Al-Nassr 3-0 Diriyah: Stats, xG & Lineups – Oct 9, 2026

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Al-Nassr 3-0 Diriyah.

90'

3 minutes of added time.

90'

Al-Nassr

Offside, Al-Nassr.

89'

A. Al-Hamdan

Attempt blocked. A. Al-Hamdan (Al-Nassr), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.01.

87'

C. Mbemba

Attempt missed. C. Mbemba (Diriyah), header. xG 0.05.

87'

C. Ronaldo

Attempt missed. C. Ronaldo (Al-Nassr), left-footed shot. xG 0.04.

84'

I. Gueye

Substitution, Diriyah: M. F. Al-Nemer comes on for I. Gueye.

84'

A. Aman

Substitution, Al-Nassr: S. Al-Nasser comes on for A. Aman.

83'

Ó. Rodríguez

Substitution, Diriyah: T. Wadi comes on for Ó. Rodríguez.

83'

A. Boulbina

Substitution, Diriyah: H. Al-Qahtani comes on for A. Boulbina.

78'

K. Coman

Substitution, Al-Nassr: A. Yahya comes on for K. Coman.

78'

A. Al-Khaibari

Substitution, Al-Nassr: S. Al Naji comes on for A. Al-Khaibari.

78'

J. Félix

Substitution, Al-Nassr: A. Al-Hamdan comes on for J. Félix.

77'

K. Coman

Goal! Al-Nassr 3-0 Diriyah. K. Coman (Al-Nassr) scores, assisted by S. Mané.

76'

Diriyah

Corner, Diriyah.

74'

S. Mané

Attempt saved. S. Mané (Al-Nassr), right-footed shot. xG 0.08.

69'

Diriyah

Corner, Diriyah.

68'

A. Al-Faraj

Substitution, Diriyah: M. Dheban comes on for A. Al-Faraj.

68'

H. Alsebyani

Substitution, Diriyah: L. Chelfi comes on for H. Alsebyani.

67'

I. Martínez

Attempt missed. I. Martínez (Al-Nassr), header from a corner. xG 0.15.

67'

Al-Nassr

Corner, Al-Nassr.

65'

Al-Nassr

Corner, Al-Nassr.

65'

J. Félix

Attempt saved. J. Félix (Al-Nassr), left-footed shot. xG 0.04.

65'

Al-Nassr

Corner, Al-Nassr.

57'

S. Costa

Attempt missed. S. Costa (Al-Nassr), header from a corner. xG 0.05.

57'

Al-Nassr

Corner, Al-Nassr.

56'

A. Boulbina

Attempt missed. A. Boulbina (Diriyah), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

55'

Ó. Rodríguez

Attempt missed. Ó. Rodríguez (Diriyah), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

54'

Diriyah

Corner, Diriyah.

54'

C. Mbemba

Attempt missed. C. Mbemba (Diriyah), header from a corner. xG 0.04.

54'

Diriyah

Corner, Diriyah.

52'

Al-Nassr

Offside, Al-Nassr.

51'

Q. Lajami

Attempt missed. Q. Lajami (Diriyah), header from a corner. xG 0.04.

51'

Diriyah

Corner, Diriyah.

50'

E. Millot

Attempt missed. E. Millot (Diriyah), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.02.

50'

Diriyah

Corner, Diriyah.

48'

Ó. Rodríguez

Attempt missed. Ó. Rodríguez (Diriyah), right-footed shot. xG 0.05.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Al-Nassr 2-0 Diriyah.

45+4'

Diriyah

Offside, Diriyah.

45+3'

M. Simakan

Attempt missed. M. Simakan (Al-Nassr), header from a set piece. xG 0.06.

45+2'

A. Al-Faraj

Yellow card for A. Al-Faraj (Diriyah) for foul.

45+1'

Diriyah

Corner, Diriyah.

45'

4 minutes of added time.

45'

Diriyah

Corner, Diriyah.

43'

J. Félix

Attempt saved. J. Félix (Al-Nassr), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.49.

39'

D. Núñez

VAR: no penalty for Diriyah.

37'

Al-Nassr

Corner, Al-Nassr.

35'

S. Costa

Goal! Al-Nassr 2-0 Diriyah. S. Costa (Al-Nassr) scores, assisted by J. Félix.

34'

Al-Nassr

Corner, Al-Nassr.

33'

Al-Nassr

Corner, Al-Nassr.

31'

B. Djimsiti

Attempt missed. B. Djimsiti (Diriyah), left-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.31.

30'

C. Ronaldo

Attempt saved. C. Ronaldo (Al-Nassr), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

28'

C. Mbemba

Yellow card for C. Mbemba (Diriyah) for foul.

23'

C. Ronaldo

Goal! Al-Nassr 1-0 Diriyah. C. Ronaldo (Al-Nassr) scores.

