Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedTap a player for their full match card.
**Al-Shabab are heavy favorites here, and they need to prove they can actually finish a match.** 🎯 The hosts have drawn three of their last five — sloppy stuff for a team that's dominated the H2H against Al-Fayha historically (10 wins in 16).
Al-Fayha showed some spark with that 3-2 home win over Abha, but they're fragile away from home and have lost twice in five. Al-Shabab's defence looks solid even without **M. E. Harbush**, and that's the difference.
Key storylines:
- **Al-Shabab** keep coughing up leads; a clean sheet is non-negotiable to break this frustrating streak
- **Al-Fayha's** attack (led by **Lázaro**) can be dangerous on the break, but the away record is dire
- **J. Brownhill** and **Y. Adli** will anchor a midfield that should dominate possession and tempo
Expected lineups:
- **Al-Shabab**: M. Diaw, M. Barry, T. Jedvaj, M. Al-Thani, D. Al-Enezi, Y. Adli, J. Brownhill, H. Al-Hammami, Y. Carrasco, A. Alobud, R. Martínez
- **Al-Fayha**: O. Mosquera, M. A. Baqawi, P. Oliveira, M. Al-Rashidi, A. Bamasud, H. Moura, A. Semedo, F. Sakala, A. Al-Qahtani, S. Ganvoula, Lázaro
Prediction:
**Al-Shabab 2–0 Al-Fayha.** Hosts finally keep it tight at the back and punish Al-Fayha's leaky defence. 📍
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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