Al-Fateh 0-4 Al-Ahli: Stats, xG & Lineups – Oct 9, 2026

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Al-Fateh 0-4 Al-Ahli.

90+3'

Al-Ahli

Offside, Al-Ahli.

90+3'

M. Bakor

VAR check complete: the goal for Al-Ahli stands.

90+2'

M. Batna

Yellow card for M. Batna (Al-Fateh) for argument.

90+1'

M. A. Mutairi

Attempt saved. M. A. Mutairi (Al-Ahli), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.21.

90+1'

Al-Ahli

Corner, Al-Ahli.

90'

3 minutes of added time.

89'

Z. Aljohani

Goal! Al-Fateh 0-4 Al-Ahli. Z. Aljohani (Al-Ahli) scores.

88'

E. Spertsyan

Attempt missed. E. Spertsyan (Al-Ahli), left-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.22.

86'

F. Al-Buraikan

Attempt saved. F. Al-Buraikan (Al-Ahli), header. xG 0.03.

85'

F. Trincão

Substitution, Al-Ahli: M. A. Mutairi comes on for F. Trincão.

82'

L. Haraslín

Substitution, Al-Fateh: S. Al-Shurafa comes on for L. Haraslín.

80'

L. Haraslín

Attempt missed. L. Haraslín (Al-Fateh), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

78'

V. A. Edoa

Substitution, Al-Ahli: S. Aboulshamat comes on for V. A. Edoa.

78'

I. Toney

Substitution, Al-Ahli: A. Bondarenko comes on for I. Toney.

77'

M. Batna

Attempt blocked. M. Batna (Al-Fateh), left-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.10.

76'

F. A. Abdulwahed

Yellow card for F. A. Abdulwahed (Al-Fateh) for argument.

76'

V. A. Edoa

Yellow card for V. A. Edoa (Al-Ahli) for foul.

74'

Al-Fateh

Corner, Al-Fateh.

64'

Al-Fateh

Corner, Al-Fateh.

63'

M. Saadane

Yellow card for M. Saadane (Al-Fateh) for argument.

62'

W. Galeno

Substitution, Al-Ahli: F. Al-Buraikan comes on for W. Galeno.

62'

A. Al-Hassan

Substitution, Al-Fateh: R. Kelder comes on for A. Al-Hassan.

62'

W. Kanga

Substitution, Al-Fateh: F. A. Abdulwahed comes on for W. Kanga.

60'

I. Toney

Goal! Al-Fateh 0-3 Al-Ahli. I. Toney (Al-Ahli) scores, assisted by E. Spertsyan.

55'

K. Boateng

Yellow card for K. Boateng (Al-Fateh) for foul.

50'

F. Trincão

Goal! Al-Fateh 0-2 Al-Ahli. F. Trincão (Al-Ahli) scores.

50'

I. Toney

Attempt saved. I. Toney (Al-Ahli), right-footed shot. xG 0.24.

47'

E. Spertsyan

Attempt missed. E. Spertsyan (Al-Ahli), right-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.03.

46'

Z. Youssef

Substitution, Al-Fateh: A. A. Fawaz comes on for Z. Youssef.

46'

A. R. A. Khaibari

Substitution, Al-Fateh: S. A. Tumbukti comes on for A. R. A. Khaibari.

46'

M. Gonçalves

Substitution, Al-Ahli: E. Spertsyan comes on for M. Gonçalves.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Al-Fateh 0-1 Al-Ahli.

45+3'

W. Galeno

Attempt missed. W. Galeno (Al-Ahli), right-footed shot. xG 0.01.

45+2'

W. Kanga

Attempt missed. W. Kanga (Al-Fateh), left-footed shot. xG 0.07.

45'

3 minutes of added time.

32'

Al-Fateh

Offside, Al-Fateh.

31'

F. Trincão

Goal! Al-Fateh 0-1 Al-Ahli. F. Trincão (Al-Ahli) scores.

28'

M. Gonçalves

Attempt missed. M. Gonçalves (Al-Ahli), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

24'

M. Demiral

Attempt missed. M. Demiral (Al-Ahli), header from a corner. xG 0.03.

24'

W. Galeno

Attempt blocked. W. Galeno (Al-Ahli), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.03.

23'

Al-Ahli

Corner, Al-Ahli.

19'

Al-Ahli

Corner, Al-Ahli.

19'

I. Toney

Attempt saved. I. Toney (Al-Ahli), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

17'

M. Batna

Attempt saved. M. Batna (Al-Fateh), right-footed shot. xG 0.01.

17'

K. Boateng

Attempt missed. K. Boateng (Al-Fateh), header from a corner. xG 0.17.

17'

Al-Fateh

Corner, Al-Fateh.

14'

Al-Ahli

Corner, Al-Ahli.