23'

K. Coman

Attempt saved. K. Coman (Al-Nassr), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

22'

C. Mbemba

Attempt missed. C. Mbemba (Diriyah), header. xG 0.05.

20'

M. Simakan

Attempt missed. M. Simakan (Al-Nassr), header from a corner. xG 0.01.

19'

Al-Nassr

Corner, Al-Nassr.

18'

S. Costa

Cleared off the line! S. Costa (Al-Nassr), left-footed shot. xG 0.34.

14'

S. Mané

Attempt saved. S. Mané (Al-Nassr), left-footed shot. xG 0.07.

14'

N. Boushal

Attempt missed. N. Boushal (Al-Nassr), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.05.

14'

Al-Nassr

Corner, Al-Nassr.

9'

Al-Nassr

Offside, Al-Nassr.

6'

C. Mbemba

Attempt saved. C. Mbemba (Diriyah), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.02.

5'

Diriyah

Corner, Diriyah.

3'

Al-Nassr

Corner, Al-Nassr.

1'

Kick-off: Al-Nassr vs Diriyah.

Where the money is

253512 EUR matched · captured 3 weeks ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 155655 EUR · live

Home 1.01 · implied 99.0%

93.5%

-5.5 vs price

Away 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

4.2%

+4.1 vs price

Draw 400.0 · implied 0.2%

2.3%

+2.1 vs price

Half time 1447 EUR · live

Home 1.19 · implied 84.0%

89.2%

+5.2 vs price

Draw 2.32 · implied 43.1%

5.9%

-37.2 vs price

Away 7.2 · implied 13.9%

4.8%

-9.0 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 23593 EUR · live

Under 2.4 · implied 41.7%

53.3%

+11.6 vs price

Over 1.72 · implied 58.1%

46.7%

-11.4 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 1615 EUR · live

Under 1.24 · implied 80.6%

90.7%

+10.0 vs price

Over 15.0 · implied 6.7%

9.2%

+2.6 vs price

12 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 1 clip

Player of the match

Match events

23' ⚽ C. Ronaldo1–0

28' C. Mbemba · Foul

35' ⚽ S. Costa · assist J. Félix2–0

39' VAR No penalty · D. Núñez

Half-time · 2–0

45'⁺² A. Al-Faraj · Foul

68' 🔁 L. Chelfi ◂ H. Alsebyani

68' 🔁 M. Dheban ◂ A. Al-Faraj

77' ⚽ K. Coman · assist S. Mané3–0

78' 🔁 A. Al-Hamdan ◂ J. Félix

78' 🔁 S. Al Naji ◂ A. Al-Khaibari

78' 🔁 A. Yahya ◂ K. Coman

83' 🔁 H. Al-Qahtani ◂ A. Boulbina

83' 🔁 T. Wadi ◂ Ó. Rodríguez

84' 🔁 S. Al-Nasser ◂ A. Aman

84' 🔁 M. F. Al-Nemer ◂ I. Gueye

Full-time · 3–0

Coaches

Ange Postecoglou

Bruno Lage

Recent form

Al-Nassr

DAAl-Khaleej1-1

WHAbha2-1

LAAl-Ittihad1-2

WHAl-Taawoun2-1

WAAl-Ettifaq3-2

Diriyah

DHAbha0-0

WAAl-Fateh2-1

LHAl-Qadsiah0-2

WAAl-Ettifaq3-0

DHAl-Kholood1-1

About this match

**Al-Nassr roll into this one as clear favorites, and honestly, they should be — Diriyah's defending has looked shaky all season.** 🔵

Al-Nassr are clicking with three wins in their last five, even if that loss to Al-Ittihad stung. Diriyah, meanwhile, are grinding out results (2W 2D 1L) but haven't exactly been a fortress—a 0-2 hammering at home to Al-Qadsiah last time out tells you something.

Key storylines:

- **Cristiano Ronaldo** gets a home crowd boost at Al-Awwal Park; Diriyah's backline has leaked goals and won't relish tracking him
- **Al-Nassr's midfield dominance** with A. Al-Khaibari and Ângelo should control tempo against a Diriyah side that's been vulnerable in transitions
- Diriyah need **G. Laborde** to lead the line with real sharpness—they've scored just once in their last two, so coming to Riyadh won't get easier

Expected lineups:

- **Al-Nassr**: Bento, S. Alnajdi, I. Martínez, M. Simakan, N. Boushal, A. Al-Khaibari, Ângelo, S. Costa, S. Mané, C. Ronaldo, A. Yahya
- **Diriyah**: N. Vasilj, H. Alsebyani, B. Djimsiti, Q. Lajami, A. Al-Faraj, I. Gueye, E. Millot, Ó. Rodríguez, C. Diandy, G. Laborde, M. F. Al-Nemer

Prediction:

