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Simone Inzaghi
Al-Hilal
Neom SC
Al-Hilal
4-1-4-1 · 5-3-2
Neom SC
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
18793 EUR · live
Home
1.21 · implied 82.6%
85.5%
+2.8 vs price
Away
21.0 · implied 4.8%
8.7%
+3.9 vs price
Draw
7.8 · implied 12.8%
5.9%
-7.0 vs price
Half time
671 EUR · live
Home
1.59 · implied 62.9%
70.5%
+7.6 vs price
Draw
3.45 · implied 29.0%
22.9%
-6.0 vs price
Away
12.0 · implied 8.3%
6.4%
-1.9 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
1324 EUR · live
Over
1.5 · implied 66.7%
76.4%
+9.8 vs price
Under
3.0 · implied 33.3%
23.5%
-9.9 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
802 EUR
Under
1.24 · implied 80.6%
73.7%
-6.9 vs price
Over
4.8 · implied 20.8%
30.5%
+9.7 vs price
15 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
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Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
15'
⚽
K. Koulibaly0–1
23'
S. Milinković-Savić · Foul
Half-time · 0–2
45'
⚽
A. Kone0–2
46'
🔁
S. Mandash ◂ H. Altambakti
46'
🔁
N. Al-Dawsari ◂ M. Al-Harbi
46'
🔁
M. Alburayk ◂ A. Al Oyayari
50'
M. Kanno · Foul
58'
M. A. Saad · Time wasting
60'
C. Summerville · Foul
61'
C. Galtier · Argument
64'
M. Alburayk · Foul
74'
🔁
M. K. Meite ◂ M. Kanno
75'
🔁
H. Camara ◂ M. A. Saad
84'
🔁
A. Al-Anzi ◂ K. Al-Absi
84'
🔁
S. A. Dahal ◂ M. Mahzari
84'
🔁
S. A. Muthary ◂ G. Martinelli
84'
🔁
V. Vada ◂ A. Lacazette
88'
A. Kone · Foul
Full-time · 0–2
90'+1
🔁
I. A. Hawsawi ◂ A. Al-Hejji
Coaches
Simone InzaghiChristophe Galtier 
Recent form
Al-HilalWAAl-Shabab2-0
WHAl-Ahli3-0
WAAl-Khaleej5-1
WAAl-Fayha3-0
WHAl Faisaly4-2
Neom SCWHAl-Khaleej3-0
LAAl-Riyadh0-1
LHAl-Qadsiah0-2
WAAl Faisaly2-0
WHAl-Fayha2-1
About this match
**Al-Hilal are absolutely rolling, and Neom have hit a speed bump** — this is a flat-track bully moment waiting to happen at the Kingdom Arena. 🔴
Al-Hilal's 5-0 record is no fluke: they're smashing teams at home (3-0 over Al-Ahli, 5-1 away at Al-Khaleej) while Neom have wobbled with back-to-back losses to Al-Riyadh and Al-Qadsiah. The head-to-head also tells the story — Al-Hilal 2, Neom 0.