10'

F. Trincão

Attempt saved. F. Trincão (Al-Ahli), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

10'

S. Baattia

Attempt saved. S. Baattia (Al-Ahli), left-footed shot. xG 0.07.

10'

Al-Ahli

Corner, Al-Ahli.

5'

Z. Aljohani

Attempt saved. Z. Aljohani (Al-Ahli), header. xG 0.10.

1'

Kick-off: Al-Fateh vs Al-Ahli.

Where the money is

225724 EUR matched · captured 3 weeks, 6 days ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 71203 EUR · live

Away 1.01 · implied 99.0%

88.5%

-10.5 vs price

Home 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

7.3%

+7.2 vs price

Draw 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

4.2%

+4.1 vs price

Half time 975 EUR · live

Away 3.0 · implied 33.3%

79.9%

+46.6 vs price

Home 8.2 · implied 12.2%

15.3%

+3.1 vs price

Draw 1.82 · implied 54.9%

4.6%

-50.3 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 20261 EUR · live

Over 1.32 · implied 75.8%

74.5%

-1.3 vs price

Under 4.0 · implied 25.0%

25.5%

+0.5 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 2343 EUR · live

Under 1.02 · implied 98.0%

89.3%

-8.7 vs price

Over 50.0 · implied 2.0%

10.6%

+8.6 vs price

13 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 1 clip

Player of the match

Match events

31' ⚽ F. Trincão0–1

Half-time · 0–1

46' 🔁 E. Spertsyan ◂ M. Gonçalves

46' 🔁 S. A. Tumbukti ◂ A. R. A. Khaibari

46' 🔁 A. A. Fawaz ◂ Z. Youssef

50' ⚽ F. Trincão0–2

55' K. Boateng · Foul

60' ⚽ I. Toney · assist E. Spertsyan0–3

62' 🔁 F. A. Abdulwahed ◂ W. Kanga

62' 🔁 R. Kelder ◂ A. Al-Hassan

62' 🔁 F. Al-Buraikan ◂ W. Galeno

63' M. Saadane · Argument

76' F. A. Abdulwahed · Argument

76' V. A. Edoa · Foul

78' 🔁 A. Bondarenko ◂ I. Toney

78' 🔁 S. Aboulshamat ◂ V. A. Edoa

82' 🔁 S. Al-Shurafa ◂ L. Haraslín

85' 🔁 M. A. Mutairi ◂ F. Trincão

89' ⚽ Z. Aljohani0–4

Full-time · 0–4

90'⁺² M. Batna · Argument

90'⁺³ VAR Goal not given after review · M. Bakor

Coaches

Jamal Sellami

Marino Pušić

Recent form

Al-Fateh

LANeom SC2-4

LHDiriyah1-2

DAAl-Taawoun0-0

DHAl-Ittihad0-0

DAAl Faisaly1-1

Al-Ahli

WHAl-Hazem3-1

LAAl-Qadsiah2-3

WHAl-Riyadh5-0

LAAl-Hilal0-3

LAAl-Kholood1-3

About this match

**Al-Ahli's the visitor here, but they've got the pedigree to make this one interesting** — Al-Fateh are limping along (0W in 5), while the away side just hammered Al-Riyadh 5-0. 📊

That said, **Al-Ahli's wobbled hard lately** (3L in 5), so form's messy on both sides. Al-Fateh haven't won in ages but they're at home in Al-Ahsa, and history slightly favors the hosts across their H2H record.

Key storylines:

- **Al-Fateh** desperately need a win to stop the bleeding; their attack has misfired (2-4, 1-2 defeats show fragility)
- **Al-Ahli's** hot-and-cold spell — one 5-0 shellacking, then a loss to Al-Qadsiah the very next outing 🎢
- **W. Kanga** and **I. Toney** lead their respective frontlines; finishing will decide this

Expected lineups:

- **Al-Fateh**: A. Šemper, A. A. Khaibari, M. Saadane, K. Boateng, Z. Youssef, M. Lixandru, L. Haraslín, F. Zubaidi, M. Batna, W. Kanga
- **Al-Ahli**: E. Mendy, Z. Hawsawi, R. Ibañez, R. Hamed, E. Spertsyan, V. A. Edoa, W. Galeno, F. Trincão, M. Gonçalves, I. Toney

Prediction:

**1-1 draw** — both teams are erratic enough to cancel each other out, and home pressure might be just enough to keep Al-Fateh from folding entirely.

