Al-Qadsiah 2-3 Al-Hilal: Stats, xG & Lineups – Oct 23, 2026

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Al-Qadsiah 2-3 Al-Hilal.

90+5'

Al-Hilal

Offside, Al-Hilal.

90+3'

S. Al-Dawsari

Attempt missed. S. Al-Dawsari (Al-Hilal), right-footed shot. xG 0.08.

90+2'

M. A. Al-Shamat

Substitution, Al-Qadsiah: T. Alammar comes on for M. A. Al-Shamat.

90'

5 minutes of added time.

88'

C. Summerville

Substitution, Al-Hilal: S. Al-Dawsari comes on for C. Summerville.

88'

T. Hernández

Substitution, Al-Hilal: M. Al-Harbi comes on for T. Hernández.

88'

N. Al-Dawsari

Substitution, Al-Hilal: M. Kanno comes on for N. Al-Dawsari.

87'

M. Retegui

Goal! Al-Qadsiah 2-3 Al-Hilal. M. Retegui (Al-Qadsiah) scores, assisted by T. Reijnders.

86'

R. Neves

Yellow card for R. Neves (Al-Hilal) for foul.

84'

S. Milinković-Savić

Goal! Al-Qadsiah 1-3 Al-Hilal. S. Milinković-Savić (Al-Hilal) scores, assisted by S. Mandash.

83'

M. A. Juwayr

Substitution, Al-Qadsiah: M. H. Alqahtani comes on for M. A. Juwayr.

80'

Al-Qadsiah

Corner, Al-Qadsiah.

77'

R. Neves

Goal! Al-Qadsiah 1-2 Al-Hilal. R. Neves (Al-Hilal) scores, assisted by S. Milinković-Savić.

76'

M. A. Al-Shamat

Yellow card for M. A. Al-Shamat (Al-Qadsiah) for foul.

75'

M. A. Al-Shamat

Attempt saved. M. A. Al-Shamat (Al-Qadsiah), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.02.

74'

M. A. Juwayr

Attempt blocked. M. A. Juwayr (Al-Qadsiah), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

74'

H. Altambakti

Substitution, Al-Hilal: A. Lajami comes on for H. Altambakti.

61'

C. Summerville

Attempt saved. C. Summerville (Al-Hilal), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.08.

60'

Al-Hilal

Offside, Al-Hilal.

59'

O. Watkins

Attempt saved. O. Watkins (Al-Hilal), right-footed shot. xG 0.06.

59'

Al-Hilal

Corner, Al-Hilal.

56'

Al-Qadsiah

Corner, Al-Qadsiah.

56'

T. Hernández

Attempt missed. T. Hernández (Al-Hilal), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

56'

M. Retegui

Attempt blocked. M. Retegui (Al-Qadsiah), left-footed shot. xG 0.01.

49'

G. Martinelli

Substitution, Al-Hilal: S. Mandash comes on for G. Martinelli.

47'

T. Hernández

Attempt missed. T. Hernández (Al-Hilal), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.02.

47'

Al-Hilal

Corner, Al-Hilal.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Al-Qadsiah 1-1 Al-Hilal.

45+2'

O. Watkins

Attempt saved. O. Watkins (Al-Hilal), right-footed shot. xG 0.68.

45+2'

G. Martinelli

Attempt missed. G. Martinelli (Al-Hilal), right-footed shot. xG 0.25.

45'

3 minutes of added time.

45'

C. Summerville

Attempt saved. C. Summerville (Al-Hilal), right-footed shot. xG 0.13.

44'

M. A. Juwayr

Attempt missed. M. A. Juwayr (Al-Qadsiah), right-footed shot. xG 0.07.

42'

M. A. Juwayr

Attempt blocked. M. A. Juwayr (Al-Qadsiah), left-footed shot. xG 0.05.

42'

M. Retegui

Attempt missed. M. Retegui (Al-Qadsiah), left-footed shot. xG 0.05.

38'

T. Hernández

Attempt missed. T. Hernández (Al-Hilal), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

36'

H. Altambakti

Yellow card for H. Altambakti (Al-Hilal) for foul.

35'

G. Martinelli

Attempt missed. G. Martinelli (Al-Hilal), header. xG 0.14.

31'

J. Quiñones

Goal! Al-Qadsiah 1-1 Al-Hilal. J. Quiñones (Al-Qadsiah) scores, assisted by M. A. Juwayr.

30'

Al-Qadsiah

Corner, Al-Qadsiah.

30'

J. Quiñones

Attempt saved. J. Quiñones (Al-Qadsiah), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

30'

T. Reijnders

Attempt saved. T. Reijnders (Al-Qadsiah), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

29'

C. Summerville

Attempt missed. C. Summerville (Al-Hilal), right-footed shot. xG 0.11.

27'

G. Martinelli

Attempt saved. G. Martinelli (Al-Hilal), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

21'

G. Martinelli

Goal! Al-Qadsiah 0-1 Al-Hilal. G. Martinelli (Al-Hilal) scores, assisted by O. Watkins.

