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Ange Postecoglou
Al-Nassr
Al-Fateh
Al-Nassr
4-4-1-1 · 4-2-3-1
Al-Fateh
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
163107 EUR · live
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
74.9%
-24.1 vs price
Draw
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
22.6%
+22.5 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
2.5%
+2.4 vs price
Half time
3447 EUR · live
Home
2.08 · implied 48.1%
88.0%
+39.9 vs price
Away
11.5 · implied 8.7%
7.3%
-1.4 vs price
Draw
2.4 · implied 41.7%
4.6%
-37.0 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
38138 EUR · live
Under
2.62 · implied 38.2%
57.6%
+19.5 vs price
Over
1.61 · implied 62.1%
42.4%
-19.7 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
950 EUR · live
Under
1.05 · implied 95.2%
67.4%
-27.8 vs price
Over
20.0 · implied 5.0%
32.5%
+27.5 vs price
14 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
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Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
3'
F. A. Abdulwahed · Foul
18'
🔁
S. Alnajdi ◂ S. Al-Nasser
37'
⚽
Ângelo · assist S. Alnajdi1–0
40'
⚽
J. Félix · assist S. Mané2–0
Half-time · 2–0
46'
🔁
W. Kanga ◂ F. A. Abdulwahed
52'
J. Félix · Foul
63'
🔁
J. Ramos ◂ F. Zubaidi
64'
🔁
A. A. Khaibari ◂ A. R. A. Khaibari
66'
🔁
A. Yahya ◂ K. Coman
66'
🔁
S. Costa ◂ J. Félix
73'
⚽
S. Costa · assist A. Al-Hamdan3–0
77'
🔁
M. Marran ◂ A. Al-Hamdan
77'
🔁
S. Al Naji ◂ S. Mané
80'
🔁
A. A. Masoud ◂ L. Haraslín
81'
🔁
S. A. Tumbukti ◂ S. Baattia
Full-time · 3–0
Coaches
Ange PostecoglouKhaled Al Atawi 
Recent form
Al-NassrLHAlmería0-2
LACF Estrela Amadora2-4
WAMérida AD2-0
LASL Benfica B1-2
WHDamac FC4-1
Al-FatehLAMallorca0-3
DAAl-Kholood0-0
WHAl-Najma SC2-0
LAAl-Riyadh0-1
LAAl-Ahli1-3
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Match facts
Stadium
Al-Awwal Park
City
Riyadh
Kickoff
15 Aug, 18:00 UTC
Competition
Saudi Pro League
Highlights & clips
Al-Nassr
4-4-1-1 · 4-2-3-1
Al-Fateh
24
Bento
7.0
12
N. Boushal
6.8
3
M. Simakan
7.6
26
I. Martínez
7.0
83
S. Alnajdi
7.7
↑ 18'
23
A. Yahya
6.8
↑ 66'
17
A. Al-Khaibari
6.6
20
Ângelo
8.5
14
S. Al Naji
6.6
↑ 77'
11
S. Costa
7.8
↑ 66'
16
M. Marran
6.7
↑ 77'
94
W. A. Enazi
6.2
87
S. A. Tumbukti
6.8
↑ 81'
3
K. Boateng
6.1
17
M. Saadane
6.4
16
A. A. Khaibari
6.1
↑ 64'
8
M. Lixandru
6.7
28
Z. Youssef
7.0
11
M. Batna
6.2
9
W. Kanga
6.3
↑ 46'
29
A. A. Masoud
6.4
↑ 80'
21
J. Ramos
6.7
↑ 63'
Substitutes
53GA. Al-Otaibi
6DS. Al-Nasser↓ 18'6.8
4DN. A. Sharari
10MS. Mané↓ 77'7.0
21MK. Coman↓ 66'6.9
19MA. Al-Hassan
79FJ. Félix↓ 66'8.4
9FA. Al-Hamdan↓ 77'6.4
60FS. Haqawi
Coach: Ange Postecoglou
Top stats
59%Possession41%
1.63Expected goals (xG)1.06
18Total shots9
9Shots on target3
1Big chances1
6Corners4
Shots
7Shots off target5
2Blocked shots1
14Shots inside box5
4Shots outside box4
1Hit woodwork1
1Big chances missed1
0.1Goals prevented-0.73
Attack
41Touches in box20
57Final third entries36
3Offsides4
10Free kicks11
1Fouled in final third1
Passing
449Passes308
389Accurate passes243
16/34 (47%)Long balls22/51 (43%)
5/14 (36%)Crosses3/12 (25%)
10Throw-ins20
Duels
49Duels51
32/70 (46%)Ground duels38/70 (54%)
13/22 (59%)Aerial duels9/22 (41%)
8/18 (44%)Dribbles8/17 (47%)
9Dispossessed6
Defending
15Tackles19
60Tackles won68
9Interceptions11
23Clearances15
50Recoveries38
Discipline
11Fouls10
1Yellow cards1
Goalkeeping
3Saves6
0Big saves2
4Goal kicks11
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 16 bookmakers
1X2Al-Nassr to win 83% · 1.21 @ Bwin
Who winsAl-Nassr to win (DNB) 91% · 1.07 @ Bwin
GoalsOver 3.5 goals 54% · 1.86 @ 1xBet
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 74% · 1.31 @ Novibet
CornersOver 9.5 corners 60% · 1.62 @ Unibet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 71% · 1.31 @ Bwin
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 88% · 1.09 @ Betano
BTTSBoth teams to score 51% · 1.84 @ Pinnacle
1X2Draw 11% · 12.20 @ 1xBet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 50% · 1.87 @ Pinnacle
1X2Al-Fateh to win 7% · 20.00 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.15
Al-Nassr ▼
7.53
Draw ▲
12.19
Al-Fateh ▲
Double Chanceconsensus
1.03
Al-Nassr or Draw
1.08
Al-Nassr or Al-Fateh ▲
4.56
Draw or Al-Fateh ▼
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.72
Yes ▼
2.01
No ▲
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.01
Over 0.50
27.00
Under 0.50 ▲
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.07
Over 1.50
7.70
Under 1.50 ▲
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.31
Over 2.50
3.35
Under 2.50 ▼
Total Goals 3.50consensus
1.79
Over 3.50 ▲
1.99
Under 3.50 ▼
Total Goals 4.50consensus
2.70
Over 4.50
1.44
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.05
Al-Nassr
9.19
Al-Fateh ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
14.75
Under 4.50
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.02
Over 5.50
11.00
Under 5.50
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.07
Over 6.50
7.77
Under 6.50
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.15
Over 7.50
4.75
Under 7.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.29
Over 8.50
3.22
Under 8.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.53
Over 9.50 ▼
2.32
Under 9.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
1.87
Over 10.50 ▲
1.82
Under 10.50 ▼
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
Al-Nassr to win or draw
✓
93% confidence
Al-Nassr to avoid defeat
✓
91% confidence
Over 1.5 goals
✓
88% confidence
Al-Nassr win
✓
83% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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