Al-Fayha 2-3 Al-Ahli: Stats, xG & Lineups – Oct 19, 2026

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Al-Fayha 2-3 Al-Ahli.

90+4'

E. Spertsyan

Substitution, Al-Ahli: M. Bakor comes on for E. Spertsyan.

90+4'

V. A. Edoa

Substitution, Al-Ahli: M. I. Diaby comes on for V. A. Edoa.

90+2'

F. M. Alhubayshi

Attempt blocked. F. M. Alhubayshi (Al-Fayha), left-footed shot. xG 0.11.

90+1'

M. A. Mutairi

Attempt saved. M. A. Mutairi (Al-Ahli), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.25.

90'

5 minutes of added time.

89'

M. Al-Rashidi

Substitution, Al-Fayha: F. M. Alhubayshi comes on for M. Al-Rashidi.

89'

Y. Souza

Substitution, Al-Fayha: N. Al-Harthi comes on for Y. Souza.

88'

M. A. Baqawi

Substitution, Al-Fayha: R. Enad comes on for M. A. Baqawi.

84'

M. A. Mutairi

Attempt saved. M. A. Mutairi (Al-Ahli), left-footed shot. xG 0.37.

80'

S. Baattia

Substitution, Al-Ahli: M. Abdulrahman comes on for S. Baattia.

80'

H. Moura

Substitution, Al-Fayha: M. Al-Beshe comes on for H. Moura.

80'

M. Gonçalves

Substitution, Al-Ahli: M. A. Mutairi comes on for M. Gonçalves.

78'

V. A. Edoa

Attempt saved. V. A. Edoa (Al-Ahli), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.29.

76'

Y. Souza

Attempt missed. Y. Souza (Al-Fayha), right-footed shot. xG 0.05.

76'

F. Al-Buraikan

Attempt saved. F. Al-Buraikan (Al-Ahli), left-footed shot. xG 0.37.

70'

S. Y. Balobaid

Attempt missed. S. Y. Balobaid (Al-Ahli), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.04.

70'

V. A. Edoa

Attempt missed. V. A. Edoa (Al-Ahli), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.17.

70'

A. Bondarenko

Goal! Al-Fayha 2-3 Al-Ahli. A. Bondarenko (Al-Ahli) scores, assisted by V. A. Edoa.

65'

Jason

Goal! Al-Fayha 2-2 Al-Ahli. Jason (Al-Fayha) scores.

59'

F. Al-Buraikan

Goal! Al-Fayha 1-2 Al-Ahli. F. Al-Buraikan (Al-Ahli) converts the penalty.

56'

F. Trincão

Attempt blocked. F. Trincão (Al-Ahli), left-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.11.

52'

E. Spertsyan

Attempt blocked. E. Spertsyan (Al-Ahli), left-footed shot. xG 0.07.

48'

Jason

Attempt blocked. Jason (Al-Fayha), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

48'

M. Gonçalves

Attempt saved. M. Gonçalves (Al-Ahli), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.06.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Al-Fayha 1-1 Al-Ahli.

45+3'

A. Bondarenko

Goal! Al-Fayha 1-1 Al-Ahli. A. Bondarenko (Al-Ahli) scores, assisted by S. Y. Balobaid.

45'

2 minutes of added time.

44'

E. Spertsyan

Attempt missed. E. Spertsyan (Al-Ahli), header. xG 0.06.

44'

H. Moura

Goal! Al-Fayha 1-0 Al-Ahli. H. Moura (Al-Fayha) scores, assisted by A. Bamasud.

39'

Jason

Attempt missed. Jason (Al-Fayha), right-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.04.

39'

Jason

Off the woodwork! Jason (Al-Fayha), left-footed shot. xG 0.13.

29'

A. A. Hussain

Attempt missed. A. A. Hussain (Al-Fayha), header. xG 0.15.

26'

F. Trincão

Attempt blocked. F. Trincão (Al-Ahli), left-footed shot. xG 0.04.

24'

F. Al-Buraikan

Attempt missed. F. Al-Buraikan (Al-Ahli), header. xG 0.03.

19'

A. Semedo

Yellow card for A. Semedo (Al-Fayha) for foul.

15'

A. Semedo

Attempt missed. A. Semedo (Al-Fayha), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

14'

Z. Aljohani

Substitution, Al-Ahli: A. Bondarenko comes on for Z. Aljohani.

1'

Kick-off: Al-Fayha vs Al-Ahli.

