Al-Shabab 6-1 Al-Ahli: Stats, xG & Lineups – Oct 30, 2026

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Al-Shabab 6-1 Al-Ahli.

90+3'

R. Mathias

Attempt missed. R. Mathias (Al-Shabab), left-footed shot. xG 0.01.

90+1'

Al-Ahli

Offside, Al-Ahli.

90'

3 minutes of added time.

89'

F. Trincão

Attempt saved. F. Trincão (Al-Ahli), left-footed shot. xG 0.06.

87'

F. Trincão

Attempt missed. F. Trincão (Al-Ahli), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.04.

87'

Al-Ahli

Corner, Al-Ahli.

85'

W. Galeno

Attempt saved. W. Galeno (Al-Ahli), right-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.03.

82'

Y. Carrasco

Goal! Al-Shabab 6-1 Al-Ahli. Y. Carrasco (Al-Shabab) converts the penalty.

80'

M. Bakor

Yellow card for M. Bakor (Al-Ahli) for foul.

80'

F. Al-Buraikan

Attempt blocked. F. Al-Buraikan (Al-Ahli), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

78'

A. Al Asmari

Yellow card for A. Al Asmari (Al-Shabab) for foul.

77'

Al-Shabab

Offside, Al-Shabab.

76'

J. Brownhill

Substitution, Al-Shabab: A. Al Asmari comes on for J. Brownhill.

76'

M. Abdulrahman

Substitution, Al-Ahli: M. I. Diaby comes on for M. Abdulrahman.

73'

F. Trincão

Off the woodwork! F. Trincão (Al-Ahli), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

70'

Y. Carrasco

Attempt missed. Y. Carrasco (Al-Shabab), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.03.

69'

Al-Shabab

Corner, Al-Shabab.

69'

R. Mathias

Attempt blocked. R. Mathias (Al-Shabab), right-footed shot. xG 0.07.

68'

Al-Ahli

Offside, Al-Ahli.

66'

Y. Carrasco

Goal! Al-Shabab 5-1 Al-Ahli. Y. Carrasco (Al-Shabab) converts the penalty.

62'

T. Jedvaj

Substitution, Al-Shabab: M. A. Shwirekh comes on for T. Jedvaj.

62'

A. Matuq

Substitution, Al-Shabab: A. Alobud comes on for A. Matuq.

60'

Al-Ahli

Corner, Al-Ahli.

57'

Al-Shabab

Offside, Al-Shabab.

55'

Al-Shabab

Corner, Al-Shabab.

55'

J. Brownhill

Attempt blocked. J. Brownhill (Al-Shabab), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

51'

A. Matuq

Yellow card for A. Matuq (Al-Shabab) for foul.

48'

R. Mathias

Goal! Al-Shabab 4-1 Al-Ahli. R. Mathias (Al-Shabab) scores, assisted by Y. Adli.

46'

Al-Shabab

Corner, Al-Shabab.

46'

M. Al-Thani

Substitution, Al-Shabab: A. Al-Hawsawi comes on for M. Al-Thani.

46'

M. Gonçalves

Substitution, Al-Ahli: S. Baattia comes on for M. Gonçalves.

46'

S. Y. Balobaid

Substitution, Al-Ahli: M. Bakor comes on for S. Y. Balobaid.

46'

A. Bondarenko

Substitution, Al-Ahli: W. Galeno comes on for A. Bondarenko.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Al-Shabab 3-1 Al-Ahli.

45+6'

M. Al-Thani

Yellow card for M. Al-Thani (Al-Shabab) for foul.

45+3'

R. Mathias

Attempt missed. R. Mathias (Al-Shabab), right-footed shot. xG 0.31.

45'

8 minutes of added time.

45'

Y. Carrasco

Attempt saved. Y. Carrasco (Al-Shabab), right-footed shot. xG 0.01.

44'

Y. Adli

Attempt blocked. Y. Adli (Al-Shabab), right-footed shot. xG 0.05.

43'

R. Martínez

Attempt missed. R. Martínez (Al-Shabab), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.13.

40'

F. Al-Buraikan

Goal! Al-Shabab 3-1 Al-Ahli. F. Al-Buraikan (Al-Ahli) scores, assisted by M. Gonçalves.

37'

R. Martínez

Goal! Al-Shabab 3-0 Al-Ahli. R. Martínez (Al-Shabab) converts the penalty.

33'

Al-Shabab

Offside, Al-Shabab.

28'

D. Podence

Substitution, Al-Shabab: A. Matuq comes on for D. Podence.

25'

Y. Carrasco

Goal! Al-Shabab 2-0 Al-Ahli. Y. Carrasco (Al-Shabab) scores.

25'

R. Hamed

Substitution, Al-Ahli: A. Abdo comes on for R. Hamed.

22'

A. A. Sanbi

Red card! A. A. Sanbi (Al-Ahli) is sent off for professional handball.

22'

R. Mathias

Attempt blocked. R. Mathias (Al-Shabab), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.53.

20'

Al-Ahli

Offside, Al-Ahli.

