British Virgin Islands 0-2 Montserrat: Stats & xG

Commentary

90'

Full-time. British Virgin Islands 0-2 Montserrat.

90+3'

V. Roache

Yellow card for V. Roache (Montserrat) for foul.

90+2'

S. Rodney

Attempt saved. S. Rodney (Montserrat), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

90+2'

Montserrat

Corner, Montserrat.

90'

3 minutes of added time.

89'

L. Cirino

Substitution, Montserrat: V. Roache comes on for L. Cirino.

89'

A. Boatswain

Substitution, Montserrat: S. Rodney comes on for A. Boatswain.

88'

K. Javier

Substitution, British Virgin Islands: S. Samuel comes on for K. Javier.

87'

J. Mars

Substitution, British Virgin Islands: A. Santos comes on for J. Mars.

87'

T. Morton

Substitution, British Virgin Islands: S. Sharma comes on for T. Morton.

82'

A. Dyer

Attempt missed. A. Dyer (Montserrat), right-footed shot. xG 0.06.

79'

L. Kirnon

Substitution, Montserrat: M. Townsend-West comes on for L. Kirnon.

79'

J. Meade

Substitution, Montserrat: D. Furlong comes on for J. Meade.

76'

J. Splatt

Substitution, British Virgin Islands: J. Quashie comes on for J. Splatt.

68'

T. Baker

Substitution, Montserrat: M. Benjamin comes on for T. Baker.

67'

K. Samadi

Substitution, British Virgin Islands: I. Williams comes on for K. Samadi.

66'

Montserrat

Corner, Montserrat.

63'

R. Broderick

Substitution, British Virgin Islands: J. Lacey comes on for R. Broderick.

61'

D. P. Asensio

Yellow card for D. P. Asensio (British Virgin Islands) for argument.

61'

L. Chalwell

Yellow card for L. Chalwell (British Virgin Islands) for foul.

55'

T. Gallimore

Attempt missed. T. Gallimore (British Virgin Islands), right-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.07.

54'

Montserrat

Corner, Montserrat.

52'

D. Richmond

Yellow card for D. Richmond (Montserrat) for foul.

47'

L. Taylor

Attempt blocked. L. Taylor (Montserrat), right-footed shot. xG 0.17.

46'

B. Barzey

Substitution, Montserrat: D. Richmond comes on for B. Barzey.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. British Virgin Islands 0-2 Montserrat.

45'

2 minutes of added time.

43'

J. Mars

Goal! British Virgin Islands 0-2 Montserrat. Own goal by J. Mars.

39'

T. Morton

Yellow card for T. Morton (British Virgin Islands) for foul.

34'

J. Dorsett

Attempt missed. J. Dorsett (Montserrat), header from a throw-in. xG 0.16.

29'

L. Taylor

Attempt blocked. L. Taylor (Montserrat), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

26'

B. Barzey

Attempt saved. B. Barzey (Montserrat), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

17'

J. Mars

Attempt blocked. J. Mars (British Virgin Islands), left-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.01.

13'

K. Samadi

Attempt saved. K. Samadi (British Virgin Islands), right-footed shot. xG 0.05.

11'

B. Barzey

Goal! British Virgin Islands 0-1 Montserrat. B. Barzey (Montserrat) scores, assisted by L. Cirino.

10'

L. Taylor

Attempt saved. L. Taylor (Montserrat), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

10'

British Virgin Islands

Offside, British Virgin Islands.

9'

T. Baker

Attempt missed. T. Baker (Montserrat), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.02.

8'

Montserrat

Corner, Montserrat.

8'

N. Gordon

Attempt blocked. N. Gordon (Montserrat), left-footed shot. xG 0.10.

5'

J. Dorsett

Attempt saved. J. Dorsett (Montserrat), left-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.02.

3'

L. Taylor

Attempt missed. L. Taylor (Montserrat), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

1'

Kick-off: British Virgin Islands vs Montserrat.