Where the money is

438626 EUR matched · captured 3 weeks, 5 days ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 225415 EUR · live

Away 1.02 · implied 98.0%

89.5%

-8.5 vs price

Draw 55.0 · implied 1.8%

7.8%

+6.0 vs price

Home 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

2.9%

+2.8 vs price

Half time 2022 EUR · live

Away 2.34 · implied 42.7%

71.6%

+28.9 vs price

Draw 2.06 · implied 48.5%

14.2%

-34.3 vs price

Home 10.5 · implied 9.5%

14.1%

+4.6 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 59812 EUR · live

Over 1.36 · implied 73.5%

56.1%

-17.4 vs price

Under 3.6 · implied 27.8%

43.9%

+16.1 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 3935 EUR · live

Under 1.06 · implied 94.3%

94.7%

+0.3 vs price

Over 24.0 · implied 4.2%

5.3%

+1.1 vs price

14 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 1 clip

Player of the match

Match events

14' 🔁 A. Bondarenko ◂ Z. Aljohani

19' A. Semedo · Foul

44' ⚽ H. Moura · assist A. Bamasud1–0

Half-time · 1–1

45'⁺³ ⚽ A. Bondarenko · assist S. Y. Balobaid1–1

59' ⚽ F. Al-Buraikan (pen)1–2

65' ⚽ Jason2–2

70' ⚽ A. Bondarenko · assist V. A. Edoa2–3

80' 🔁 M. A. Mutairi ◂ M. Gonçalves

80' 🔁 M. Al-Beshe ◂ H. Moura

80' 🔁 M. Abdulrahman ◂ S. Baattia

88' 🔁 R. Enad ◂ M. A. Baqawi

89' 🔁 N. Al-Harthi ◂ Y. Souza

89' 🔁 F. M. Alhubayshi ◂ M. Al-Rashidi

Full-time · 2–3

90'⁺⁴ 🔁 M. I. Diaby ◂ V. A. Edoa

90'⁺⁴ 🔁 M. Bakor ◂ E. Spertsyan

Coaches

Fábio Carille

Marino Pušić

Recent form

Al-Fayha

LAAl-Khaleej0-2

DHAl-Riyadh1-1

DAAl-Shabab0-0

LAAl-Ittihad1-2

DHAl-Kholood2-2

Al-Ahli

WAAl-Fateh4-0

WHAl-Hazem3-1

LAAl-Qadsiah2-3

WHAl-Riyadh5-0

LAAl-Hilal0-3

About this match

**Al-Ahli roll into Al Majma'ah as heavy favorites — they've torched defenses lately while Al-Fayha can't find a win to save their lives.** 🔥

Al-Fayha are stuck in neutral (0W in five), scraping draws and losses. Al-Ahli, meanwhile, just smashed Al-Fateh 4-0 and Al-Hazem 3-1, though they did slip up 2-3 to Al-Qadsiah. The H2H tells the story: **Al-Ahli own this fixture**, winning 8 of the last 14.

Key storylines:

- **Al-Ahli's attack** has been lethal — they need **I. Toney** and **F. Trincão** sharp to capitalize on a brittle Al-Fayha side
- **Al-Fayha's leaky defense** (no clean sheets in five) faces perhaps their stiffest test yet with **W. Galeno** and **E. Spertsyan** running the show
- Form gap is *massive* — three wins vs zero wins in recent play 📊

Expected lineups:

- **Al-Fayha**: O. Mosquera, M. A. Baqawi, P. Oliveira, O. Colley, H. Moura, A. Semedo, F. Sakala, Lázaro, Jason
- **Al-Ahli**: E. Mendy, S. Y. Balobaid, R. Ibañez, M. Demiral, E. Spertsyan, W. Galeno, F. Trincão, I. Toney

Prediction:

