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Simone Inzaghi
Al-Hilal
Al Faisaly
Al-Hilal
4-1-4-1 · 4-3-3
Al Faisaly
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
120066 EUR · live
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
96.7%
-2.3 vs price
Away
950.0 · implied 0.1%
1.8%
+1.7 vs price
Draw
10.0 · implied 10.0%
1.5%
-8.5 vs price
Half time
5590 EUR · live
Home
1.09 · implied 91.7%
94.8%
+3.1 vs price
Away
14.5 · implied 6.9%
4.1%
-2.8 vs price
Draw
13.5 · implied 7.4%
1.1%
-6.3 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
6698 EUR · live
Over
1.09 · implied 91.7%
68.2%
-23.6 vs price
Under
13.0 · implied 7.7%
31.8%
+24.1 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
1287 EUR · live
Under
1.24 · implied 80.6%
68.5%
-12.1 vs price
Over
4.8 · implied 20.8%
31.3%
+10.5 vs price
15 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
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Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
15'
VAR
Penalty check · M. Mahzari
19'
⚽
K. Benzema (pen)1–0
26'
⚽
Malcom2–0
28'
⚽
R. Neves (pen)3–0
Half-time · 3–0
59'
⚽
A. Mendy · assist J. Seoane3–1
62'
A. Almogren · Foul
64'
⚽
T. Bongonda · assist C. Bassogog3–2
65'
🔁
A. A. Mhemaid ◂ A. Almogren
70'
🔁
M. K. Meite ◂ K. Benzema
71'
🔁
E. A. Muwallad ◂ T. Bongonda
71'
🔁
A. J. Ella ◂ A. Al-Shereaf
71'
🔁
N. Al-Dawsari ◂ M. Kanno
76'
🔁
A. Fallatah ◂ J. Seoane
76'
🔁
S. Haddad ◂ C. Bassogog
82'
⚽
R. Neves (pen)4–2
84'
🔁
S. Mandash ◂ C. Summerville
84'
🔁
M. A. Dawood ◂ A. Lajami
89'
🔁
M. A. Hawsawi ◂ M. Al-Harbi
Full-time · 4–2
Coaches
Simone InzaghiGiovanni Solinas 
Recent form
Al-HilalDHAl-Ahli Doha3-3
LHMC Alger0-2
WHMamelodi Sundowns2-0
WHSturm Graz II2-1
WAAl-Fayha1-0
Al FaisalyWABeltinci Klima Tratnjek3-1
LAAl-Hilal1-2
WHAl Tai1-0
DHAl-Ettifaq1-1
LAAl-Shabab0-1
Where to watch
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Match facts
Stadium
Kingdom Arena
City
Riyadh
Kickoff
14 Aug, 18:00 UTC
Competition
Saudi Pro League
Highlights & clips
Al-Hilal
4-1-4-1 · 4-3-3
Al Faisaly
37
Bono
6.8
2
M. Mahzari
6.5
55
M. A. Dawood
6.7
↑ 84'
3
K. Koulibaly
5.9
18
M. A. Hawsawi
↑ 89'
8
R. Neves
8.5
10
Malcom
7.3
22
S. Milinković-Savić
7.2
6
N. Al-Dawsari
6.7
↑ 71'
27
S. Mandash
6.7
↑ 84'
75
M. K. Meite
6.6
↑ 70'
1
F. Pacheco
6.5
3
K. Al-Harbi
5.1
4
A. Seck
5.9
5
A. Girotto
6.8
50
M. Al-Shanqiti
5.9
88
S. Haddad
6.3
↑ 76'
6
E. A. Muwallad
6.5
↑ 71'
99
A. A. Mhemaid
6.3
↑ 65'
95
A. Fallatah
6.7
↑ 76'
19
A. Mendy
7.4
11
A. J. Ella
6.5
↑ 71'
Substitutes
17GM. Al-Yami
33GM. Al-Owais
24DM. Al-Harbi↓ 89'6.9
78DA. Lajami↓ 84'6.4
38MC. Summerville↓ 84'7.6
28MM. Kanno↓ 71'6.3
72MS. A. Dahal
77MN. Al-Habashi
9FK. Benzema↓ 70'7.9
Coach: Simone Inzaghi
Substitutes
26GM. Al-Hasawi
87DA. Bin Subayt
70DM. Jahfali
2DY. Barnawi
10MT. Bongonda↓ 71'7.4
20MJ. Seoane↓ 76'7.3
13MC. Bassogog↓ 76'7.2
77MA. Al-Shereaf↓ 71'6.4
14MA. Almogren↓ 65'6.0
Coach: Giovanni Solinas
Top stats
50%Possession50%
4.5Expected goals (xG)1.82
16Total shots8
5Shots on target5
9Big chances4
7Corners1
Shots
9Shots off target2
2Blocked shots1
16Shots inside box6
0Shots outside box2
0Hit woodwork0
4Big chances scored2
5Big chances missed2
-0.51Goals prevented-0.73
Attack
42Touches in box14
53Final third entries36
0Offsides1
12Free kicks18
4Fouled in final third2
Passing
375Passes377
309Accurate passes318
25/43 (58%)Long balls27/46 (59%)
3/19 (16%)Crosses2/15 (13%)
21Throw-ins19
Duels
46Duels54
35/74 (47%)Ground duels39/74 (53%)
10/23 (43%)Aerial duels13/23 (57%)
7/13 (54%)Dribbles5/9 (56%)
10Dispossessed11
Defending
15Tackles16
40Tackles won69
12Interceptions6
11Clearances28
55Recoveries41
Discipline
18Fouls15
0Yellow cards1
Goalkeeping
3Saves1
4Goal kicks12
0Punches2
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 70 bookmakers
1X2Al-Hilal to win 82% · 1.40 @ Interwetten
Who winsAl-Hilal to win (DNB) 92% · 1.08 @ forbet
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 71% · 2.58 @ Tippmix.hu
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 86% · 1.12 @ betfair
CornersOver 9.5 corners 53% · 1.80 @ Betway
CornersOver 8.5 corners 64% · 1.50 @ Betway
BTTSBTTS: No 52% · 1.85 @ 1xBet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 58% · 1.62 @ Unibet
1X2Draw 12% · 4.30 @ tipico
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 50% · 1.16 @ BetMGM.uk
1X2Al Faisaly to win 6% · 12.50 @ betcity
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.11
Al-Hilal
7.95
Draw
15.20
Al Faisaly
Double Chanceconsensus
1.02
Al-Hilal or Draw
1.06
Al-Hilal or Al Faisaly
4.58
Draw or Al Faisaly
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.93
Yes
1.73
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.01
Over 0.50
21.42
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.07
Over 1.50
7.42
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.29
Over 2.50
3.16
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
1.78
Over 3.50
1.87
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
3.00
Over 4.50
1.37
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.03
Al-Hilal
9.70
Al Faisaly
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
1.01
Over 4.50
13.00
Under 4.50
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.04
Over 5.50
9.60
Under 5.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.10
Over 6.50 ▼
5.66
Under 6.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.22
Over 7.50
3.69
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.44
Over 8.50 ▼
2.56
Under 8.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.72
Over 9.50
1.95
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.19
Over 10.50 ▼
1.59
Under 10.50 ▲
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
Al-Hilal to win or draw
✓
94% confidence
Al-Hilal to avoid defeat
✓
92% confidence
Over 1.5 goals
✓
86% confidence
Al-Hilal win
✓
82% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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