Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
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**Guatemala's in free fall, and El Salvador's here to pile on.** A winless streak meets a side with genuine momentum — this has all the makings of a confidence-crusher for the hosts. 🔥
Guatemala hasn't won in five, dropping matches left and right to anyone with a pulse. El Salvador, meanwhile, are 2W-2D-1L and looking like the team with rhythm. The head-to-head is dead even, but form screams **El Salvador** here.
Key storylines:
- **Guatemala's defensive woes** continue against an El Salvador attack that scored three against Martinique and won't back down
- **El Salvador's stability** — two wins and two draws in five is exactly the kind of platform to exploit a struggling opponent
- **R. Muñoz and R. Rubin** carry the burden for Guatemala's attack, but El Salvador's five-man backline should make life miserable
Expected lineups:
- **Guatemala**: K. Navarro, J. Morales, N. Samayoa, A. Herrera, A. Yanes, J. Franco, Ó. Santis, D. Lom, J. Rosales, R. Rubin, R. Muñoz
- **El Salvador**: M. González, J. Sibrián, D. Flores, R. Clavel, J. Cruz, C. Martínez, J. Valladares, M. Cerritos, H. Osorio, B. Gil, S. Vásquez
Prediction:
**El Salvador 2-0 Guatemala.** The visitors have the edge in form and should be clinical enough to shut down a depleted home side.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.6%.
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