19'

Al-Qadsiah

Corner, Al-Qadsiah.

19'

J. Quiñones

Attempt blocked. J. Quiñones (Al-Qadsiah), header. xG 0.14.

18'

S. Milinković-Savić

Attempt missed. S. Milinković-Savić (Al-Hilal), header from a set piece. xG 0.18.

18'

N. Nandez

Substitution, Al-Qadsiah: Y. Al-Shahrani comes on for N. Nandez.

15'

O. Watkins

Attempt missed. O. Watkins (Al-Hilal), right-footed shot. xG 0.36.

13'

Al-Qadsiah

Offside, Al-Qadsiah.

10'

T. Hernández

Attempt saved. T. Hernández (Al-Hilal), left-footed shot. xG 0.04.

10'

H. Altambakti

Attempt missed. H. Altambakti (Al-Hilal), header from a corner. xG 0.05.

10'

Al-Hilal

Corner, Al-Hilal.

7'

J. Weigl

Attempt missed. J. Weigl (Al-Qadsiah), right-footed shot. xG 0.01.

5'

T. Reijnders

Attempt saved. T. Reijnders (Al-Qadsiah), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

5'

Al-Qadsiah

Corner, Al-Qadsiah.

3'

Al-Hilal

Corner, Al-Hilal.

1'

J. Weigl

Attempt missed. J. Weigl (Al-Qadsiah), right-footed shot. xG 0.01.

1'

Kick-off: Al-Qadsiah vs Al-Hilal.

Where the money is

177902 EUR matched · captured 1 week, 3 days ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 91869 EUR · live

Away 1.02 · implied 98.0%

71.7%

-26.3 vs price

Home 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

20.1%

+20.0 vs price

Draw 26.0 · implied 3.8%

8.2%

+4.4 vs price

Half time 0 EUR

Home 3.7 · implied 27.0%

100.0%

+73.0 vs price

Draw 2.84 · implied 35.2%

98.8%

+63.6 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 48347 EUR · live

Over 1.6 · implied 62.5%

57.6%

-4.9 vs price

Under 2.68 · implied 37.3%

42.4%

+5.1 vs price

12 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 1 clip

Player of the match

Match events

18' 🔁 Y. Al-Shahrani ◂ N. Nandez

21' ⚽ G. Martinelli · assist O. Watkins0–1

31' ⚽ J. Quiñones · assist M. A. Juwayr1–1

36' H. Altambakti · Foul

Half-time · 1–1

49' 🔁 S. Mandash ◂ G. Martinelli

74' 🔁 A. Lajami ◂ H. Altambakti

76' M. A. Al-Shamat · Foul

77' ⚽ R. Neves · assist S. Milinković-Savić1–2

83' 🔁 M. H. Alqahtani ◂ M. A. Juwayr

84' ⚽ S. Milinković-Savić · assist S. Mandash1–3

86' R. Neves · Foul

87' ⚽ M. Retegui · assist T. Reijnders2–3

88' 🔁 M. Kanno ◂ N. Al-Dawsari

88' 🔁 M. Al-Harbi ◂ T. Hernández

88' 🔁 S. Al-Dawsari ◂ C. Summerville

Full-time · 2–3

90'⁺² 🔁 T. Alammar ◂ M. A. Al-Shamat

Coaches

Brendan Rodgers

Simone Inzaghi

Recent form

Al-Qadsiah

WAAl-Taawoun1-0

WHAbha2-1

WAAl-Kholood5-0

DHAl-Ettifaq3-3

WHAl-Ahli3-2

Al-Hilal

WHAl-Hazem1-0

WHAl-Ittihad3-2

WAAl-Taawoun6-0

LHNeom SC0-2

WAAl-Shabab2-0

About this match

**Al-Qadsiah's flying start meets the Saudi Pro League's heavyweight champion** — this could be the perfect time to test Al-Hilal's foundations. 🔥

Al-Qadsiah have been absolutely buzzing with four wins in five, including a demolition of Al-Kholood. Al-Hilal, though, are the machine that rarely breaks — **11 wins in their last 16 meetings** and a relentless run that includes a 6-0 hammering of Al-Taawoun. Home turf won't save anyone here.