**Al-Nassr 2–0 Diriyah** — the hosts' quality should break through a patchy visitor's defence. 🎯

Where to watch

DStv NowESPN Africa

Match facts

Stadium

Al-Awwal Park

City

Riyadh

Referee

Mohammed Sami Taher Al Ismail

4.14 yellows/match · 21 matches

Kickoff

09 Oct, 18:00 UTC

Competition

Saudi Pro League

Highlights & clips

Al-Nassr 4-4-2 · 5-3-2 Diriyah

24 Bento 7.2 12 N. Boushal 6.8 3 M. Simakan 7.1 26 I. Martínez 6.9 6 S. Al-Nasser 6.7 ↑ 84' 14 S. Al Naji 6.6 ↑ 78' 23 A. Yahya 6.7 ↑ 78' 11 S. Costa 7.3 10 S. Mané 7.5 9 A. Al-Hamdan 6.5 ↑ 78' 7 C. Ronaldo 8.6 33 W. Abdullah 7.4 21 M. Dheban 6.4 ↑ 68' 19 B. Djimsiti 5.9 87 Q. Lajami 7.5 99 C. Mbemba 6.6 25 L. Chelfi 6.7 ↑ 68' 12 T. Wadi 6.7 ↑ 83' 75 M. F. Al-Nemer 6.6 ↑ 84' 20 E. Millot 7.0 29 D. Núñez 6.6 52 H. Al-Qahtani 6.7 ↑ 83'

Substitutes

22GA. Al-Alwan 70DA. Aman↓ 84'6.8 4DN. A. Sharari 50DM. Mohammed 21MK. Coman↓ 78'7.8 17MA. Al-Khaibari↓ 78'6.9 79FJ. Félix↓ 78'7.5 60FS. Haqawi 94FA. Sufyani

Coach: Ange Postecoglou

Substitutes

34GM. A. Sibyani 16DH. Alsebyani↓ 68'6.6 2DA. Al-Faraj↓ 68'6.5 4DS. Al-Rabiei 78DK. Al-Asiri 10MA. Boulbina↓ 83'7.3 14MÓ. Rodríguez↓ 83'6.9 5MI. Gueye↓ 84'6.7 6MS. Farhan

Coach: Bruno Lage

Top stats

52%Possession48%

2.45Expected goals (xG)0.64

17Total shots10

10Shots on target1

6Big chances1

10Corners8

Shots

6Shots off target9

1Blocked shots0

14Shots inside box8

3Shots outside box2

3Big chances scored0

3Big chances missed1

0.16Goals prevented0.71

Attack

21Touches in box19

45Final third entries54

3Offsides2

4Free kicks15

2Fouled in final third5

Passing

376Passes344

328Accurate passes299

19/32 (59%)Long balls27/46 (59%)

6/25 (24%)Crosses7/28 (25%)

12Throw-ins17

Duels

41Duels59

22/55 (40%)Ground duels33/55 (60%)

9/21 (43%)Aerial duels12/21 (57%)

4/11 (36%)Dribbles7/12 (58%)

4Dispossessed9

Defending

14Tackles11

93Tackles won64

4Interceptions8

28Clearances24

41Recoveries37

Discipline

15Fouls4

0Yellow cards2

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

1Saves6

1Big saves2

10Goal kicks9

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 25 bookmakers

Al-Nassr 66%

18%

Diriyah 15%

1X2Al-Nassr to win 66% · 1.66 @ Bet365

Who winsAl-Nassr to win (DNB) 80% · 1.20 @ Novibet

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 67% · 3.00 @ William Hill

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 84% · 1.62 @ William Hill

BTTSBoth teams to score 58% · 2.75 @ Bet365

CornersOver 8.5 corners 61% · 1.48 @ Pinnacle

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 62% · 1.61 @ Pinnacle

CornersUnder 9.5 corners 50% · 2.00 @ Pinnacle

1X2Draw 18% · 3.18 @ 1xBet

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 58% · 1.79 @ Pinnacle

1X2Diriyah to win 15% · 5.50 @ William Hill

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

1.33

Al-Nassr

5.50

Draw

6.90

Diriyah

Double Chanceconsensus

1.08

Al-Nassr or Draw

1.12

Al-Nassr or Diriyah

3.00

Draw or Diriyah

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.60

Yes

2.20

No

Home Win to Nilconsensus

2.62

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

13.00

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.01

Over 0.50

17.50

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.08

Over 1.50

6.60

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.36

Over 2.50

2.88

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

1.99

Over 3.50

1.76

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

3.29

Over 4.50

1.29

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.16

Al-Nassr

4.75

Diriyah

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.23

Over 7.50

3.50

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.46

Over 8.50

2.54

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

1.79

Over 9.50

1.98

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

2.25

Over 10.50

1.60

Under 10.50

Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus

2.80

Over 11.50

1.37

Under 11.50

Full odds via API →

Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.

Al-Nassr to win or draw

✓

85% confidence

Over 1.5 goals

✓

84% confidence

A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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