18'

Al-Shabab

Offside, Al-Shabab.

16'

R. Ibañez

Attempt saved. R. Ibañez (Al-Ahli), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.13.

16'

Al-Ahli

Offside, Al-Ahli.

15'

Al-Ahli

Corner, Al-Ahli.

13'

Y. Carrasco

Attempt missed. Y. Carrasco (Al-Shabab), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.01.

13'

R. Martínez

Attempt missed. R. Martínez (Al-Shabab), left-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.14.

12'

Y. Carrasco

Attempt blocked. Y. Carrasco (Al-Shabab), right-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.03.

9'

Al-Shabab

Corner, Al-Shabab.

7'

S. Y. Balobaid

Attempt missed. S. Y. Balobaid (Al-Ahli), left-footed shot. xG 0.01.

6'

S. Y. Balobaid

Attempt blocked. S. Y. Balobaid (Al-Ahli), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

2'

R. Mathias

Goal! Al-Shabab 1-0 Al-Ahli. R. Mathias (Al-Shabab) scores.

1'

Kick-off: Al-Shabab vs Al-Ahli.

Where the money is

114646 EUR matched · captured 5 days, 5 hours ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 96795 EUR · live

Home 1.01 · implied 99.0%

70.8%

-28.3 vs price

Away 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

26.0%

+25.8 vs price

Draw 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

3.3%

+3.2 vs price

Half time 9 EUR

Away 2.32 · implied 43.1%

100.0%

+56.9 vs price

Home 4.6 · implied 21.7%

35.4%

+13.7 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 4109 EUR · live

Over 1.07 · implied 93.5%

79.7%

-13.7 vs price

Under 14.0 · implied 7.1%

20.3%

+13.2 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 72 EUR

Under 1.2 · implied 83.3%

83.3%

0.0 vs price

Over 6.0 · implied 16.7%

16.7%

-0.0 vs price

13 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 1 clip

Player of the match

Match events

2' ⚽ R. Mathias1–0

22' A. A. Sanbi · Professional handball

25' ⚽ Y. Carrasco2–0

25' 🔁 A. Abdo ◂ R. Hamed

28' 🔁 A. Matuq ◂ D. Podence

37' ⚽ R. Martínez (pen)3–0

40' ⚽ F. Al-Buraikan · assist M. Gonçalves3–1

Half-time · 3–1

45'⁺⁶ M. Al-Thani · Foul

46' 🔁 W. Galeno ◂ A. Bondarenko

46' 🔁 M. Bakor ◂ S. Y. Balobaid

46' 🔁 S. Baattia ◂ M. Gonçalves

46' 🔁 A. Al-Hawsawi ◂ M. Al-Thani

48' ⚽ R. Mathias · assist Y. Adli4–1

51' A. Matuq · Foul

62' 🔁 A. Alobud ◂ A. Matuq

62' 🔁 M. A. Shwirekh ◂ T. Jedvaj

66' ⚽ Y. Carrasco (pen)5–1

76' 🔁 M. I. Diaby ◂ M. Abdulrahman

76' 🔁 A. Al Asmari ◂ J. Brownhill

78' A. Al Asmari · Foul

80' M. Bakor · Foul

82' ⚽ Y. Carrasco (pen)6–1

Full-time · 6–1

Coaches

Thomas Letsch

Marino Pušić

Recent form

Al-Shabab

WAAl-Fateh3-1

DHAl Faisaly2-2

WHAl-Taawoun3-0

DHAl-Fayha0-0

LAAl-Kholood1-2

Al-Ahli

WHAl-Khaleej4-1

WAAl-Fayha3-2

WAAl-Fateh4-0

WHAl-Hazem3-1

LAAl-Qadsiah2-3

About this match

**Al-Shabab's home fortress meets Al-Ahli's red-hot streak** — this is the Saudi Pro League showdown nobody's sleeping on. 🔥

Al-Shabab have been solid at the SHG Arena, mixing wins and draws while keeping things tight. Al-Ahli, though, are a different animal right now: **4 wins in their last 5 with serious firepower**, including back-to-back hammerings (4-1, 4-0). The visitors smell blood.

Key storylines:

- **T. Partey and J. Brownhill** anchoring Al-Shabab's midfield will need to suffocate Al-Ahli's creative outlets early — especially **W. Galeno and F. Trincão**
- **I. Toney** spearheading Al-Ahli's attack has been ruthless; Al-Shabab's back line (led by **T. Jedvaj**) faces their toughest test in weeks
- The head-to-head leans slightly Al-Ahli's way (10 wins to 7), and current form backs that narrative

Expected lineups:

- **Al-Shabab**: M. Diaw, Y. Carrasco, T. Jedvaj, M. Barry, H. Al-Hammami, J. Brownhill, T. Partey, Y. Adli
- **Al-Ahli**: E. Mendy, S. Y. Balobaid, R. Ibañez, M. Demiral, W. Galeno, F. Trincão, I. Toney

Prediction:

