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Thomas Letsch
Al-Shabab
Al-Riyadh
Al-Shabab
4-4-2 · 4-1-4-1
Al-Riyadh
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
75258 EUR · live
Draw
1.07 · implied 93.5%
43.8%
-49.7 vs price
Home
16.5 · implied 6.1%
28.8%
+22.7 vs price
Away
140.0 · implied 0.7%
27.5%
+26.8 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
4502 EUR · live
Over
1.16 · implied 86.2%
69.3%
-16.9 vs price
Under
7.6 · implied 13.2%
30.8%
+17.6 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
1942 EUR · live
Under
1.03 · implied 97.1%
94.8%
-2.3 vs price
Over
38.0 · implied 2.6%
5.1%
+2.5 vs price
12 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
32'
⚽
M. Trézéguet · assist L. Antunes0–1
36'
⚽
J. Brownhill1–1
41'
⚽
L. Antunes · assist R. Abascal1–2
44'
S. Alessa · Foul
Half-time · 2–2
45'+1
⚽
Y. Carrasco · assist Y. Adli2–2
46'
🔁
A. Al Asmari ◂ T. Partey
51'
V. Lekhal · Foul
57'
⚽
T. Okou · assist M. Trézéguet2–3
60'
VAR
Card check · K. Keïta
61'
K. Keïta · Violent conduct
70'
🔁
A. Matuq ◂ M. Al-Thani
79'
🔁
E. Bahri ◂ L. Antunes
81'
⚽
Y. Carrasco3–3
86'
🔁
H. Majrashi ◂ T. Okou
89'
🔁
H. H. A. Ali ◂ M. Trézéguet
Full-time · 3–3
Coaches
Thomas LetschMaurício Dulac 
Recent form
Al-ShababDAAl-Khaleej0-0
LHAl-Qadsiah1-3
WHMC Alger3-1
WHAl-Ahli Doha3-0
WHAl-Nasr Dubai1-0
Al-RiyadhLHAl-Nassr0-4
LAAl-Ettifaq2-4
DHAl-Gharafa2-2
WHAl-Okhdood1-0
DAAl-Taawoun1-1
Match facts
Stadium
SHG Arena
City
Riyadh
Referee
Kickoff
25 Aug, 18:00 UTC
Competition
Saudi Pro League
Highlights & clips
Al-Shabab
4-4-2 · 4-1-4-1
Al-Riyadh
33
M. Al-Mahasneh
6.1
37
A. Matuq
6.8
↑ 70'
4
T. Jedvaj
6.3
3
M. Barry
6.8
21
D. Al-Enezi
6.2
22
H. Al-Hammami
6.5
40
A. Al Asmari
7.2
↑ 46'
29
Y. Adli
8.5
10
Y. Carrasco
10.0
8
J. Brownhill
8.0
9
R. Martínez
6.4
82
M. Borjan
7.6
2
S. Alessa
6.2
67
M. Al-Khaibari
6.4
26
R. Abascal
7.7
12
S. H. Hazazi
6.2
6
K. Keïta
6.0
5
H. Majrashi
6.7
↑ 86'
22
V. Lekhal
6.5
43
B. Mensah
6.7
14
E. Bahri
6.1
↑ 79'
11
H. H. A. Ali
6.4
↑ 89'
Substitutes
23GA. Al-Awairdhi
17DM. Al-Thani↓ 70'5.9
15DL. Stojanović
5DA. Makki
16DH. Alsebyani
18MT. Partey↓ 46'7.3
6MA. Al-Nashri
99FH. Al-Khorayef
77FH. Al-Dubais
Coach: Thomas Letsch
Substitutes
97GE. Fidaa
7MM. Trézéguet↓ 89'7.8
10MT. Okou↓ 86'7.2
79MF. A. Jayzani
16MF. Al-Sobhi
19MH. Al-Shurafa
17MH. Al-Raqwani
77FL. Antunes↓ 79'7.8
29FS. Matar
Coach: Maurício Dulac
Top stats
65%Possession35%
2.73Expected goals (xG)1.22
25Total shots12
9Shots on target4
5Big chances4
10Corners4
Shots
7Shots off target5
9Blocked shots3
15Shots inside box5
10Shots outside box7
0Hit woodwork1
1Big chances scored3
4Big chances missed1
-1.07Goals prevented0.23
Attack
51Touches in box16
68Final third entries41
3Offsides1
13Free kicks5
3Fouled in final third0
Passing
518Passes275
446Accurate passes208
25/42 (60%)Long balls22/54 (41%)
5/25 (20%)Crosses3/18 (17%)
17Throw-ins16
Duels
59Duels41
37/64 (58%)Ground duels27/64 (42%)
12/19 (63%)Aerial duels7/19 (37%)
5/12 (42%)Dribbles9/14 (64%)
7Dispossessed14
Defending
19Tackles14
53Tackles won43
10Interceptions16
25Clearances32
41Recoveries38
Discipline
5Fouls13
0Yellow cards2
0Red cards1
Goalkeeping
1Saves6
1Big saves1
5Goal kicks17
1Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers
CornersOver 9.5 corners 59% · 1.72 @ Unibet
Who winsAl-Shabab to win (DNB) 73% · 1.34 @ Novibet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 71% · 1.42 @ Unibet
1X2Al-Shabab to win 57% · 2.10 @ William Hill
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 60% · 3.60 @ William Hill
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 81% · 1.85 @ William Hill
BTTSBoth teams to score 57% · 3.00 @ Bet365
1X2Draw 22% · 2.80 @ Unibet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 63% · 1.52 @ Pinnacle
1X2Al-Riyadh to win 21% · 4.05 @ 1xBet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 51% · 1.91 @ 10bet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.70
Al-Shabab
3.88
Draw
4.20
Al-Riyadh
Double Chanceconsensus
1.20
Al-Shabab or Draw
1.22
Al-Shabab or Al-Riyadh
2.05
Draw or Al-Riyadh
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.57
Yes
2.25
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
3.35
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
7.50
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.01
Over 0.50
12.85
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.18
Over 1.50
4.55
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.61
Over 2.50
2.25
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.51
Over 3.50
1.50
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
4.50
Over 4.50
1.19
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.33
Al-Shabab
3.15
Al-Riyadh
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.19
Over 7.50
3.56
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.35
Over 8.50
2.62
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.69
Over 9.50
2.11
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
1.99
Over 10.50
1.79
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.56
Over 11.50
1.40
Under 11.50
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
Over 1.5 goals
✓
81% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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