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Bruno Lage
Diriyah
Al-Ahli
Diriyah
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Al-Ahli
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
49607 EUR · live
Away
1.01 · implied 99.0%
87.1%
-11.9 vs price
Home
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
8.6%
+8.5 vs price
Draw
38.0 · implied 2.6%
4.3%
+1.7 vs price
Half time
987 EUR · live
Home
5.9 · implied 16.9%
64.6%
+47.7 vs price
Away
2.6 · implied 38.5%
32.9%
-5.6 vs price
Draw
2.5 · implied 40.0%
2.3%
-37.7 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
20167 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
59.2%
-39.8 vs price
Over
200.0 · implied 0.5%
40.8%
+40.3 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
2395 EUR · live
Under
1.03 · implied 97.1%
95.2%
-1.9 vs price
Over
34.0 · implied 2.9%
4.8%
+1.9 vs price
13 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
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Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
6'
Z. Hawsawi · Foul
17'
I. Gueye · Foul
25'
⚽
E. Spertsyan0–1
Half-time · 0–1
57'
🔁
M. Gonçalves ◂ W. Galeno
58'
V. A. Edoa · Foul
61'
R. Hamed · Foul
68'
🔁
A. Al-Malki ◂ H. Al-Qahtani
69'
A. Al-Malki · Foul
77'
🔁
M. Hameran ◂ C. Mbemba
77'
🔁
M. F. Al-Nemer ◂ C. Diandy
77'
🔁
H. Bahebri ◂ I. Gueye
82'
🔁
F. Al-Buraikan ◂ Z. Aljohani
89'
🔁
T. Wadi ◂ A. Al-Faraj
Full-time · 0–1
90'
🔁
N. Masoud ◂ F. Trincão
90'
🔁
S. Aboulshamat ◂ E. Spertsyan
90'
🔁
M. Bakor ◂ R. Hamed
90'+4
N. Masoud · Foul
Coaches
Bruno LageMarino Pušić 
Recent form
DiriyahDAAl-Ain1-1
LAAl-Rayyan1-2
WHFA 20002-0
WATrelleborgs FF4-1
Al-AhliDHFulham1-1
LAPortimonense SAD0-2
LAVitória SC1-3
DARio Ave2-2
LAHolstein Kiel1-4
Where to watch
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Match facts
Stadium
Prince Faisal bin Fahd Stadium
City
Riyadh
Kickoff
13 Aug, 18:00 UTC
Competition
Saudi Pro League
Highlights & clips
Diriyah
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Al-Ahli
22
N. Vasilj
7.4
12
T. Wadi
↑ 89'
21
M. Hameran
6.9
↑ 77'
87
Q. Lajami
6.7
15
O. Colley
6.4
88
A. Al-Malki
6.6
↑ 68'
11
H. Bahebri
6.8
↑ 77'
75
M. F. Al-Nemer
6.5
↑ 77'
14
Ó. Rodríguez
6.4
7
G. N'Koudou
7.1
9
G. Laborde
6.3
1
A. A. Sanbi
7.8
5
M. Bakor
↑ 90'
28
M. Demiral
7.6
3
R. Ibañez
7.2
2
Z. Hawsawi
7.4
6
V. A. Edoa
7.1
9
F. Al-Buraikan
6.9
↑ 82'
66
N. Masoud
↑ 90'
47
S. Aboulshamat
↑ 90'
20
M. Gonçalves
6.6
↑ 57'
17
I. Toney
6.3
Top stats
57%Possession43%
1.35Expected goals (xG)0.95
18Total shots15
3Shots on target7
2Big chances2
8Corners4
Shots
11Shots off target6
4Blocked shots2
8Shots inside box13
10Shots outside box2
1Hit woodwork0
2Big chances missed2
0.1Goals prevented0.73
Attack
27Touches in box23
61Final third entries38
2Offsides4
11Free kicks8
2Fouled in final third2
Passing
401Passes317
340Accurate passes263
22/44 (50%)Long balls29/47 (62%)
8/37 (22%)Crosses6/10 (60%)
19Throw-ins17
Duels
40Duels60
26/56 (46%)Ground duels30/56 (54%)
5/22 (23%)Aerial duels17/22 (77%)
3/8 (38%)Dribbles9/15 (60%)
8Dispossessed6
Defending
12Tackles13
75Tackles won85
5Interceptions7
9Clearances40
48Recoveries39
Discipline
8Fouls11
2Yellow cards4
Goalkeeping
6Saves3
1Big saves1
8Goal kicks16
1Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 34 bookmakers
Who winsAl-Ahli to win (DNB) 71% · 1.30 @ BetMGM.uk
1X2Al-Ahli to win 56% · 1.95 @ fonbet
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 60% · 1.62 @ Bet365
BTTSBoth teams to score 59% · 1.67 @ Novibet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 80% · 1.20 @ Interwetten
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 66% · 1.45 @ Betway
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 54% · 1.85 @ 10bet
1X2Draw 22% · 3.05 @ kto
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 60% · 1.03 @ betsensation
1X2Diriyah to win 22% · 4.50 @ fonbet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
4.68
Diriyah
4.08
Draw
1.58
Al-Ahli
Double Chanceconsensus
2.19
Diriyah or Draw
1.19
Diriyah or Al-Ahli
1.15
Draw or Al-Ahli
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.58
Yes
2.19
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.03
Over 0.50 ▲
14.00
Under 0.50 ▼
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.15
Over 1.50
4.60
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.54
Over 2.50
2.29
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.34
Over 3.50
1.51
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
4.35
Over 4.50 ▲
1.20
Under 4.50 ▼
Draw No Betconsensus
3.56
Diriyah
1.24
Al-Ahli
Total Corners (O/U) 3.50consensus
15.25
Under 3.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
1.02
Over 4.50 ▲
12.25
Under 4.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.07
Over 5.50 ▲
6.95
Under 5.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.17
Over 6.50 ▲
4.38
Under 6.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.33
Over 7.50 ▲
3.00
Under 7.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.54
Over 8.50
2.30
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.96
Over 9.50 ▲
1.75
Under 9.50 ▼
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
Over 1.5 goals
✗
80% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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