Where to watch

DStv NowESPN Africa

Match facts

Stadium

Maydan Tamweel Al-Oula

City

Al-Hasa

Referee

Abdullah Al-Owaidan

3.42 yellows/match · 19 matches

Kickoff

09 Oct, 14:55 UTC

Competition

Saudi Pro League

Highlights & clips

Al-Fateh 5-4-1 · 4-2-3-1 Al-Ahli

1 A. Šemper 7.1 18 A. A. Fawaz 6.3 ↑ 46' 8 M. Lixandru 5.9 17 M. Saadane 6.2 3 K. Boateng 6.1 78 A. A. Suwailem 5.9 11 M. Batna 6.3 19 R. Kelder 6.5 ↑ 62' 87 S. A. Tumbukti 6.2 ↑ 46' 49 S. Al-Shurafa 6.3 ↑ 82' 80 F. A. Abdulwahed 6.7 ↑ 62' 1 A. A. Sanbi 6.9 15 S. Baattia 7.6 28 M. Demiral 7.4 5 M. Bakor 6.8 31 S. Y. Balobaid 8.1 19 A. Bondarenko 6.6 ↑ 78' 30 Z. Aljohani 9.0 11 M. A. Mutairi 6.4 ↑ 85' 8 E. Spertsyan 6.6 ↑ 46' 9 F. Al-Buraikan 6.7 ↑ 62' 47 S. Aboulshamat 6.9 ↑ 78'

Substitutes

94GW. A. Enazi 22DA. R. A. Khaibari↓ 46'6.2 28MZ. Youssef↓ 46'6.3 6MA. Al-Hassan↓ 62'6.3 88MO. Al-Othman 25MM. Al-Sahihi 9FW. Kanga↓ 62'6.7 10FL. Haraslín↓ 82'6.1 7FF. Zubaidi

Coach: Jamal Sellami

Substitutes

62GA. Abdo 29DM. Abdulrahman 46DR. Hamed 7MF. Trincão↓ 85'9.0 13MW. Galeno↓ 62'6.8 6MV. A. Edoa↓ 78'6.6 20MM. Gonçalves↓ 46'6.5 17FI. Toney↓ 78'8.0 21FA. H. Radif

Coach: Marino Pušić

Top stats

39%Possession61%

0.45Expected goals (xG)2.54

5Total shots17

1Shots on target10

1Big chances6

3Corners4

Shots

3Shots off target5

1Blocked shots2

4Shots inside box11

1Shots outside box6

0Hit woodwork1

0Big chances scored3

1Big chances missed3

0.04Goals prevented0.12

Attack

8Touches in box27

37Final third entries46

1Offsides1

17Free kicks20

2Fouled in final third2

Passing

277Passes451

224Accurate passes389

16/35 (46%)Long balls22/47 (47%)

2/12 (17%)Crosses5/14 (36%)

14Throw-ins13

Duels

50Duels50

33/66 (50%)Ground duels33/66 (50%)

9/18 (50%)Aerial duels9/18 (50%)

8/13 (62%)Dribbles4/11 (36%)

5Dispossessed1

Defending

8Tackles10

50Tackles won70

6Interceptions2

18Clearances14

45Recoveries44

Discipline

20Fouls17

4Yellow cards1

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

6Saves1

3Big saves0

7Goal kicks8

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 25 bookmakers

Al-Fateh 16%

19%

Al-Ahli 65%

Who winsAl-Ahli to win (DNB) 80% · 1.29 @ Novibet

1X2Al-Ahli to win 65% · 1.75 @ William Hill

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 68% · 2.90 @ William Hill

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 85% · 1.62 @ William Hill

BTTSBoth teams to score 61% · 2.62 @ Bet365

CornersOver 8.5 corners 60% · 1.50 @ Pinnacle

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 63% · 1.62 @ Pinnacle

CornersUnder 9.5 corners 51% · 1.98 @ Pinnacle

1X2Draw 19% · 3.15 @ 1xBet

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 56% · 1.82 @ Pinnacle

1X2Al-Fateh to win 16% · 5.15 @ 1xBet

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

5.75

Al-Fateh

4.95

Draw

1.42

Al-Ahli

Double Chanceconsensus

2.75

Al-Fateh or Draw

1.13

Al-Fateh or Al-Ahli

1.11

Draw or Al-Ahli

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.45

Yes

2.50

No

Home Win to Nilconsensus

13.00

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

2.90

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.01

Over 0.50

17.50

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.08

Over 1.50

6.40

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.36

Over 2.50

2.90

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

1.98

Over 3.50

1.79

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

3.25

Over 4.50

1.31

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

3.55

Al-Fateh

1.25

Al-Ahli

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.23

Over 7.50

3.50

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.48

Over 8.50

2.51

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

1.79

Over 9.50

1.96

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

2.23

Over 10.50

1.60

Under 10.50

Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus

2.80

Over 11.50

1.36

Under 11.50

Full odds via API →

Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.

Over 1.5 goals

✓

85% confidence

Al-Ahli to win or draw

✓

84% confidence

Al-Ahli to avoid defeat

✓

80% confidence

A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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