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Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
M. Findlay
Belize
Belize
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
Carlos Slusher
Belize
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
Belize
4-1-4-1 · 4-2-3-1
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
Commentary
90'
Full-time. Belize 0-1 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines.
90'
2 minutes of added time.
81'
Substitution, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines: C. Durrant-Barbour comes on for J. Ragguette.
79'
Attempt missed. K. Franklyn (Saint Vincent and the Grenadines), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.44.
75'
Attempt saved. K. Franklyn (Saint Vincent and the Grenadines), left-footed shot. xG 0.09.
75'
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
Corner, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines.
67'
M. Findlay
Yellow card for M. Findlay (Saint Vincent and the Grenadines) for argument.
64'
Attempt missed. S. Pierre (Saint Vincent and the Grenadines), right-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.09.
59'
Attempt missed. C. Stewart (Saint Vincent and the Grenadines), left-footed shot. xG 0.12.
46'
The second half is under way.
45'
Half-time. Belize 0-1 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines.
45+3'
Belize
Offside, Belize.
45+2'
Belize
Offside, Belize.
45'
3 minutes of added time.
45'
Attempt saved. A. Solomon (Saint Vincent and the Grenadines), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.10.
43'
Attempt saved. M. Joseph (Saint Vincent and the Grenadines), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.20.
41'
Attempt blocked. A. Solomon (Saint Vincent and the Grenadines), left-footed shot. xG 0.14.
41'
Attempt saved. A. Solomon (Saint Vincent and the Grenadines), right-footed shot. xG 0.11.
41'
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
Corner, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines.
39'
Attempt missed. C. Stewart (Saint Vincent and the Grenadines), left-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.15.
37'
Attempt saved. S. Pierre (Saint Vincent and the Grenadines), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.14.
12'
Attempt saved. C. Stewart (Saint Vincent and the Grenadines), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.
10'
Goal! Belize 0-1 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines. A. Johnson (Saint Vincent and the Grenadines) scores, assisted by S. Pierre.
8'
Attempt saved. A. Johnson (Saint Vincent and the Grenadines), header from a corner. xG 0.08.
1'
Kick-off: Belize vs Saint Vincent and the Grenadines.
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
8366 EUR · live
Draw
18.5 · implied 5.4%
47.2%
+41.8 vs price
Away
1.05 · implied 95.2%
40.9%
-54.4 vs price
Home
650.0 · implied 0.2%
12.1%
+12.0 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
11528 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
75.6%
-23.4 vs price
Over
55.0 · implied 1.8%
24.4%
+22.6 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
613 EUR · live
Over
7.8 · implied 12.8%
55.1%
+42.3 vs price
Under
1.2 · implied 83.3%
44.7%
-38.6 vs price
10 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
10'
⚽
A. Johnson · assist S. Pierre0–1
34'
L. Christopher · Foul
Half-time · 0–1
46'
🔁
O. Sosa ◂ M. Hernández
46'
🔁
D. Daniels ◂ D. Wade
62'
🔁
D. Spring ◂ C. Stewart
67'
🔁
D. Nembhard ◂ H. Ávila
67'
M. Findlay · Argument
70'
🔁
N. Charles ◂ A. Johnson
70'
🔁
M. Stewart ◂ A. Solomon
81'
🔁
C. Durrant-Barbour ◂ J. Ragguette
81'
🔁
S. Phillips ◂ S. Pierre
83'
K. López · Foul
Full-time · 0–1
90'
F. Pagoada · Argument
Coaches
Carlos SlusherKendale Mercury 
Recent form
BelizeWASint Maarten1-0
LAGuyana1-3
LHSint Maarten2-3
WASaint Kitts and Nevis6-2
WASaint Martin1-0
Saint Vincent and the GrenadinesWHFrench Guiana2-1
WABarbados3-2
LABonaire1-3
WHSaint Lucia3-1
LADominican Republic0-2
About this match
**Dead even on paper, but someone's gotta stumble first.** Both Belize and Saint Vincent and the Grenadines sit at identical 3W-2L records — this is a straight-up 50-50 Nations League scrap with zero margin for error. 🔥
Form-wise, both teams are mixing wins and losses like they're on a seesaw. Belize just bounced back from that 2-3 home loss to Sint Maarten with a road win, while SVG scraped past Barbados 3-2 away. Neither looks bulletproof defensively, and the head-to-head history (tied 2-2-2) screams **coin flip energy**.
Key storylines:
- **Belize's attacking thrust**: M. Hernández, D. Daniels, and D. Wade need to click or Belize leaves points on the table
- **SVG's midfield control**: D. Spring and K. Franklyn hold the keys to dictating tempo and limiting Belize's transitions
- **Defensive fragility**: Both teams have shipped 3+ goals recently — expect end-to-end chaos and set-piece danger
Expected lineups:
- **Belize**: W. West, N. Guerra, D. Nembhard, H. Ávila, J. Lennan, F. Pagoada, K. López, J. Polanco, M. Hernández, D. Daniels, D. Wade
- **Saint Vincent and the Grenadines**: G. Davis, A. Johnson, T. Marshall, N. Charles, J. Ragguette, D. Spring, K. Franklyn, O. Anderson, M. Joseph, S. Pierre, C. Stewart
Prediction:
**1-1 draw.** Both sides have the depth to trouble each other but neither the cutting edge to claim three points cleanly.
