Al-Ahli 4-1 Al-Khaleej: Stats, xG & Lineups – Oct 23, 2026

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Al-Ahli 4-1 Al-Khaleej.

90+6'

I. Toney

Goal! Al-Ahli 4-1 Al-Khaleej. I. Toney (Al-Ahli) converts the penalty.

90+1'

M. Gonçalves

Attempt saved. M. Gonçalves (Al-Ahli), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.50.

90+1'

A. H. Radif

Attempt missed. A. H. Radif (Al-Ahli), left-footed shot. xG 0.21.

90'

6 minutes of added time.

89'

Z. Aljohani

Attempt missed. Z. Aljohani (Al-Ahli), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

87'

T. A. Khaibri

Goal! Al-Ahli 3-1 Al-Khaleej. T. A. Khaibri (Al-Khaleej) scores, assisted by H. A. A. Issa.

83'

R. Ibañez

Attempt saved. R. Ibañez (Al-Ahli), left-footed shot. xG 0.07.

82'

Al-Ahli

Corner, Al-Ahli.

81'

A. Bondarenko

Substitution, Al-Ahli: A. H. Radif comes on for A. Bondarenko.

81'

F. Trincão

Substitution, Al-Ahli: R. Al-Attar comes on for F. Trincão.

80'

Al-Ahli

Corner, Al-Ahli.

80'

V. A. Edoa

Attempt saved. V. A. Edoa (Al-Ahli), right-footed shot. xG 0.24.

80'

M. Abdulrahman

Attempt saved. M. Abdulrahman (Al-Ahli), right-footed shot. xG 0.34.

79'

Al-Ahli

Offside, Al-Ahli.

79'

M. Abdulrahman

VAR check complete: the goal for Al-Ahli stands.

79'

M. Barrow

Substitution, Al-Khaleej: H. A. A. Issa comes on for M. Barrow.

79'

M. Kanabah

Substitution, Al-Khaleej: B. Munshi comes on for M. Kanabah.

77'

M. Crespo

Attempt missed. M. Crespo (Al-Khaleej), left-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.02.

72'

Al-Ahli

Corner, Al-Ahli.

69'

M. Benegas

Red card! M. Benegas (Al-Khaleej) is sent off for violent conduct.

68'

M. Benegas

VAR: card upgraded for M. Benegas (Al-Khaleej).

67'

M. Al-Khabrani

Substitution, Al-Khaleej: M. Crespo comes on for M. Al-Khabrani.

66'

F. Al-Buraikan

Substitution, Al-Ahli: M. Gonçalves comes on for F. Al-Buraikan.

66'

S. Baattia

Substitution, Al-Ahli: M. Abdulrahman comes on for S. Baattia.

66'

E. Spertsyan

Substitution, Al-Ahli: Z. Aljohani comes on for E. Spertsyan.

66'

Al-Ahli

Offside, Al-Ahli.

61'

F. Trincão

Goal! Al-Ahli 3-0 Al-Khaleej. F. Trincão (Al-Ahli) scores, assisted by I. Toney.

60'

S. Al-Amri

Attempt blocked. S. Al-Amri (Al-Khaleej), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

57'

A. Bondarenko

Goal! Al-Ahli 2-0 Al-Khaleej. A. Bondarenko (Al-Ahli) scores, assisted by F. Trincão.

55'

Al-Ahli

Offside, Al-Ahli.

49'

M. Benegas

Attempt blocked. M. Benegas (Al-Khaleej), left-footed shot. xG 0.06.

49'

M. Barrow

Attempt missed. M. Barrow (Al-Khaleej), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

46'

A. Asiri

Substitution, Al-Khaleej: S. Al-Amri comes on for A. Asiri.

46'

J. King

Substitution, Al-Khaleej: T. A. Khaibri comes on for J. King.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Al-Ahli 1-0 Al-Khaleej.

45+5'

S. Baattia

Attempt missed. S. Baattia (Al-Ahli), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.01.

45+4'

Al-Ahli

Corner, Al-Ahli.

45+3'

J. King

Yellow card for J. King (Al-Khaleej) for foul.

45'

5 minutes of added time.

45'

Al-Ahli

Corner, Al-Ahli.

45'

F. Trincão

Attempt saved. F. Trincão (Al-Ahli), left-footed shot. xG 0.01.

44'

E. Spertsyan

Attempt saved. E. Spertsyan (Al-Ahli), right-footed shot. xG 0.50.

41'

Al-Khaleej

Corner, Al-Khaleej.

41'

I. Toney

Attempt blocked. I. Toney (Al-Ahli), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

41'

F. Al-Sagour

Attempt blocked. F. Al-Sagour (Al-Khaleej), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.04.

23'

M. Al-Khabrani

Yellow card for M. Al-Khabrani (Al-Khaleej) for foul.

13'

I. Toney

VAR: goal for Al-Ahli ruled out.