Key storylines:
- **Al-Hilal's midfield muscle** — R. Neves and S. Milinković-Savić control the tempo in a side missing A. Lajami and S. Al-Dawsari
- **Neom's leaky defense** — M. Sarr and N. Zeze face relentless pressure from **C. Summerville** and **M. K. Meite** up front
- **A. Lacazette hunting scraps** — Neom's lone star trying to nick something on the counter
Expected lineups:
- **Al-Hilal**: Bono, M. Al-Harbi, K. Koulibaly, H. Altambakti, R. Neves, S. Milinković-Savić, C. Summerville, M. K. Meite
- **Neom SC**: M. Bułka, I. A. Hawsawi, M. Sarr, N. Zeze, A. Kone, A. Al-Hejji, G. Masouras, A. Lacazette
Prediction:
**Al-Hilal 3-0 Neom SC**
Al-Hilal's winning streak and home dominance give them a comfortable lean here. 💪
Where to watch
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Match facts
Stadium
Kingdom Arena
City
Riyadh
Kickoff
07 Sep, 18:00 UTC
Competition
Saudi Pro League
Highlights & clips
Al-Hilal
4-1-4-1 · 5-3-2
Neom SC
33
M. Al-Owais
7.2
44
S. A. Muthary
6.8
↑ 84'
6
N. Al-Dawsari
7.0
↑ 46'
3
K. Koulibaly
6.0
27
S. Mandash
6.7
↑ 46'
8
R. Neves
7.1
72
S. A. Dahal
6.8
↑ 84'
22
S. Milinković-Savić
6.9
75
M. K. Meite
6.9
↑ 74'
38
C. Summerville
7.2
11
O. Watkins
7.2
1
M. Bułka
9.2
2
M. Alburayk
6.9
↑ 46'
55
M. A. Dossari
6.4
44
N. Zeze
7.3
5
M. Sarr
7.7
19
M. A. Taha
6.6
27
I. A. Hawsawi
↑ 90'
72
A. Kone
7.8
70
H. Camara
6.5
↑ 75'
22
A. Al-Anzi
6.4
↑ 84'
23
V. Vada
6.5
↑ 84'
Substitutes
17GM. Al-Yami
24DM. Al-Harbi↓ 46'6.8
2DM. Mahzari↓ 84'6.3
87DH. Altambakti↓ 46'5.9
55DM. A. Dawood
28MM. Kanno↓ 74'6.7
77MN. Al-Habashi
18MM. A. Hawsawi
7FG. Martinelli↓ 84'6.7
Coach: Simone Inzaghi
Substitutes
81GL. Maximiano
15DA. Al Oyayari↓ 46'6.5
75DK. A. Rammah
18MA. Al-Hejji↓ 90'6.8
6MA. S. Alhassan
8MF. Al-Ghamdi
91FA. Lacazette↓ 84'6.8
77FM. A. Saad↓ 75'6.6
14FK. Al-Absi↓ 84'6.6
Coach: Christophe Galtier
Top stats
63%Possession37%
1.81Expected goals (xG)1.35
20Total shots11
5Shots on target4
1Big chances3
4Corners4
Shots
10Shots off target4
5Blocked shots3
13Shots inside box6
7Shots outside box5
1Hit woodwork1
0Big chances scored1
1Big chances missed2
-0.46Goals prevented1.63
Attack
31Touches in box11
70Final third entries38
4Offsides3
10Free kicks12
4Fouled in final third4
Passing
498Passes295
416Accurate passes222
25/50 (50%)Long balls33/66 (50%)
12/28 (43%)Crosses1/8 (13%)
12Throw-ins14
Duels
55Duels45
37/72 (51%)Ground duels35/72 (49%)
22/35 (63%)Aerial duels13/35 (37%)
8/13 (62%)Dribbles7/16 (44%)
12Dispossessed10
Defending
19Tackles17
84Tackles won71
8Interceptions9
16Clearances26
62Recoveries52
Discipline
12Fouls10
3Yellow cards3
Goalkeeping
3Saves5
3Goal kicks15
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 15 bookmakers
Who winsAl-Hilal to win (DNB) 88% · 1.06 @ Bet365
1X2Al-Hilal to win 69% · 1.73 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 65% · 1.44 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 84% · 1.12 @ Bet365
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 68%
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 56%
BTTSBoth teams to score 51% · 2.20 @ Bet365
CornersOver 8.5 corners 55%
1X2Draw 17% · 2.75 @ Bet365
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 58% · 1.67 @ Bet365
1X2Neom to win 14% · 7.00 @ Bet365
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.33
Al-Hilal
5.25
Draw
6.50
Neom SC
Double Chanceconsensus
1.11
Al-Hilal or Draw
1.17
Al-Hilal or Neom SC
3.25
Draw or Neom SC
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
2.10
Yes
1.65
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.01
Over 0.50
21.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.12
Over 1.50
6.00
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.44
Over 2.50
2.70
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.10
Over 3.50
1.67
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
3.50
Over 4.50
1.29
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.04
Al-Hilal
10.00
Neom SC
1X2 (1st Half)consensus
1.73
Al-Hilal
2.75
Draw
7.00
Neom SC
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
Al-Hilal to avoid defeat
✗
88% confidence
Al-Hilal to win or draw
✗
86% confidence
Over 1.5 goals
✓
84% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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