**Haiti's looking to bounce back, but Costa Rica are desperate to show they're not a sinking ship.** Both teams have been getting battered in recent windows, so this is a genuine coin flip between two sides searching for any scrap of momentum. 🏈
Haiti's 1W-4L record is rough, but they've at least stolen a win lately. Costa Rica have gone winless in five with three heavy defeats — that **0-5 drubbing vs Iran** still stings. The head-to-head leans ever so slightly Costa Rica's way (4-2-3 across nine meetings), but form tells a different story.
Key storylines:
- **Haiti's attack** (Isidor, Pierrot, Casimir) needs to create more than they're getting in away fixtures — they've shipped goals in bunches lately
- **Costa Rica's backline**, already thin without Martínez and Núñez, will lean on keeper **Navas** to keep them in it
- **Providence and Bellegarde** controlling Haiti's midfield could be the difference in a tight, messy affair
Expected lineups:
- **Haiti**: Placide, Expérience, Adé, Delcroix, Arcus, Providence, Bellegarde, Pierre, Casimir, Pierrot, Isidor
- **Costa Rica**: Navas, Vargas, Calvo, Mitchell, Alcócer, Mora, Galo, Aguilera, Flores, Ugalde, Vargas
Prediction:
**Haiti 1–1 Costa Rica.** Both teams are fragile right now; a draw feels like the honest outcome between two sides just trying to avoid embarrassment. ⚽
Everything we are at least 80% sure of for this match. We publish nothing below that — across all fixtures, 86.5% of these turn out right.
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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