Where the money is

145156 EUR matched · captured 1 month, 1 week ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 47880 EUR · live

Away 1.01 · implied 99.0%

97.6%

-1.4 vs price

Draw 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

1.3%

+1.2 vs price

Home 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

1.2%

+1.1 vs price

Half time 422 EUR · live

Away 1.11 · implied 90.1%

93.4%

+3.3 vs price

Home 14.5 · implied 6.9%

4.7%

-2.2 vs price

Draw 13.0 · implied 7.7%

1.4%

-6.3 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 44434 EUR · live

Over 11.0 · implied 9.1%

76.5%

+67.4 vs price

Under 1.05 · implied 95.2%

23.5%

-71.8 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 1015 EUR · live

Under 1.24 · implied 80.6%

76.2%

-4.5 vs price

Over 5.0 · implied 20.0%

23.7%

+3.6 vs price

12 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG (estimated)

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 1 clip

Player of the match

Match events

11' ⚽ B. Barzey · assist L. Cirino0–1

39' T. Morton · Foul

43' ⚽ J. Mars0–2

Half-time · 0–2

46' 🔁 D. Richmond ◂ B. Barzey

52' D. Richmond · Foul

61' L. Chalwell · Foul

61' D. P. Asensio · Argument

63' 🔁 J. Lacey ◂ R. Broderick

67' 🔁 I. Williams ◂ K. Samadi

68' 🔁 M. Benjamin ◂ T. Baker

76' 🔁 J. Quashie ◂ J. Splatt

79' 🔁 D. Furlong ◂ J. Meade

79' 🔁 M. Townsend-West ◂ L. Kirnon

87' 🔁 S. Sharma ◂ T. Morton

87' 🔁 A. Santos ◂ J. Mars

88' 🔁 S. Samuel ◂ K. Javier

89' 🔁 S. Rodney ◂ A. Boatswain

89' 🔁 V. Roache ◂ L. Cirino

Full-time · 0–2

90'⁺³ V. Roache · Foul

Coaches

David Pérez Asensio

Gabriel Pellegrino

Recent form

British Virgin Islands

LHTurks and Caicos Islands0-3

LAMontserrat0-3

WHBonaire2-0

LAGibraltar0-4

WHAnguilla4-0

Montserrat

WHBritish Virgin Islands3-0

WATurks and Caicos Islands2-0

LAGuyana0-3

WHBelize1-0

LAEl Salvador0-1

About this match

**Montserrat comes to Providenciales looking to keep rolling**, and they've got serious momentum after dropping a 3-0 beatdown on BVI just last time out. 🔥

BVI will be hungry for revenge at home, but the visitors' recent form — **3 wins in their last 5** — is way sharper. The hosts have wobbled with losses to Gibraltar and recent struggles, though they did handle Bonaire convincingly on their own turf.

Key storylines:

- **Montserrat's attack** has been clinical; they've scored 5+ goals in two of their last three outings
- **BVI's home advantage** at TCIFA National Academy could matter, but they'll need to tighten up defensively after shipping goals freely
- **The revenge factor** — BVI won't want a repeat of that 3-0 hammering, but Montserrat have the form to make it happen again

Expected lineups:

- **British Virgin Islands**: F. Beckles, J. Wiltshire, C. Price, I. Williams, S. Samuel, T. Gallimore, J. Mars, J. Splatt
- **Montserrat**: T. Carter-Rodgers, J. Dorsett, B. Comley, N. Gordon, J. Meade, A. Dyer, B. Barzey, D. Richmond

Prediction:

**Montserrat 2-0 British Virgin Islands**

Visitors' attacking edge and proven ruthlessness in this fixture make them a slight favorite despite the away day.

Where to watch

ViX

Match facts

Stadium

TCIFA National Academy

City

Providenciales

Kickoff

01 Oct, 20:00 UTC

Competition

CONCACAF Nations League

Highlights & clips

British Virgin Islands 4-2-3-1 · 4-4-1-1 Montserrat

1 F. Beckles 6.1 21 A. Santos ↑ 87' 22 S. Samuel ↑ 88' 5 J. Wiltshire 6.1 23 S. Sharma ↑ 87' 6 T. Gallimore 6.0 8 L. Chalwell 6.8 20 T. Forbes 6.4 12 J. Lacey 6.4 ↑ 63' 14 I. Williams 6.7 ↑ 67' 13 J. Quashie 6.5 ↑ 76' 1 T. Carter-Rodgers 6.8 5 D. Furlong 6.6 ↑ 79' 4 N. Gordon 6.8 14 J. Dorsett 6.9 19 V. Roache ↑ 89' 12 D. Richmond 6.7 ↑ 46' 18 A. Dyer 7.2 6 M. Townsend-West 6.7 ↑ 79' 20 M. Benjamin 6.4 ↑ 68' 9 L. Taylor 7.0 11 S. Rodney ↑ 89'

