6.7
7MS. Emini↓ 66'6.4
34ME. Hjort-Pedersen
31FI. Seydi↓ 81'6.7
9FM. Hoppe
Coach: Fatah Abdirahman
Top stats
53%Possession47%
1.38Expected goals (xG)1.49
9Total shots14
4Shots on target5
2Big chances3
3Corners7
Shots
3Shots off target7
2Blocked shots2
8Shots inside box12
1Shots outside box2
0Hit woodwork2
1Big chances scored0
1Big chances missed3
1.12Goals prevented-1.69
Attack
19Touches in box23
36Final third entries57
3Offsides1
11Free kicks10
1Fouled in final third1
Passing
481Passes420
418Accurate passes358
23/44 (52%)Long balls13/37 (35%)
2/11 (18%)Crosses5/29 (17%)
17Throw-ins14
Duels
47Duels53
28/61 (46%)Ground duels33/61 (54%)
11/22 (50%)Aerial duels11/22 (50%)
5/13 (38%)Dribbles10/18 (56%)
6Dispossessed4
Defending
12Tackles14
67Tackles won71
9Interceptions3
35Clearances17
43Recoveries47
Discipline
10Fouls11
0Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
Goalkeeping
4Saves1
1Big saves0
11Goal kicks5
0Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 25 bookmakers
1X2AGF to win 61% · 1.85 @ William Hill
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 64% · 3.20 @ William Hill
Who winsAGF to win (DNB) 72% · 1.22 @ 888Sport
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 83% · 1.70 @ William Hill
BTTSBoth teams to score 60% · 2.75 @ Bet365
CornersOver 9.5 corners 51% · 1.57 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 8.5 corners 63% · 1.32 @ 1xBet
1X2Draw 21% · 3.02 @ 1xBet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 60% · 1.85 @ Pinnacle
1X2Sønderjyske to win 18% · 5.03 @ 1xBet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 58% · 1.71 @ Pinnacle
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.53
AGF
4.33
Draw
5.25
Sønderjyske Fodbold
Double Chanceconsensus
1.14
AGF or Draw
1.17
AGF or Sønderjyske Fodbold
2.42
Draw or Sønderjyske Fodbold
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.57
Yes
2.25
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
3.10
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
11.00
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.02
Over 0.50
17.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.11
Over 1.50
5.50
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.44
Over 2.50
2.60
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.20
Over 3.50
1.64
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
3.75
Over 4.50
1.25
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.22
AGF
4.00
Sønderjyske Fodbold
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.15
Over 7.50
4.40
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.32
Over 8.50
3.00
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.56
Over 9.50
2.31
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
1.90
Over 10.50
1.83
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.43
Over 11.50
1.50
Under 11.50
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
Over 1.5 goals
✓
83% confidence
AGF to win or draw
✓
82% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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