**Al-Ahli 2-0 Al-Fayha** — Al-Fayha's poor form and Al-Ahli's firepower point to a comfortable away win.

Where to watch

Canal GoatSportv 2

Match facts

Stadium

Al Majma'ah Sport City

City

Al Majmaah

Referee

Shukri Alhunfush

2.85 yellows/match · 33 matches

Kickoff

19 Oct, 15:05 UTC

Competition

Saudi Pro League

Highlights & clips

Al-Fayha 5-3-2 · 4-2-3-1 Al-Ahli

52 O. Mosquera 8.3 77 R. Enad 6.3 ↑ 88' 43 F. M. Alhubayshi 6.7 ↑ 89' 21 Z. Al-Sahafi 6.2 25 O. Colley 6.2 24 A. Bamasud 6.1 6 A. A. Hussain 5.4 14 M. Al-Beshe 6.4 ↑ 80' 7 N. Al-Harthi 6.7 ↑ 89' 30 A. Semedo 6.8 23 Jason 7.2 1 A. A. Sanbi 5.2 29 M. Abdulrahman 6.8 ↑ 80' 28 M. Demiral 6.4 3 R. Ibañez 6.7 31 S. Y. Balobaid 6.8 19 A. Bondarenko 8.3 ↑ 14' 5 M. Bakor ↑ 90' 7 F. Trincão 6.1 4 M. I. Diaby ↑ 90' 11 M. A. Mutairi 7.0 ↑ 80' 9 F. Al-Buraikan 7.3

Substitutes

1GA. Al-Duqayl 22DM. A. Baqawi↓ 88'6.0 2DM. Al-Rashidi↓ 89'5.8 47DM. A. Dowaish 5MH. Moura↓ 80'8.2 40MY. Souza↓ 89'6.8 67MD. A. Habeeb 27FS. Al-Jabri 9FM. A. Abdulmonam

Coach: Fábio Carille

Substitutes

72GS. Al-Jadani 62GA. Abdo 15DS. Baattia↓ 80'6.2 46DR. Hamed 6MV. A. Edoa↓ 90'7.2 8ME. Spertsyan↓ 90'7.1 20MM. Gonçalves↓ 80'7.0 30MZ. Aljohani↓ 14'6.5 21FA. H. Radif

Coach: Marino Pušić

Top stats

43%Possession57%

0.62Expected goals (xG)4.12

9Total shots15

2Shots on target8

2Big chances7

2Corners1

Shots

5Shots off target4

2Blocked shots3

5Shots inside box12

4Shots outside box3

1Hit woodwork0

0Big chances scored2

2Big chances missed5

0.97Goals prevented-1.53

Attack

8Touches in box24

25Final third entries75

1Offsides8

13Free kicks16

4Fouled in final third3

Passing

385Passes520

324Accurate passes455

17/41 (41%)Long balls20/44 (45%)

2/12 (17%)Crosses4/14 (29%)

12Throw-ins20

Duels

49Duels51

39/82 (48%)Ground duels43/82 (52%)

5/8 (63%)Aerial duels3/8 (38%)

9/18 (50%)Dribbles11/19 (58%)

6Dispossessed9

Defending

17Tackles15

59Tackles won53

12Interceptions15

20Clearances8

50Recoveries50

Discipline

17Fouls13

1Yellow cards0

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

5Saves0

1Big saves0

7Goal kicks6

0Punches1

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 25 bookmakers

Al-Fayha 13%

18%

Al-Ahli 69%

Who winsAl-Ahli to win (DNB) 86% · 1.15 @ Betano

1X2Al-Ahli to win 69% · 1.67 @ William Hill

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 62% · 3.60 @ William Hill

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 81% · 1.83 @ William Hill

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 67% · 1.45 @ 1xBet

BTTSBoth teams to score 52% · 3.30 @ William Hill

CornersOver 8.5 corners 57% · 1.62 @ Pinnacle

CornersUnder 9.5 corners 55% · 1.77 @ Pinnacle

1X2Draw 18% · 3.05 @ 1xBet

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 62% · 1.57 @ betfair

1X2Al-Fayha to win 13% · 6.20 @ 1xBet

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

7.20

Al-Fayha

5.00

Draw

1.35

Al-Ahli

Double Chanceconsensus

3.00

Al-Fayha or Draw

1.13

Al-Fayha or Al-Ahli

1.08

Draw or Al-Ahli

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.91

Yes

1.80

No

Home Win to Nilconsensus

15.00

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

2.40

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.02

Over 0.50

15.95

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.13

Over 1.50

5.00

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.53

Over 2.50

2.40

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

2.30

Over 3.50

1.56

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

4.20

Over 4.50

1.19

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

5.50

Al-Fayha

1.12

Al-Ahli

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.34

Over 7.50

2.90

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.60

Over 8.50

2.23

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

2.01

Over 9.50

1.75

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

2.50

Over 10.50

1.45

Under 10.50

Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus

3.30

Over 11.50

1.25

Under 11.50

Full odds via API →

Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.

Al-Ahli to win or draw

✓

87% confidence

Al-Ahli to avoid defeat

✓

86% confidence

Over 1.5 goals

✓

81% confidence

A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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