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Thomas Letsch
Al-Shabab
Al-Qadsiah
Al-Shabab
4-2-3-1 · 3-1-4-2
Al-Qadsiah
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
34123 EUR · live
Away
1.01 · implied 99.0%
64.3%
-34.7 vs price
Draw
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
24.0%
+23.9 vs price
Home
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
11.7%
+11.6 vs price
Half time
352 EUR · live
Away
9.0 · implied 11.1%
88.1%
+77.0 vs price
Home
1.59 · implied 62.9%
10.2%
-52.7 vs price
Draw
3.5 · implied 28.6%
1.4%
-27.2 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
16260 EUR · live
Over
2.0 · implied 50.0%
87.2%
+37.2 vs price
Under
2.0 · implied 50.0%
12.8%
-37.2 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
593 EUR · live
Under
1.31 · implied 76.3%
72.3%
-4.0 vs price
Over
5.4 · implied 18.5%
27.7%
+9.1 vs price
13 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
2'
M. Barry · Foul
15'
⚽
H. Al-Hammami · assist J. Brownhill1–0
36'
⚽
M. A. Al-Shamat · assist N. Fernández1–1
Half-time · 1–1
45'+2
A. Al-Nashri · Foul
60'
🔁
H. Al-Dubais ◂ A. Al-Nashri
65'
N. Fernández · Foul
73'
🔁
C. Puertas ◂ Otávio
73'
🔁
A. Al-Salem ◂ M. Retegui
74'
🔁
Y. Al-Shahrani ◂ M. A. Al-Shamat
74'
🔁
M. H. Alqahtani ◂ M. A. Juwayr
80'
⚽
J. Quiñones · assist M. H. Alqahtani1–2
80'
🔁
T. Alammar ◂ C. Baah
84'
🔁
A. Makki ◂ M. Barry
84'
🔁
Y. Al-Dosari ◂ H. Alsebyani
84'
🔁
M. A. Shwirekh ◂ Y. Adli
88'
🔁
H. Al-Khorayef ◂ M. Al-Thani
Full-time · 1–3
90'+3
⚽
T. Alammar · assist J. Quiñones1–3
Coaches
Brendan Rodgers 
Recent form
WHMC Alger3-1
WHAl-Ahli Doha3-0
WHAl-Nasr Dubai1-0
DAACS Știința Politehnica Timișoara0-0
LAAl-Najma SC0-1
LALevante UD0-1
DAReal Oviedo0-0
WAAl-Ittihad5-1
WHAl-Hazem2-0
WAAl-Fayha2-1
Where to watch
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Match facts
Stadium
Al-Shabab Club Stadium
City
Riyadh
Kickoff
13 Aug, 18:00 UTC
Competition
Saudi Pro League
Highlights & clips
33
M. Al-Mahasneh
5.4
99
H. Al-Khorayef
6.5
↑ 88'
4
T. Jedvaj
6.7
5
A. Makki
6.6
↑ 84'
56
Y. Al-Dosari
6.2
↑ 84'
77
H. Al-Dubais
6.8
↑ 60'
2
M. A. Shwirekh
6.4
↑ 84'
22
H. Al-Hammami
6.3
8
J. Brownhill
7.3
10
Y. Carrasco
6.9
13
C. Junior
6.1
28
A. Al-Kassar
6.7
4
J. Thakri
7.0
6
N. Fernández
7.1
17
G. Álvarez
7.1
5
J. Weigl
6.5
12
Y. Al-Shahrani
6.8
↑ 74'
88
C. Puertas
6.8
↑ 73'
15
M. H. Alqahtani
7.1
↑ 74'
7
T. Alammar
7.5
↑ 80'
33
J. Quiñones
8.8
9
A. Al-Salem
6.1
↑ 73'
Substitutes
23GA. Al-Awairdhi
3DM. Barry↓ 84'6.5
17DM. Al-Thani↓ 88'6.5
16DH. Alsebyani↓ 84'6.2
94DM. Al-Rajeh
29MY. Adli↓ 84'7.7
6MA. Al-Nashri↓ 60'6.5
74MA. Hadhood
66M. Abanumay
Coach: Thomas Letsch
Substitutes
50GM. Sanyoor
2MM. A. Al-Shamat↓ 74'8.3
25MOtávio↓ 73'6.5
10MM. A. Juwayr↓ 74'6.3
22MC. Baah↓ 80'6.0
40MI. Mahnashi
11MA. Hazazi
32FM. Retegui↓ 73'6.5
19FH. Asiri
Coach: Brendan Rodgers
Top stats
45%Possession55%
1.41Expected goals (xG)3.31
8Total shots15
2Shots on target6
3Big chances6
6Corners9
Shots
4Shots off target7
2Blocked shots2
8Shots inside box12
0Shots outside box3
1Hit woodwork2
1Big chances scored3
2Big chances missed3
-0.51Goals prevented-0.01
Attack
25Touches in box41
29Final third entries69
3Offsides1
13Free kicks13
1Fouled in final third2
Passing
354Passes430
287Accurate passes339
11/39 (28%)Long balls31/50 (62%)
5/14 (36%)Crosses3/26 (12%)
13Throw-ins29
Duels
51Duels49
43/80 (54%)Ground duels37/80 (46%)
11/26 (42%)Aerial duels15/26 (58%)
7/16 (44%)Dribbles8/18 (44%)
8Dispossessed13
Defending
23Tackles17
61Tackles won53
12Interceptions9
39Clearances21
52Recoveries53
Discipline
13Fouls13
2Yellow cards1
Goalkeeping
3Saves2
1Big saves1
13Goal kicks7
2Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 42 bookmakers
Who winsAl-Qadsiah to win (DNB) 75% · 1.30 @ BetMGM.uk
1X2Al-Qadsiah to win 58% · 1.87 @ msport
CornersOver 10.5 corners 50% · 1.99 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 9.5 corners 61% · 1.65 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 8.5 corners 72% · 1.32 @ Bwin
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 64% · 1.47 @ kto
BTTSBoth teams to score 61% · 1.55 @ BetMGM.uk
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 83% · 1.27 @ Unibet
1X2Draw 22% · 3.08 @ betsensation
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 57% · 1.04 @ betsensation
1X2Al-Shabab to win 20% · 4.90 @ fonbet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
4.97
Al-Shabab
4.41
Draw
1.51
Al-Qadsiah
Double Chanceconsensus
2.30
Al-Shabab or Draw
1.17
Al-Shabab or Al-Qadsiah
1.14
Draw or Al-Qadsiah
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.49
Yes
2.40
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.02
Over 0.50 ▲
16.50
Under 0.50 ▲
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.11
Over 1.50
5.55
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.40
Over 2.50
2.66
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.05
Over 3.50
1.67
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
3.48
Over 4.50 ▼
1.30
Under 4.50 ▲
Draw No Betconsensus
3.85
Al-Shabab
1.21
Al-Qadsiah
Total Corners (O/U) 3.50consensus
14.75
Under 3.50
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
1.01
Over 4.50
15.25
Under 4.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.01
Over 5.50 ▼
11.50
Under 5.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.06
Over 6.50 ▼
7.85
Under 6.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.14
Over 7.50
4.81
Under 7.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.28
Over 8.50 ▲
3.24
Under 8.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.52
Over 9.50 ▲
2.33
Under 9.50
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
Over 1.5 goals
✓
83% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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