Substitutes

19GT. Whiteside 18GH. Foden 4DT. Morton↓ 87'6.0 15DJ. Abrams 10DC. Price 2MK. Javier↓ 88'6.6 16MR. Broderick↓ 63'6.4 7MJ. Mars↓ 87'6.2 9FJ. Splatt↓ 76'6.8 17FK. Samadi↓ 67'6.6 11FR. Green

Coach: David Pérez Asensio

Substitutes

13GE. Liburd 23GJ. Persuad 21DL. Kirnon↓ 79'7.0 16DJ. Meade↓ 79'7.0 7MB. Barzey↓ 46'8.0 3ML. Cirino↓ 89'6.9 22MT. Baker↓ 68'6.5 15MP. Madu 2MM. Rogers 10MS. Mendes 17FA. Boatswain↓ 89'6.4

Coach: Gabriel Pellegrino

Top stats

37%Possession63%

0.13Expected goals (xG, estimated)1.7

3Total shots12

1Shots on target5

0Big chances2

1Corners4

Shots

1Shots off target4

1Blocked shots3

1Shots inside box4

2Shots outside box8

0Big chances scored1

0Big chances missed1

Attack

8Touches in box15

61Final third entries52

1Offsides0

21Free kicks19

1Fouled in final third0

Passing

176Passes291

96Accurate passes206

17/64 (27%)Long balls12/48 (25%)

1/6 (17%)Crosses2/13 (15%)

30Throw-ins19

Duels

51Duels49

33/68 (49%)Ground duels35/68 (51%)

15/27 (56%)Aerial duels12/27 (44%)

3/7 (43%)Dribbles6/12 (50%)

8Dispossessed4

Defending

10Tackles12

70Tackles won58

13Interceptions8

23Clearances26

38Recoveries48

Discipline

19Fouls21

2Yellow cards2

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

4Saves1

10Goal kicks4

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 22 bookmakers

British Virgin Islands 7%

15%

Montserrat 78%

1X2Montserrat to win 78% · 1.40 @ Bet365

Who winsMontserrat to win (DNB) 65% · 1.05 @ Bet365

BTTSBTTS: No 59% · 1.18 @ 1xBet

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 60% · 3.50 @ William Hill

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 81% · 1.75 @ William Hill

1X2Draw 15% · 3.85 @ 1xBet

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 61% · 1.67 @ betfair

1X2British Virgin Islands to win 7% · 12.80 @ 1xBet

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

17.00

British Virgin Islands

7.50

Draw

1.12

Montserrat

Double Chanceconsensus

5.12

British Virgin Islands or Draw

1.06

British Virgin Islands or Montserrat

1.02

Draw or Montserrat

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

2.40

Yes

1.50

No

Home Win to Nilconsensus

29.00

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

1.70

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.01

Over 0.50

16.50

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.11

Over 1.50

5.75

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.44

Over 2.50

2.63

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

2.09

Over 3.50

1.65

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

3.44

Over 4.50

1.25

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

13.00

British Virgin Islands

1.03

Montserrat

1X2 (1st Half)consensus

13.00

British Virgin Islands

3.03

Draw

1.44

Montserrat

1X2 (2nd Half)consensus

12.00

British Virgin Islands

3.30

Draw

1.40

Montserrat

Both Teams to Score (1st Half)consensus

5.70

Yes

1.12

No

Both Teams to Score (2nd Half)consensus

4.50

Yes

1.18

No

Total Goals (1st Half) 0.50consensus

1.22

Over 0.50

3.85

Under 0.50

Full odds via API →

Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.

Montserrat to win or draw

✓

93% confidence

Over 1.5 goals

✓

81% confidence

A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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