**Al-Ahli 2-1 Al-Shabab**

Al-Ahli's clinical form edges a tight one in Riyadh. 📍

Where to watch

Fox Soccer Plus

Match facts

Stadium

SHG Arena

City

Riyadh

Referee

Majed Mohammed Al-Shamrani

4.11 yellows/match · 35 matches

Kickoff

30 Oct, 18:00 UTC

Competition

Saudi Pro League

Highlights & clips

Al-Shabab 4-4-2 · 4-2-3-1 Al-Ahli

1 M. Diaw 7.0 27 A. Al-Hawsawi 6.9 ↑ 46' 2 M. A. Shwirekh 6.8 ↑ 62' 55 A. Al-Bulaihi 6.3 21 D. Al-Enezi 6.6 37 A. Matuq 6.6 ↑ 28' 40 A. Al Asmari 6.4 ↑ 76' 29 Y. Adli 9.0 10 Y. Carrasco 10.0 9 R. Martínez 8.1 49 R. Mathias 9.0 1 A. A. Sanbi 3.0 4 M. I. Diaby 6.4 ↑ 76' 62 A. Abdo 5.9 ↑ 25' 3 R. Ibañez 6.2 15 S. Baattia 6.5 ↑ 46' 5 M. Bakor 5.3 ↑ 46' 6 V. A. Edoa 6.2 7 F. Trincão 6.1 30 Z. Aljohani 6.9 13 W. Galeno 6.7 ↑ 46' 9 F. Al-Buraikan 7.4

Substitutes

33GM. Al-Mahasneh 4DT. Jedvaj↓ 62'7.0 17DM. Al-Thani↓ 46'6.3 12DSultan 8MJ. Brownhill↓ 76'6.9 11MD. Podence↓ 28'6.8 6MA. Al-Nashri 24FA. Alobud↑ 62'6.5 97FM. Khodari

Coach: Thomas Letsch

Substitutes

29DM. Abdulrahman↓ 76'5.9 46DR. Hamed↓ 25'5.8 31DS. Y. Balobaid↓ 46'5.8 20MM. Gonçalves↓ 46'7.1 19MA. Bondarenko↓ 46'6.7 8ME. Spertsyan 11MM. A. Mutairi 87MR. Al-Attar 21FA. H. Radif

Coach: Marino Pušić

Top stats

62%Possession38%

4.34Expected goals (xG)0.93

17Total shots9

7Shots on target4

4Big chances2

4Corners3

Shots

5Shots off target3

5Blocked shots2

10Shots inside box3

7Shots outside box6

0Hit woodwork1

4Big chances scored1

0Big chances missed1

0.16Goals prevented-2.25

Attack

33Touches in box17

47Final third entries44

4Offsides5

9Free kicks15

8Fouled in final third3

Passing

419Passes256

362Accurate passes195

20/36 (56%)Long balls21/44 (48%)

4/16 (25%)Crosses2/11 (18%)

10Throw-ins19

Duels

54Duels46

39/70 (56%)Ground duels31/70 (44%)

8/17 (47%)Aerial duels9/17 (53%)

11/20 (55%)Dribbles5/11 (45%)

2Dispossessed11

Defending

17Tackles11

59Tackles won82

4Interceptions7

18Clearances22

44Recoveries36

Discipline

15Fouls12

3Yellow cards1

0Red cards1

Goalkeeping

3Saves1

5Goal kicks4

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 24 bookmakers

Al-Shabab 25%

24%

Al-Ahli 51%

Who winsAl-Ahli to win (DNB) 77% · 1.57 @ Betano

1X2Al-Ahli to win 51% · 2.10 @ William Hill

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 63% · 3.25 @ William Hill

BTTSBoth teams to score 62% · 2.62 @ Bet365

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 83% · 1.70 @ William Hill

CornersOver 8.5 corners 60% · 1.49 @ Pinnacle

1X2Draw 24% · 2.81 @ 1xBet

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 64% · 1.58 @ 1xBet

CornersUnder 9.5 corners 52% · 1.96 @ Pinnacle

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 58% · 1.66 @ Pinnacle

1X2Al-Shabab to win 25% · 3.75 @ Bet365

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

3.70

Al-Shabab

3.80

Draw

1.80

Al-Ahli

Double Chanceconsensus

1.93

Al-Shabab or Draw

1.22

Al-Shabab or Al-Ahli

1.25

Draw or Al-Ahli

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.48

Yes

2.45

No

Home Win to Nilconsensus

8.00

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

3.70

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.02

Over 0.50

16.00

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.13

Over 1.50

5.45

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.47

Over 2.50

2.55

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

2.20

Over 3.50

1.64

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

3.81

Over 4.50

1.24

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

2.39

Al-Shabab

1.52

Al-Ahli

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.23

Over 7.50

3.50

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.47

Over 8.50

2.52

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

1.80

Over 9.50

1.95

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

2.26

Over 10.50

1.58

Under 10.50

Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus

2.80

Over 11.50

1.36

Under 11.50

Full odds via API →

Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.

Over 1.5 goals

✓

83% confidence

A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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