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Fábio Carille
Al-Fayha
Al-Hilal
Al-Fayha
4-3-3 · 4-1-4-1
Al-Hilal
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
126033 EUR · live
Away
1.01 · implied 99.0%
96.2%
-2.8 vs price
Home
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
2.0%
+1.9 vs price
Draw
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
1.8%
+1.7 vs price
Half time
3422 EUR · live
Away
2.2 · implied 45.5%
87.2%
+41.7 vs price
Draw
2.2 · implied 45.5%
7.9%
-37.6 vs price
Home
12.5 · implied 8.0%
4.9%
-3.1 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
32017 EUR · live
Over
3.65 · implied 27.4%
74.7%
+47.3 vs price
Under
1.38 · implied 72.5%
25.3%
-47.2 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
5382 EUR · live
Under
1.08 · implied 92.6%
96.0%
+3.4 vs price
Over
20.0 · implied 5.0%
4.0%
-1.0 vs price
14 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
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Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
27'
F. Sakala · Foul
31'
⚽
S. Milinković-Savić0–1
Half-time · 0–1
46'
⚽
S. Mandash · assist K. Koulibaly0–2
46'
🔁
F. M. Alhubayshi ◂ A. Al-Qahtani
46'
🔁
A. A. Hussain ◂ N. Al-Harthi
68'
🔁
S. Ganvoula ◂ Lázaro
69'
🔁
T. Hernández ◂ M. Al-Harbi
78'
🔁
N. Al-Dawsari ◂ R. Neves
85'
🔁
A. Bamasud ◂ M. A. Baqawi
85'
🔁
M. Al-Beshe ◂ A. Semedo
85'
🔁
M. A. Dawood ◂ A. Lajami
85'
🔁
S. A. Dahal ◂ S. Mandash
85'
🔁
N. Al-Habashi ◂ C. Summerville
88'
⚽
N. Al-Dawsari0–3
Full-time · 0–3
Coaches
Fábio CarilleSimone Inzaghi 
Recent form
Al-FayhaLANeom SC1-2
DHAl Duhail0-0
LAFC Den Bosch0-2
DAKVC Westerlo0-0
LANEC Nijmegen0-7
Al-HilalWHAl Faisaly4-2
DHAl-Ahli Doha3-3
LHMC Alger0-2
WHMamelodi Sundowns2-0
WHSturm Graz II2-1
Where to watch
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Match facts
Stadium
Al Majma'ah Sport City
City
Al Majmaah
Kickoff
20 Aug, 18:00 UTC
Competition
Saudi Pro League
Highlights & clips
Al-Fayha
4-3-3 · 4-1-4-1
Al-Hilal
52
O. Mosquera
7.4
24
A. Bamasud
6.3
↑ 85'
15
P. Oliveira
5.9
2
M. Al-Rashidi
6.1
77
R. Enad
6.2
43
F. M. Alhubayshi
6.6
↑ 46'
5
H. Moura
6.8
14
M. Al-Beshe
6.4
↑ 85'
6
A. A. Hussain
6.8
↑ 46'
10
F. Sakala
6.4
35
S. Ganvoula
6.4
↑ 68'
37
Bono
7.7
2
M. Mahzari
7.1
55
M. A. Dawood
6.7
↑ 85'
3
K. Koulibaly
7.7
19
T. Hernández
7.1
↑ 69'
6
N. Al-Dawsari
7.5
↑ 78'
72
S. A. Dahal
6.4
↑ 85'
22
S. Milinković-Savić
7.5
28
M. Kanno
6.6
77
N. Al-Habashi
6.5
↑ 85'
9
K. Benzema
6.2
Substitutes
1GA. Al-Deqeel
22DM. A. Baqawi↓ 85'6.8
21DZ. Al-Sahafi
7MN. Al-Harthi↓ 46'7.1
30MA. Semedo↓ 85'6.8
20MA. Al-Qahtani↓ 46'6.5
17FLázaro↓ 68'6.8
92FM. A. Habib
9FM. A. Abdulmonam
Coach: Fábio Carille
Substitutes
33GM. Al-Owais
78DA. Lajami↓ 85'7.4
24DM. Al-Harbi↓ 69'6.9
8MR. Neves↓ 78'8.3
38MC. Summerville↓ 85'6.9
18MM. A. Hawsawi
93MA. Al-Anazi
27FS. Mandash↓ 85'7.4
75FM. K. Meite
Coach: Simone Inzaghi
Top stats
39%Possession61%
0.3Expected goals (xG)3.47
8Total shots25
3Shots on target11
0Big chances13
1Corners5
Shots
2Shots off target11
3Blocked shots3
3Shots inside box19
5Shots outside box6
0Hit woodwork2
0Big chances scored3
0Big chances missed10
-0.66Goals prevented0.46
Attack
9Touches in box44
30Final third entries72
2Offsides4
9Free kicks7
1Fouled in final third2
Passing
382Passes575
324Accurate passes522
26/52 (50%)Long balls22/35 (63%)
1/5 (20%)Crosses6/26 (23%)
10Throw-ins16
Duels
48Duels52
33/70 (47%)Ground duels37/70 (53%)
5/9 (56%)Aerial duels4/9 (44%)
9/16 (56%)Dribbles8/20 (40%)
14Dispossessed3
Defending
15Tackles21
53Tackles won71
9Interceptions11
30Clearances5
45Recoveries61
Discipline
8Fouls9
1Yellow cards0
Goalkeeping
7Saves3
1Big saves0
14Goal kicks2
1Punches0
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 69 bookmakers
Who winsAl-Hilal to win (DNB) 86% · 1.15 @ forbet
1X2Al-Hilal to win 74% · 1.58 @ merkurxtip
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 63% · 1.62 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 82% · 1.20 @ 10bet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 61% · 1.48 @ Pinnacle
BTTSBTTS: No 50% · 1.91 @ sazka
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 62% · 1.73 @ 10bet
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 51% · 2.11 @ Pinnacle
1X2Draw 16% · 3.32 @ efbet.net
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 59% · 1.73 @ betfair
1X2Al-Fayha to win 10% · 7.70 @ betcity
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
9.89
Al-Fayha ▲
6.12
Draw ▲
1.22
Al-Hilal ▼
Double Chanceconsensus
3.77
Al-Fayha or Draw ▲
1.10
Al-Fayha or Al-Hilal ▼
1.05
Draw or Al-Hilal
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.90
Yes ▲
1.80
No ▼
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.02
Over 0.50
14.15
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.12
Over 1.50 ▼
5.30
Under 1.50 ▲
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.43
Over 2.50 ▼
2.60
Under 2.50 ▲
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.12
Over 3.50 ▼
1.65
Under 3.50 ▲
Total Goals 4.50consensus
4.28
Over 4.50
1.19
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
6.78
Al-Fayha
1.07
Al-Hilal
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
1.00
Over 4.50
13.25
Under 4.50
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.04
Over 5.50
11.00
Under 5.50
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.10
Over 6.50
6.00
Under 6.50
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.21
Over 7.50
3.84
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.41
Over 8.50
2.60
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.71
Over 9.50
2.04
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.12
Over 10.50
1.65
Under 10.50
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
Al-Hilal to win or draw
✓
90% confidence
Al-Hilal to avoid defeat
✓
86% confidence
Over 1.5 goals
✓
82% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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