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Fábio Carille
Al-Fayha
Abha
Al-Fayha
4-1-4-1 · 4-2-3-1
Abha
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
54475 EUR · live
Away
1.03 · implied 97.1%
78.9%
-18.2 vs price
Home
730.0 · implied 0.1%
12.9%
+12.8 vs price
Draw
100.0 · implied 1.0%
8.7%
+7.7 vs price
Half time
446 EUR · live
Draw
1.7 · implied 58.8%
72.0%
+13.1 vs price
Away
4.3 · implied 23.3%
22.2%
-1.1 vs price
Home
4.6 · implied 21.7%
5.6%
-16.1 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
25518 EUR · live
Under
1.55 · implied 64.5%
70.3%
+5.8 vs price
Over
2.76 · implied 36.2%
29.7%
-6.6 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
1076 EUR · live
Under
1.03 · implied 97.1%
97.9%
+0.9 vs price
Over
60.0 · implied 1.7%
2.0%
+0.4 vs price
8 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
4'
🔁
M. Al-Zaid ◂ L. Rosier
32'
⚽
Lázaro1–0
38'
K. A. Shamrani · Foul
Half-time · 1–0
45'+5
J. Gaari · Foul
46'
🔁
N. Al-Daajani ◂ F. Al-Sibyani
56'
⚽
Lázaro2–0
59'
🔁
F. Al-Ghamdi ◂ M. Al-Zaid
59'
🔁
A. Hindi ◂ K. A. Shamrani
68'
A. Diallo · Foul
76'
🔁
Z. Al-Sahafi ◂ P. Oliveira
80'
🔁
S. Ganvoula ◂ Lázaro
80'
🔁
M. Dawran ◂ N. Fekir
81'
🔁
F. M. Alhubayshi ◂ N. Al-Harthi
84'
⚽
A. Gory2–1
87'
⚽
A. Diallo3–1
87'
🔁
M. Al-Beshe ◂ H. Moura
Full-time · 3–2
90'+2
VAR
Penalty check · A. Gory
90'+4
⚽
M. Batshuayi (pen)3–2
Coaches
Damir Burić 
Recent form
DAAl-Taawoun0-0
LHAl-Hilal0-3
LANeom SC1-2
DHAl Duhail0-0
LAFC Den Bosch0-2
DHAl-Khaleej1-1
LAAl-Ahli0-4
LHAl-Hazem1-2
DAÇaykur Rizespor0-0
LAAl-Sharjah1-2
Where to watch
Sportklub 8 Croatia
Match facts
Stadium
Al Majma'ah Sport City
City
Al Majmaah
Kickoff
28 Aug, 16:00 UTC
Competition
Saudi Pro League
Highlights & clips
52
O. Mosquera
7.0
22
M. A. Baqawi
6.7
21
Z. Al-Sahafi
6.2
↑ 76'
2
M. Al-Rashidi
6.2
24
A. Bamasud
6.0
14
M. Al-Beshe
6.5
↑ 87'
43
F. M. Alhubayshi
6.3
↑ 81'
30
A. Semedo
7.1
6
A. A. Hussain
6.2
10
F. Sakala
7.0
35
S. Ganvoula
6.7
↑ 80'
16
D. Léon
6.5
37
A. Hindi
6.5
↑ 59'
3
J. Gaari
6.4
22
A. Diallo
6.3
80
S. Aljohani
6.1
8
N. Al-Daajani
6.4
↑ 46'
39
M. Al-Zaid
6.8
↑ 4'
11
A. Gory
7.5
29
M. Dawran
6.3
↑ 80'
20
K. A. Karani
6.9
44
M. Batshuayi
7.1
Substitutes
1GA. Al-Duqayl
15DP. Oliveira↓ 76'6.5
47DM. A. Dowaish
5MH. Moura↓ 87'7.5
7MN. Al-Harthi↓ 81'7.4
77MR. Enad
55MA. A. Alanazi
17FLázaro↓ 80'8.4
9FM. A. Abdulmonam
Coach: Fábio Carille
Top stats
55%Possession45%
2.15Expected goals (xG)1.42
18Total shots8
6Shots on target5
4Big chances2
5Corners3
Shots
7Shots off target2
5Blocked shots1
12Shots inside box5
6Shots outside box3
1Hit woodwork0
1Big chances scored1
3Big chances missed1
-0.51Goals prevented-1.01
Attack
24Touches in box14
50Final third entries49
2Offsides5
16Free kicks7
1Fouled in final third3
Passing
444Passes356
385Accurate passes293
30/48 (63%)Long balls26/44 (59%)
2/11 (18%)Crosses1/10 (10%)
17Throw-ins21
Duels
51Duels49
36/70 (51%)Ground duels34/70 (49%)
8/17 (47%)Aerial duels9/17 (53%)
10/16 (63%)Dribbles12/18 (67%)
10Dispossessed7
Defending
13Tackles16
62Tackles won63
4Interceptions6
26Clearances16
45Recoveries49
Discipline
8Fouls16
0Yellow cards3
Goalkeeping
3Saves3
8Goal kicks6
1Punches0
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 54% · 1.14 @ Unibet
1X2Draw 28% · 2.48 @ Unibet
Who winsAl-Fayha to win (DNB) 62% · 1.73 @ Bet365
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 74% · 1.27 @ Pinnacle
BTTSBoth teams to score 51% · 3.50 @ 10bet
1X2Abha to win 29% · 3.50 @ 1xBet
1X2Al-Fayha to win 43% · 2.62 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 70% · 2.26 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.16
Al-Fayha
3.30
Draw
3.20
Abha
Double Chanceconsensus
1.30
Al-Fayha or Draw
1.29
Al-Fayha or Abha
1.65
Draw or Abha
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.80
Yes
1.90
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
3.67
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
5.00
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.06
Over 0.50
9.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.33
Over 1.50
3.10
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.08
Over 2.50
1.72
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.80
Over 3.50
1.25
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
7.50
Over 4.50
1.07
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.62
Al-Fayha
2.06
Abha
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.45
Over 7.50
2.41
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.83
Over 8.50
1.89
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
2.38
Over 9.50
1.52
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.95
Over 10.50
1.32
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
3.95
Over 11.50
1.17
Under 11.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
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