Where to watch
ViX
ViX
OneSoccer
ViX
ViX
ViX
ViX
ViX
ViX
ViX
FOX OneFox Sports 2
Match facts
Stadium
FFB Stadium
City
Belmopan
Kickoff
30 Sep, 02:00 UTC
Competition
CONCACAF Nations League
Highlights & clips
Belize
4-1-4-1 · 4-2-3-1
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
22
W. West
8.0
2
J. Smith
6.4
17
J. Lennan
7.1
15
F. Pagoada
7.4
7
N. Guerra
6.7
14
D. Myvett
7.1
5
D. Nembhard
6.8
↑ 67'
10
J. Polanco
7.2
18
O. Sosa
7.1
↑ 46'
20
K. López
6.7
19
D. Daniels
6.4
↑ 46'
23
L. Christopher
7.0
19
T. Marshall
7.0
5
N. Charles
6.9
↑ 70'
20
J. Barter
7.0
17
K. Franklyn
8.0
8
K. Joseph
7.0
6
M. Joseph
6.8
14
S. Phillips
6.5
↑ 81'
2
D. Spring
6.6
↑ 62'
12
C. Durrant-Barbour
6.6
↑ 81'
13
M. Stewart
6.8
↑ 70'
Substitutes
12GE. Rodriguez
1GC. Tillett
11DH. Ávila↓ 67'6.6
23DH. Casanova
3DN. Anderson
16MM. Meza
4MO. Velasquez
6MA. Chi
21MM. Palacio
9FD. Wade↓ 46'6.6
8FM. Hernández↓ 46'6.5
13FK. Bowen
Coach: Carlos Slusher
Substitutes
22GA. Lewis
1GG. Davis
21DA. Johnson↓ 70'7.8
16DD. Thomas
15MJ. Ragguette↓ 81'6.8
11MA. Solomon↓ 70'6.3
3MT. Roberts
7MB. Richards
9FC. Stewart↓ 62'6.7
4FS. Pierre↓ 81'6.7
18FJ. Audain
Coach: Kendale Mercury
Top stats
60%Possession40%
0.49Expected goals (xG)2.36
12Total shots13
3Shots on target8
1Big chances0
2Corners4
Shots
6Shots off target4
3Blocked shots1
4Shots inside box11
8Shots outside box2
1Big chances missed0
Attack
11Touches in box25
52Final third entries64
2Offsides1
23Free kicks11
2Fouled in final third0
Passing
459Passes294
379Accurate passes221
21/45 (47%)Long balls29/65 (45%)
1/15 (7%)Crosses3/9 (33%)
27Throw-ins21
Duels
60Duels40
42/70 (60%)Ground duels28/70 (40%)
18/30 (60%)Aerial duels12/30 (40%)
4/10 (40%)Dribbles7/18 (39%)
4Dispossessed5
Defending
16Tackles10
81Tackles won70
9Interceptions9
26Clearances20
43Recoveries56
Discipline
11Fouls23
2Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
Goalkeeping
7Saves3
10Goal kicks8
0Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 24 bookmakers
Who winsSaint Vincent and the Grenadines to win (DNB) 61% · 1.75 @ Betway
1X2Saint Vincent and the Grenadines to win 36% · 2.90 @ William Hill
BTTSBoth teams to score 55% · 3.40 @ Bet365
1X2Draw 28% · 2.42 @ 1xBet
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 50% · 1.17 @ William Hill
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 74% · 2.15 @ William Hill
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 67% · 1.30 @ betfair
1X2Belize to win 36% · 2.92 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.51
Belize
3.25
Draw
2.49
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
Double Chanceconsensus
1.44
Belize or Draw
1.28
Belize or Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
1.44
Draw or Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.70
Yes
2.05
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
4.40
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
4.40
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.03
Over 0.50
9.15
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.29
Over 1.50
3.30
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.92
Over 2.50
1.81
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.30
Over 3.50
1.29
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
6.50
Over 4.50
1.06
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
2.05
Belize
1.68
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
1X2 (1st Half)consensus
3.15
Belize
2.09
Draw
3.17
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
1X2 (2nd Half)consensus
2.90
Belize
2.40
Draw
2.87
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
Both Teams to Score (1st Half)consensus
4.50
Yes
1.18
No
Both Teams to Score (2nd Half)consensus
3.20
Yes
1.30
No
Total Goals (1st Half) 0.50consensus
1.36
Over 0.50
2.88
Under 0.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.3%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.3%.
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