Key storylines:

- **Al-Qadsiah's momentum** has them believing, but Al-Hilal's firepower (Summerville, Watkins, Mandash) is elite-level
- **Al-Hilal's midfield engine** with Neves and Milinković-Savić controlling tempo — expect suffocation
- Missing A. Al-Aliwa is a blow to Al-Qadsiah's defensive shape heading into this storm

Expected lineups:

- **Al-Qadsiah**: K. Casteels, G. Álvarez, N. Fernández, C. Baah, J. Weigl, J. Quiñones, M. Retegui
- **Al-Hilal**: Bono, K. Koulibaly, M. Mahzari, R. Neves, C. Summerville, O. Watkins, S. Mandash

Prediction:

**Al-Hilal 2-0 Al-Qadsiah** — Hilal's class and European muscle edge out the surprise package here. The streak continues. ⚪

Where to watch

DStv NowESPN Africa

Match facts

Stadium

EGO Stadium

City

Dammam

Referee

Donatas Rumsas

3.80 yellows/match · 30 matches

Kickoff

23 Oct, 18:00 UTC

Competition

Saudi Pro League

Highlights & clips

Al-Qadsiah 3-5-2 · 4-3-3 Al-Hilal

1 K. Casteels 7.3 4 J. Thakri 5.8 17 G. Álvarez 6.1 12 Y. Al-Shahrani 6.7 ↑ 18' 7 T. Alammar ↑ 90' 15 M. H. Alqahtani 6.6 ↑ 83' 5 J. Weigl 6.7 14 T. Reijnders 6.7 22 C. Baah 6.5 32 M. Retegui 7.9 33 J. Quiñones 8.4 37 Bono 6.4 2 M. Mahzari 7.6 78 A. Lajami 6.6 ↑ 74' 3 K. Koulibaly 6.6 24 M. Al-Harbi 6.7 ↑ 88' 22 S. Milinković-Savić 8.6 8 R. Neves 8.2 28 M. Kanno 6.5 ↑ 88' 27 S. Mandash 7.3 ↑ 49' 11 O. Watkins 6.1 29 S. Al-Dawsari 6.8 ↑ 88'

Substitutes

28GA. Al-Kassar 42DA. A. Qarawi 10MM. A. Juwayr↓ 83'7.9 8MN. Nandez↓ 18'6.8 2MM. A. Al-Shamat↓ 90'6.5 35MA. A. Siyahi 27ME. Houssa 18MA. Al-Jaber 9FA. Al-Salem

Coach: Brendan Rodgers

Substitutes

33GM. Al-Owais 87DH. Altambakti↓ 74'6.7 19DT. Hernández↓ 88'6.6 38MC. Summerville↓ 88'8.0 6MN. Al-Dawsari↓ 88'6.9 72MS. A. Dahal 18MM. A. Hawsawi 77MN. Al-Habashi 7FG. Martinelli↓ 49'7.7

Coach: Simone Inzaghi

Top stats

52%Possession48%

0.79Expected goals (xG)2.86

14Total shots19

6Shots on target9

1Big chances7

6Corners4

Shots

4Shots off target10

4Blocked shots1

5Shots inside box14

9Shots outside box5

1Big chances scored1

0Big chances missed6

-0.61Goals prevented-0.09

Attack

24Touches in box37

54Final third entries52

1Offsides2

13Free kicks15

3Fouled in final third1

Passing

464Passes436

405Accurate passes381

21/38 (55%)Long balls24/45 (53%)

3/15 (20%)Crosses7/17 (41%)

11Throw-ins15

Duels

49Duels51

27/58 (47%)Ground duels31/58 (53%)

10/17 (59%)Aerial duels7/17 (41%)

3/12 (25%)Dribbles2/7 (29%)

6Dispossessed6

Defending

11Tackles15

55Tackles won60

10Interceptions6

10Clearances16

37Recoveries41

Discipline

15Fouls13

1Yellow cards2

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

6Saves4

1Big saves1

12Goal kicks9

0Punches2

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 24 bookmakers

Al-Qadsiah 31%

25%

Al-Hilal 45%

Who winsAl-Hilal to win (DNB) 58% · 1.50 @ Betway

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 66% · 3.00 @ William Hill

1X2Al-Hilal to win 45% · 2.50 @ Bet365

BTTSBoth teams to score 65% · 2.50 @ Bet365

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 84% · 1.63 @ 1xBet

CornersOver 8.5 corners 62% · 1.59 @ Pinnacle

1X2Draw 25% · 2.87 @ Bet365

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 62% · 1.54 @ 1xBet

CornersUnder 9.5 corners 50% · 1.87 @ 1xBet

1X2Al-Qadsiah to win 31% · 3.12 @ 1xBet

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 57% · 1.73 @ betfair

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

3.00

Al-Qadsiah

3.80

Draw

2.05

Al-Hilal

Double Chanceconsensus

1.70

Al-Qadsiah or Draw

1.22

Al-Qadsiah or Al-Hilal

1.33

Draw or Al-Hilal

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.39

Yes

2.80

No

Home Win to Nilconsensus

6.50

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

4.80

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.01

Over 0.50

18.00

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.10

Over 1.50

6.21

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.40

Over 2.50

2.74

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

2.08

Over 3.50

1.73

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

3.45

Over 4.50

1.29

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

2.45

Al-Qadsiah

1.49

Al-Hilal

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.26

Over 7.50

3.30

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.54

Over 8.50

2.35

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

1.92

Over 9.50

1.83

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

2.40

Over 10.50

1.52

Under 10.50

Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus

2.90

Over 11.50

1.33

Under 11.50

Full odds via API →

Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.

Over 1.5 goals

✓

84% confidence

A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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