Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
**Bermuda looking to snap a rough patch against a Guadeloupe side that can't quite string wins together.** Neither team's been convincing lately, but one's gotta break through here. 🔥
Bermuda are winless in five and got battered on their last two away trips (0-3 and 0-2), though they did salvage a draw vs Trinidad and Tobago mid-stretch. Guadeloupe have two wins on their card but lost three of their last five, including heavy defeats to Panama (2-5) and Jamaica (1-2). This is a classic "who wants it less" vibe.
Key storylines:
- **Bermuda's road woes** are real — three straight away losses before that Trinidad draw means D. Eve's backline needs to tighten up fast
- **Guadeloupe's inconsistency** under pressure: when they face stronger sides, the defense crumbles (5 goals shipped to Panama alone)
- Expect **J. Carpenter** and **K. Martin** to control midfield tempo for Bermuda if they stay compact
Expected lineups:
- **Bermuda**: D. Eve, D. Hill, H. Twite, D. Leverock, R. Jones Jr., K. Martin, J. Carpenter, D. Parfitt-Williams, R. Lambe, J. Donawa, N. Wells
- **Guadeloupe**: B. Cognard, J. Roussillon, A. Baron, N. Saintini, C. J. Senneville, J. Leborgne, N. Cadiou, M. Phaëton, V. Tillé, R. Mirval, T. Ambrose
Prediction:
**1-1 draw** — both teams have enough to avoid disaster but not enough to win convincingly. Coin flip.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
Report a data issue
Spotted something wrong on this match? Tell us what and we'll fix it.