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Arthur Papas
Al-Ettifaq
Al-Nassr
Al-Ettifaq
4-1-4-1 · 4-4-1-1
Al-Nassr
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
511495 EUR · live
Away
1.01 · implied 99.0%
57.8%
-41.2 vs price
Home
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
34.7%
+34.6 vs price
Draw
50.0 · implied 2.0%
7.5%
+5.5 vs price
Half time
3031 EUR · live
Away
4.3 · implied 23.3%
76.5%
+53.3 vs price
Home
4.7 · implied 21.3%
12.8%
-8.5 vs price
Draw
1.8 · implied 55.6%
10.7%
-44.9 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
64592 EUR · live
Under
2.74 · implied 36.5%
57.5%
+21.0 vs price
Over
1.56 · implied 64.1%
43.0%
-21.1 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
2708 EUR · live
Under
1.04 · implied 96.2%
84.6%
-11.6 vs price
Over
40.0 · implied 2.5%
15.4%
+12.9 vs price
15 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
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Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
12'
Bento · Professional foul last man
16'
🔁
A. Al-Otaibi ◂ Ângelo
31'
⚽
O. Duda1–0
43'
M. Dembélé · Argument
Half-time · 2–0
45'+3
⚽
Á. Medrán · assist Y. Shammari2–0
46'
🔁
A. Madu ◂ M. Al-Olayan
46'
🔁
A. Al-Khaibari ◂ C. Ronaldo
52'
🔁
J. Larsson ◂ M. Glušćević
55'
J. Félix · Foul
68'
🔁
S. Al Naji ◂ K. Coman
68'
🔁
K. Al-Ghannam ◂ R. M. Tanfouri
68'
🔁
B. Celina ◂ Y. Shammari
69'
🔁
A. Al-Hamdan ◂ S. Costa
74'
⚽
S. Mané · assist J. Félix2–1
77'
⚽
A. Al-Amri · assist J. Félix2–2
87'
🔁
M. Alaeli ◂ M. Dembélé
Full-time · 2–3
90'
⚽
S. Mané · assist S. Al Naji2–3
90'+1
VAR
Goal check · S. Mané
90'+3
🔁
N. A. Sharari ◂ S. Mané
Coaches
Arthur PapasAnge Postecoglou 
Recent form
Al-EttifaqWAAl-Fateh1-0
WHAl-Riyadh4-2
LACD Eldense1-3
DHYork City2-2
WHJohor Darul Ta'zim3-2
Al-NassrWAAl-Riyadh4-0
WHAl-Fateh3-0
LHAlmería0-2
LACF Estrela Amadora2-4
WAMérida AD2-0
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Match facts
Stadium
EGO Stadium
City
Dammam
Kickoff
25 Aug, 18:00 UTC
Competition
Saudi Pro League
Highlights & clips
Al-Ettifaq
4-1-4-1 · 4-4-1-1
Al-Nassr
92
T. B. Al-Jawsh
6.0
61
R. Al-Oteibi
6.0
4
J. Hendry
6.0
70
A. Khateeb
6.0
3
A. Madu
6.1
↑ 46'
11
O. Duda
8.1
43
B. Celina
6.2
↑ 68'
10
Á. Medrán
7.4
7
K. Al-Ghannam
6.6
↑ 68'
17
J. Larsson
6.8
↑ 52'
13
M. Alaeli
6.2
↑ 87'
24
Bento
3.0
12
N. Boushal
6.7
5
A. Al-Amri
7.2
26
I. Martínez
7.4
83
S. Alnajdi
6.6
14
S. Al Naji
6.8
↑ 68'
53
A. Al-Otaibi
6.1
↑ 16'
9
A. Al-Hamdan
6.5
↑ 69'
4
N. A. Sharari
↑ 90'
79
J. Félix
7.8
17
A. Al-Khaibari
7.0
↑ 46'
Substitutes
22GA. Hawsawi
33DM. Al-Olayan↓ 46'7.0
87DM. A. Khayrallah
58MY. Shammari↓ 68'7.3
71MM. Glušćević↓ 52'6.5
29MA. A. Ghamdi
6MF. A. Ghamdi
80FR. M. Tanfouri↓ 68'6.8
9FM. Dembélé↓ 87'6.8
Coach: Arthur Papas
Substitutes
10MS. Mané↓ 90'8.5
11MS. Costa↓ 69'7.2
20MÂngelo↓ 16'6.3
21MK. Coman↓ 68'6.1
18MA. Al-Jaber
23MA. Yahya
19MA. Al-Hassan
7FC. Ronaldo↓ 46'6.3
60FS. Haqawi
Coach: Ange Postecoglou
Top stats
60%Possession40%
0.6Expected goals (xG)2.53
14Total shots14
5Shots on target9
1Big chances5
2Corners6
Shots
5Shots off target4
4Blocked shots1
3Shots inside box8
11Shots outside box6
0Hit woodwork1
0Big chances scored3
1Big chances missed2
-0.35Goals prevented-1.29
Attack
21Touches in box17
49Final third entries55
5Offsides7
10Free kicks11
1Fouled in final third1
Passing
452Passes293
393Accurate passes239
17/37 (46%)Long balls29/57 (51%)
2/12 (17%)Crosses2/15 (13%)
8Throw-ins18
Duels
50Duels50
26/52 (50%)Ground duels26/52 (50%)
6/12 (50%)Aerial duels6/12 (50%)
6/14 (43%)Dribbles6/13 (46%)
1Dispossessed4
Defending
11Tackles9
73Tackles won67
4Interceptions6
21Clearances15
48Recoveries39
Discipline
11Fouls10
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards1
Goalkeeping
6Saves3
1Big saves0
6Goal kicks7
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers
Who winsAl-Nassr to win (DNB) 82% · 1.11 @ Betano
1X2Al-Nassr to win 67% · 1.55 @ Unibet
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 61% · 2.70 @ William Hill
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 82% · 1.55 @ William Hill
CornersOver 8.5 corners 61% · 1.51 @ Pinnacle
BTTSBoth teams to score 56% · 2.80 @ William Hill
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 63% · 1.62 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 51% · 1.97 @ Pinnacle
1X2Draw 19% · 3.60 @ Unibet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 61% · 2.00 @ betfair
1X2Al-Ettifaq to win 14% · 6.60 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
8.34
Al-Ettifaq
6.00
Draw
1.25
Al-Nassr
Double Chanceconsensus
3.70
Al-Ettifaq or Draw
1.10
Al-Ettifaq or Al-Nassr
1.05
Draw or Al-Nassr
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.58
Yes
2.25
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
20.00
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
2.52
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.01
Over 0.50
20.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.07
Over 1.50
7.50
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.29
Over 2.50
3.40
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
1.80
Over 3.50
1.96
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
2.77
Over 4.50
1.40
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
7.00
Al-Ettifaq
1.08
Al-Nassr
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.25
Over 7.50
3.11
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.50
Over 8.50
2.40
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.82
Over 9.50
1.90
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.25
Over 10.50
1.53
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.90
Over 11.50
1.31
Under 11.50
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
Al-Nassr to win or draw
✓
86% confidence
Al-Nassr to avoid defeat
✓
82% confidence
Over 1.5 goals
✓
82% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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