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Thomas Letsch
Al-Shabab
Al-Hilal
Al-Shabab
4-4-2 · 4-4-2
Al-Hilal
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
469094 EUR · live
Away
1.01 · implied 99.0%
93.0%
-6.0 vs price
Home
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
4.6%
+4.5 vs price
Draw
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
2.4%
+2.3 vs price
Half time
5126 EUR · live
Away
2.2 · implied 45.5%
84.9%
+39.5 vs price
Draw
2.22 · implied 45.0%
7.8%
-37.2 vs price
Home
9.2 · implied 10.9%
7.2%
-3.6 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
74517 EUR · live
Under
1.1 · implied 90.9%
78.3%
-12.6 vs price
Over
8.6 · implied 11.6%
21.7%
+10.1 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
3327 EUR · live
Under
1.05 · implied 95.2%
69.6%
-25.6 vs price
Over
17.5 · implied 5.7%
30.3%
+24.6 vs price
14 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
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Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
Half-time · 0–0
45'+1
M. Al-Thani · Foul
46'
🔁
A. Alobud ◂ D. Podence
53'
⚽
S. Milinković-Savić · assist M. Mahzari0–1
63'
🔁
A. Matuq ◂ A. Al Asmari
68'
🔁
G. Martinelli ◂ S. Mandash
76'
🔁
N. Al-Dawsari ◂ H. Altambakti
76'
H. Altambakti · Foul
87'
⚽
R. Neves (pen)0–2
88'
🔁
S. A. Dahal ◂ M. Al-Harbi
88'
🔁
M. A. Hawsawi ◂ C. Summerville
88'
🔁
M. K. Meite ◂ O. Watkins
Full-time · 0–2
90'
M. Barry · Foul
Coaches
Simone Inzaghi 
Recent form
DAAl-Hazem1-1
DHAl-Riyadh3-3
DAAl-Khaleej0-0
LHAl-Qadsiah1-3
WHMC Alger3-1
WHAl-Ahli3-0
WAAl-Khaleej5-1
WAAl-Fayha3-0
WHAl Faisaly4-2
DHAl-Ahli Doha3-3
Where to watch
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Match facts
Stadium
Al-Shabab Club Stadium
City
Riyadh
Kickoff
04 Sep, 18:00 UTC
Competition
Saudi Pro League
Highlights & clips
1
M. Diaw
7.5
17
M. Al-Thani
6.2
4
T. Jedvaj
6.6
3
M. Barry
7.3
37
A. Matuq
6.4
↑ 63'
22
H. Al-Hammami
6.2
8
J. Brownhill
6.8
29
Y. Adli
7.6
10
Y. Carrasco
6.9
24
A. Alobud
6.6
↑ 46'
9
R. Martínez
6.3
37
Bono
7.2
2
M. Mahzari
7.7
6
N. Al-Dawsari
6.5
↑ 76'
3
K. Koulibaly
7.3
72
S. A. Dahal
6.8
↑ 88'
22
S. Milinković-Savić
8.1
28
M. Kanno
7.4
8
R. Neves
8.6
18
M. A. Hawsawi
6.7
↑ 88'
7
G. Martinelli
6.3
↑ 68'
75
M. K. Meite
6.4
↑ 88'
Substitutes
33GM. Al-Mahasneh
2DM. A. Shwirekh
94DM. Al-Rajeh
11MD. Podence↓ 46'6.8
40MA. Al Asmari↓ 63'6.3
74MA. Hadhood
6MA. Al-Nashri
99FH. Al-Khorayef
77FH. Al-Dubais
Coach: Thomas Letsch
Top stats
38%Possession62%
0.77Expected goals (xG)4.04
7Total shots24
1Shots on target6
0Big chances7
4Corners14
Shots
4Shots off target13
2Blocked shots5
5Shots inside box20
2Shots outside box4
0Hit woodwork3
0Big chances scored2
0Big chances missed5
-0.09Goals prevented0.19
Attack
16Touches in box53
40Final third entries54
2Offsides3
6Free kicks10
0Fouled in final third5
Passing
318Passes502
261Accurate passes435
26/49 (53%)Long balls32/54 (59%)
4/9 (44%)Crosses11/36 (31%)
10Throw-ins20
Duels
43Duels57
23/58 (40%)Ground duels35/58 (60%)
12/23 (52%)Aerial duels11/23 (48%)
7/18 (39%)Dribbles8/16 (50%)
6Dispossessed3
Defending
11Tackles17
64Tackles won71
10Interceptions3
28Clearances12
45Recoveries48
Discipline
11Fouls6
2Yellow cards1
Goalkeeping
3Saves1
2Big saves0
12Goal kicks6
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 25 bookmakers
Who winsAl-Hilal to win (DNB) 85% · 1.13 @ Betsson
1X2Al-Hilal to win 72% · 1.60 @ Unibet
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 69% · 2.90 @ William Hill
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 85% · 1.62 @ William Hill
CornersOver 9.5 corners 51% · 1.57 @ Pinnacle
BTTSBoth teams to score 58% · 2.88 @ William Hill
CornersOver 8.5 corners 63% · 1.32 @ Unibet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 61% · 1.88 @ 1xBet
1X2Draw 16% · 3.45 @ Unibet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 53% · 1.90 @ Pinnacle
1X2Al-Shabab to win 11% · 6.50 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
8.26
Al-Shabab
5.75
Draw
1.28
Al-Hilal
Double Chanceconsensus
3.35
Al-Shabab or Draw
1.11
Al-Shabab or Al-Hilal
1.06
Draw or Al-Hilal
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.61
Yes
2.15
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
16.00
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
2.52
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.01
Over 0.50
19.75
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.10
Over 1.50
6.50
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.35
Over 2.50
3.00
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
1.92
Over 3.50
1.82
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
3.10
Over 4.50
1.33
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
6.25
Al-Shabab
1.10
Al-Hilal
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.15
Over 7.50
3.92
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.29
Over 8.50
2.90
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.55
Over 9.50
2.29
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
1.90
Over 10.50
1.82
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.37
Over 11.50
1.51
Under 11.50
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
Al-Hilal to win or draw
✓
89% confidence
Over 1.5 goals
✓
85% confidence
Al-Hilal to avoid defeat
✓
85% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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