11'

I. Toney

Goal! Al-Ahli 1-0 Al-Khaleej. I. Toney (Al-Ahli) scores, assisted by E. Spertsyan.

9'

A. Asiri

Yellow card for A. Asiri (Al-Khaleej) for foul.

8'

V. A. Edoa

Attempt blocked. V. A. Edoa (Al-Ahli), right-footed shot. xG 0.06.

6'

F. Trincão

Attempt saved. F. Trincão (Al-Ahli), left-footed shot. xG 0.06.

1'

Kick-off: Al-Ahli vs Al-Khaleej.

Where the money is

1743 EUR matched · captured 1 week, 3 days ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 1148 EUR

Home 1.36 · implied 73.5%

84.8%

+11.3 vs price

Draw 6.0 · implied 16.7%

9.4%

-7.3 vs price

Away 9.8 · implied 10.2%

5.8%

-4.4 vs price

Half time 28 EUR

Away 8.8 · implied 11.4%

79.0%

+67.7 vs price

Home 1.76 · implied 56.8%

21.0%

-35.8 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 120 EUR

Over 1.54 · implied 64.9%

55.3%

-9.7 vs price

Under 2.72 · implied 36.8%

44.7%

+8.0 vs price

9 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 1 clip

Player of the match

Match events

9' A. Asiri · Foul

11' ⚽ I. Toney · assist E. Spertsyan1–0

13' VAR Goal check · I. Toney

23' M. Al-Khabrani · Foul

Half-time · 1–0

45'⁺³ J. King · Foul

46' 🔁 T. A. Khaibri ◂ J. King

46' 🔁 S. Al-Amri ◂ A. Asiri

57' ⚽ A. Bondarenko · assist F. Trincão2–0

61' ⚽ F. Trincão · assist I. Toney3–0

66' 🔁 Z. Aljohani ◂ E. Spertsyan

66' 🔁 M. Abdulrahman ◂ S. Baattia

66' 🔁 M. Gonçalves ◂ F. Al-Buraikan

67' 🔁 M. Crespo ◂ M. Al-Khabrani

68' VAR Card check · M. Benegas

69' M. Benegas · Violent conduct

79' 🔁 B. Munshi ◂ M. Kanabah

79' 🔁 H. A. A. Issa ◂ M. Barrow

79' VAR Goal not given after review · M. Abdulrahman

81' 🔁 R. Al-Attar ◂ F. Trincão

81' 🔁 A. H. Radif ◂ A. Bondarenko

87' ⚽ T. A. Khaibri · assist H. A. A. Issa3–1

Full-time · 4–1

90'⁺⁶ ⚽ I. Toney (pen)4–1

Coaches

Marino Pušić

Jose Manuel Gomes

Recent form

Al-Ahli

WAAl-Fayha3-2

WAAl-Fateh4-0

WHAl-Hazem3-1

LAAl-Qadsiah2-3

WHAl-Riyadh5-0

Al-Khaleej

WAAl-Fateh3-2

WHAl-Fayha2-0

DAAl-Ettifaq1-1

DHAl-Nassr1-1

DHAl-Riyadh0-0

About this match

**Al-Ahli are absolutely rolling**, and Al-Khaleej are about to step into a buzzsaw. The home side hasn't dropped a match in their last five and they're dominating the Saudi Pro League right now. 🔥

Al-Ahli's attack is firing on all cylinders with **Ivor Toney, Filip Trincão, and Winger Galeno** causing havoc. Al-Khaleej have been steady but inconsistent—three draws in their last five shows they're grinding it out defensively without the cutting edge to break through teams at this level.

Key storylines:

- **Al-Ahli's front four** (Trincão, Galeno, Spertsyan, Toney) is one of the league's most dangerous setups right now
- **Al-Khaleej's defensive record** will need to hold up against a team scoring freely; Rebocho and Al-Khabrani have their hands full
- **Historical dominance**—Al-Ahli are 8-0 in the last 12 against Al-Khaleej, a massive psychological edge

Expected lineups:

- **Al-Ahli**: E. Mendy, Hawsawi, Ibañez, Demiral, Aboulshamat, V. A. Edoa, Trincão, Galeno, Spertsyan, Al-Buraikan, Toney
- **Al-Khaleej**: Moris, Al-Jayzani, Al-Khabrani, Rebocho, A. Hamsal, Mascarell, Crespo, Kanabah, A. Sadi, Barrow, Al-Amri

Prediction:

**Al-Ahli 3–1 Al-Khaleej**

Al-Ahli are slight favorites; their form is too hot to ignore right now. 💪

Where to watch

Canal GoatSportv 3

Match facts

Stadium

Prince Abdullah al-Faisal Stadium

City

Jeddah

Referee

Abdullah Dhafer Al-Shehri

3.36 yellows/match · 14 matches

Kickoff

23 Oct, 18:00 UTC

Competition

Saudi Pro League

Highlights & clips

Al-Ahli 4-3-3 · 4-3-1-2 Al-Khaleej

1 A. A. Sanbi 6.0 29 M. Abdulrahman 6.6 ↑ 66' 5 M. Bakor 6.6 3 R. Ibañez 6.8 31 S. Y. Balobaid 6.5 6 V. A. Edoa 6.9 87 R. Al-Attar 6.3 ↑ 81' 20 M. Gonçalves 7.0 ↑ 66' 21 A. H. Radif 6.9 ↑ 81' 17 I. Toney 10.0 30 Z. Aljohani 6.4 ↑ 66' 96 M. Al-Haidari 7.9 27 F. Al-Sagour 5.6 11 S. Al-Amri 7.0 ↑ 46' 17 A. Al-Hafith 6.6 19 M. Crespo 6.1 ↑ 67' 8 O. Mascarell 6.7 16 B. Munshi 6.3 ↑ 79' 5 Rebocho 6.3 28 H. A. A. Issa 7.9 ↑ 79' 9 M. Benegas 6.2 90 T. A. Khaibri 7.7 ↑ 46'

Substitutes

62GA. Abdo 15DS. Baattia↓ 66'7.9 46DR. Hamed 7MF. Trincão↓ 81'9.3 19MA. Bondarenko↓ 81'7.7 8ME. Spertsyan↓ 66'7.0 11MM. A. Mutairi 4MM. I. Diaby 9FF. Al-Buraikan↓ 66'6.3

Coach: Marino Pušić

Substitutes

1GM. Al Ibrahim 13DA. Asiri↓ 46'6.5 3DM. Al-Khabrani↓ 67'5.9 4DB. Kouyaté 14DA. A. Shaafi 12MM. Kanabah↓ 79'7.0 15MM. Hamzi 7FJ. King↓ 46'6.6 99FM. Barrow↓ 79'6.4

Coach: Jose Manuel Gomes

Top stats

60%Possession40%

3.94Expected goals (xG)0.5

16Total shots6

11Shots on target1

8Big chances1

5Corners1

Shots

3Shots off target2

2Blocked shots3

10Shots inside box4

6Shots outside box2

1Hit woodwork0

4Big chances scored1

4Big chances missed0

-0.54Goals prevented0.97

Attack

28Touches in box14

54Final third entries35

4Offsides0

17Free kicks15

4Fouled in final third1

Passing

460Passes301

397Accurate passes241

21/41 (51%)Long balls16/37 (43%)

2/12 (17%)Crosses0/9 (0%)

21Throw-ins8

Duels

45Duels55

35/79 (44%)Ground duels44/79 (56%)

9/18 (50%)Aerial duels9/18 (50%)

10/15 (67%)Dribbles9/13 (69%)

15Dispossessed4

Defending

8Tackles20

38Tackles won60

9Interceptions11

10Clearances25

42Recoveries40

Discipline

15Fouls18

0Yellow cards3

0Red cards1

Goalkeeping

0Saves7

5Goal kicks6

0Punches1

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers

Al-Ahli 71%

17%

Al-Khaleej 11%

Who winsAl-Ahli to win (DNB) 88% · 1.14 @ Betano

1X2Al-Ahli to win 71% · 1.67 @ 1xBet

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 64% · 3.40 @ 1xBet

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 83% · 1.75 @ William Hill

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 67% · 1.60 @ Pinnacle

CornersUnder 9.5 corners 55% · 1.98 @ Pinnacle

CornersOver 8.5 corners 57% · 1.48 @ Pinnacle

BTTSBoth teams to score 51% · 3.25 @ Bet365

1X2Draw 17% · 3.10 @ Bet365

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 58% · 1.67 @ Bet365

1X2Al-Khaleej to win 11% · 6.50 @ William Hill

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

1.33

Al-Ahli

5.15

Draw

7.50

Al-Khaleej

Double Chanceconsensus

1.07

Al-Ahli or Draw

1.14

Al-Ahli or Al-Khaleej

3.15

Draw or Al-Khaleej

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.73

Yes

2.00

No

Home Win to Nilconsensus

2.30

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

15.00

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.01

Over 0.50

17.00

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.13

Over 1.50

5.75

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.50

Over 2.50

2.58

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

2.25

Over 3.50

1.62

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

3.80

Over 4.50

1.25

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.12

Al-Ahli

5.50

Al-Khaleej

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.23

Over 7.50

3.50

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.46

Over 8.50

2.54

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

1.79

Over 9.50

1.96

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

2.25

Over 10.50

1.59

Under 10.50

Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus

2.80

Over 11.50

1.36

Under 11.50

Full odds via API →

Everything we are at least 80% sure of for this match. We publish nothing below that — across all fixtures, 87.1% of these turn out right.

Al-Ahli to win or draw

89%

Al-Ahli to avoid defeat

88%

Over 1.5 goals

83%

A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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