Al-Riyadh vs Al-Nassr — live & stats

Where the money is

372089 EUR matched · captured 3 weeks, 4 days ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 119803 EUR · live

Away 1.01 · implied 99.0%

94.1%

-4.9 vs price

Home 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

4.0%

+3.9 vs price

Draw 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

1.8%

+1.7 vs price

Half time 5786 EUR · live

Away 1.1 · implied 90.9%

88.8%

-2.1 vs price

Home 85.0 · implied 1.2%

8.5%

+7.3 vs price

Draw 11.5 · implied 8.7%

2.7%

-6.0 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 27787 EUR · live

Over 1.27 · implied 78.7%

72.3%

-6.4 vs price

Under 4.7 · implied 21.3%

27.7%

+6.4 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 2628 EUR · live

Under 1.23 · implied 81.3%

71.9%

-9.4 vs price

Over 5.4 · implied 18.5%

28.0%

+9.5 vs price

15 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 1 clip

Player of the match

Match events

18' ⚽ A. Al-Amri · assist Ângelo0–1

Half-time · 0–2

45'⁺¹ ⚽ Ângelo0–2

58' ⚽ J. Félix0–3

62' 🔁 C. Ronaldo ◂ A. Al-Hamdan

62' 🔁 C. Fall ◂ T. Okou

62' 🔁 E. Bahri ◂ S. H. Hazazi

75' 🔁 N. A. Sharari ◂ A. Al-Amri

75' 🔁 A. Al-Hassan ◂ A. Al-Khaibari

75' 🔁 A. Yahya ◂ S. Mané

76' 🔁 H. H. A. Ali ◂ F. A. Jayzani

83' ⚽ C. Ronaldo · assist A. Yahya0–4

83' 🔁 H. Al-Raqwani ◂ L. Antunes

83' 🔁 F. Al-Sobhi ◂ H. Majrashi

85' 🔁 S. Al Naji ◂ J. Félix

Full-time · 0–4

Coaches

Maurício Dulac

Ange Postecoglou

Recent form

Al-Riyadh

LAAl-Ettifaq2-4

DHAl-Gharafa2-2

WHAl-Okhdood1-0

DAAl-Taawoun1-1

WHAl-Fateh1-0

Al-Nassr

WHAl-Fateh3-0

LHAlmería0-2

LACF Estrela Amadora2-4

WAMérida AD2-0

LASL Benfica B1-2

Where to watch

ESPN 2 Africa

Match facts

Stadium

Prince Faisal bin Fahd Stadium

City

Riyadh

Referee

Abdullah Al-Owaidan

3.50 yellows/match · 16 matches

Kickoff

21 Aug, 16:00 UTC

Competition

Saudi Pro League

Highlights & clips

Al-Riyadh 4-1-4-1 · 4-4-2 Al-Nassr

82 M. Borjan 6.0 2 S. Alessa 5.7 17 H. Al-Raqwani 6.4 ↑ 83' 67 M. Al-Khaibari 6.2 14 E. Bahri 6.1 ↑ 62' 6 K. Keïta 7.0 96 C. Fall 6.2 ↑ 62' 43 B. Mensah 6.9 11 H. H. A. Ali 6.4 ↑ 76' 7 M. Trézéguet 6.1 16 F. Al-Sobhi 6.5 ↑ 83' 24 Bento 6.9 12 N. Boushal 7.8 4 N. A. Sharari 6.8 ↑ 75' 26 I. Martínez 7.3 83 S. Alnajdi 7.1 21 K. Coman 7.2 20 Ângelo 7.5 23 A. Yahya 7.2 ↑ 75' 19 A. Al-Hassan 6.6 ↑ 75' 7 C. Ronaldo 7.4 ↑ 62' 14 S. Al Naji ↑ 85'

Substitutes

97GE. Fidaa 12DS. H. Hazazi↓ 62'6.1 5DH. Majrashi↓ 83'6.1 79MF. A. Jayzani↓ 76'6.5 10MT. Okou↓ 62'6.2 19MH. Al-Shurafa 24MA. A. Tale 77FL. Antunes↓ 83'6.6 29FS. Matar

Coach: Maurício Dulac

Substitutes

53GA. Al-Otaibi 5DA. Al-Amri↓ 75'8.6 70DA. Aman 17MA. Al-Khaibari↓ 75'7.1 10MS. Mané↓ 75'6.8 18MA. Al-Jaber 79FJ. Félix↓ 85'7.9 9FA. Al-Hamdan↓ 62'6.0 60FS. Haqawi

Coach: Ange Postecoglou

Top stats

43%Possession57%

0.59Expected goals (xG)2.02

11Total shots17

1Shots on target5

1Big chances5

3Corners9

Shots

6Shots off target6

4Blocked shots6

4Shots inside box11

7Shots outside box6

0Hit woodwork0

0Big chances scored3

1Big chances missed2

-1.11Goals prevented0.01

Attack

9Touches in box32

46Final third entries57

3Offsides1

9Free kicks13

1Fouled in final third2

Passing

347Passes444

289Accurate passes384

15/40 (38%)Long balls20/36 (56%)

3/11 (27%)Crosses4/24 (17%)

13Throw-ins18

Duels

38Duels62

23/63 (37%)Ground duels40/63 (63%)

4/9 (44%)Aerial duels5/9 (56%)

4/19 (21%)Dribbles6/11 (55%)

6Dispossessed5

Defending

10Tackles21

60Tackles won76

10Interceptions8

22Clearances14

54Recoveries51

Discipline

13Fouls9

Goalkeeping

1Saves1

11Goal kicks7

0Punches1

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 71 bookmakers

Al-Riyadh 9%

15%

Al-Nassr 76%

Who winsAl-Nassr to win (DNB) 87% · 1.15 @ merkurxtip

1X2Al-Nassr to win 76% · 1.53 @ 888Sport

CornersOver 9.5 corners 60% · 1.65 @ Pinnacle

CornersOver 8.5 corners 72% · 1.35 @ Unibet

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 63% · 2.63 @ 888Sport

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 83% · 1.55 @ William Hill

BTTSBoth teams to score 52% · 2.75 @ Bet365

1X2Draw 15% · 3.75 @ Unibet

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 59% · 2.06 @ BTI Sports

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 50% · 1.88 @ Novibet

1X2Al-Riyadh to win 9% · 7.60 @ betcity

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

8.93

Al-Riyadh ▼

5.95

Draw ▲

1.24

Al-Nassr ▼

Double Chanceconsensus

3.54

Al-Riyadh or Draw ▲

1.10

Al-Riyadh or Al-Nassr ▼

1.05

Draw or Al-Nassr

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.61

Yes ▼

2.17

No ▲

Home Win to Nilconsensus

21.00

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

2.42

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.01

Over 0.50

21.25

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.07

Over 1.50 ▼

6.97

Under 1.50 ▲

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.29

Over 2.50 ▼

3.26

Under 2.50 ▲

Total Goals 3.50consensus

1.77

Over 3.50 ▼

1.96

Under 3.50 ▲

Total Goals 4.50consensus

2.76

Over 4.50

1.39

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

7.26

Al-Riyadh

1.06

Al-Nassr

Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus

1.00

Over 4.50

15.00

Under 4.50

Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus

1.03

Over 5.50

13.00

Under 5.50

Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus

1.06

Over 6.50

7.50

Under 6.50

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.17

Over 7.50

4.33

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.33

Over 8.50

2.90

Under 8.50

Full odds via API →

Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.

Al-Nassr to win or draw

✓

91% confidence

Al-Nassr to avoid defeat

✓

87% confidence

Over 1.5 goals

✓

83% confidence

A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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