Nicaragua 0-3 Costa Rica: Stats, xG & Lineups – Oct 2, 2026

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Nicaragua 0-3 Costa Rica.

90+7'

K. Michel

Goal! Nicaragua 0-3 Costa Rica. K. Michel (Costa Rica) scores, assisted by Y. Sosa.

90+4'

J. Méndez

Yellow card for J. Méndez (Costa Rica) for foul.

90+3'

Costa Rica

Corner, Costa Rica.

90+2'

J. Méndez

Attempt missed. J. Méndez (Costa Rica), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.11.

90+1'

R. Estrada

Yellow card for R. Estrada (Nicaragua) for foul.

90'

6 minutes of added time.

84'

J. Méndez

Attempt blocked. J. Méndez (Costa Rica), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.17.

82'

Costa Rica

Corner, Costa Rica.

79'

K. Cole

Attempt missed. K. Cole (Nicaragua), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

78'

C. Mora

Substitution, Costa Rica: C. Borges comes on for C. Mora.

78'

O. Sinclair

Substitution, Costa Rica: G. Torres comes on for O. Sinclair.

77'

C. Mora

Yellow card for C. Mora (Costa Rica) for foul.

73'

E. Mejía

Yellow card for E. Mejía (Nicaragua) for argument.

70'

J. García

Substitution, Nicaragua: E. Mejía comes on for J. García.

70'

J. L. Pérez

Yellow card for J. L. Pérez (Nicaragua) for foul.

69'

Costa Rica

Corner, Costa Rica.

69'

J. L. Pérez

Attempt missed. J. L. Pérez (Nicaragua), header from a corner. xG 0.06.

64'

Costa Rica

Corner, Costa Rica.

63'

J. Cano

Substitution, Nicaragua: B. Bonilla comes on for J. Cano.

63'

Nicaragua

Offside, Nicaragua.

60'

C. Mora

Goal! Nicaragua 0-2 Costa Rica. C. Mora (Costa Rica) scores, assisted by J. Méndez.

59'

J. Moncada

Substitution, Nicaragua: B. Hernández comes on for J. Moncada.

57'

O. Sinclair

Goal! Nicaragua 0-1 Costa Rica. O. Sinclair (Costa Rica) scores, assisted by Y. Sosa.

56'

D. Araya

Substitution, Costa Rica: J. Ruiz comes on for D. Araya.

56'

C. Montero

Substitution, Costa Rica: J. Méndez comes on for C. Montero.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Nicaragua 0-0 Costa Rica.

45'

2 minutes of added time.

45'

Costa Rica

Corner, Costa Rica.

42'

C. Montero

Attempt blocked. C. Montero (Costa Rica), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.02.

42'

R. Wilson

Attempt missed. R. Wilson (Costa Rica), left-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.16.

33'

F. Calvo

Attempt saved. F. Calvo (Costa Rica), header from a corner. xG 0.09.

30'

J. Vargas

Attempt missed. J. Vargas (Costa Rica), header from a corner. xG 0.07.

29'

C. Mora

Attempt saved. C. Mora (Costa Rica), header. xG 0.11.

19'

J. Mitchell

Substitution, Costa Rica: J. Vargas comes on for J. Mitchell.

11'

O. Sinclair

Attempt missed. O. Sinclair (Costa Rica), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

10'

J. Mitchell

Attempt missed. J. Mitchell (Costa Rica), header from a set piece. xG 0.06.

5'

W. Talavera

Attempt saved. W. Talavera (Nicaragua), left-footed shot. xG 0.04.

4'

Y. Sosa

Attempt saved. Y. Sosa (Costa Rica), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

2'

Ó. Acevedo

Attempt blocked. Ó. Acevedo (Nicaragua), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.07.

1'

Kick-off: Nicaragua vs Costa Rica.

Where the money is

236853 EUR matched · captured 1 month, 1 week ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 93370 EUR · live

Away 1.01 · implied 99.0%

83.1%

-15.9 vs price

Draw 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

13.6%

+13.5 vs price

Home 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

3.5%

+3.4 vs price

Half time 1243 EUR · live

Away 2.98 · implied 33.6%

87.3%

+53.8 vs price

Draw 1.92 · implied 52.1%

7.2%

-44.8 vs price

Home 7.6 · implied 13.2%

5.4%

-7.8 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 37359 EUR · live

Under 1.05 · implied 95.2%

62.1%

-33.1 vs price

Over 18.0 · implied 5.6%

37.9%

+32.4 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 942 EUR · live

Under 1.07 · implied 93.5%

81.6%

-11.9 vs price

Over 34.0 · implied 2.9%

18.3%

+15.3 vs price

14 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG (estimated)

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 1 clip

Player of the match

Match events

19' 🔁 J. Vargas ◂ J. Mitchell

Half-time · 0–0

56' 🔁 J. Méndez ◂ C. Montero

56' 🔁 J. Ruiz ◂ D. Araya

57' ⚽ O. Sinclair · assist Y. Sosa0–1

59' 🔁 B. Hernández ◂ J. Moncada

60' ⚽ C. Mora · assist J. Méndez0–2

63' 🔁 B. Bonilla ◂ J. Cano

70' J. L. Pérez · Foul

70' 🔁 E. Mejía ◂ J. García

73' E. Mejía · Argument

77' C. Mora · Foul

78' 🔁 G. Torres ◂ O. Sinclair

78' 🔁 C. Borges ◂ C. Mora

Full-time · 0–3

90'⁺¹ R. Estrada · Foul

90'⁺⁴ J. Méndez · Foul

90'⁺⁷ ⚽ K. Michel · assist Y. Sosa0–3

Coaches

Marco Antonio Figueroa

Bryan Ruiz

Recent form

Nicaragua

LACuraçao1-6

LADominican Republic2-3

LAParaguay0-4

DASouth Africa0-0

LARussia1-3

Costa Rica

LAHaiti0-2

LHCuraçao3-4

LAEngland0-3

LAColombia1-3

LAIran0-5

About this match

**Both teams are spiraling, but Nicaragua hosts with a home-field edge** — neither side has won in five, making this a proper basement-dweller scrap. 🏟️

Nicaragua's been leaking goals at home and away alike, though they did scrape a draw recently. Costa Rica's winless drought is even more dire, and road trips haven't been kind. The Ticos won three of the last four head-to-head clashes, but that form feels ancient now.

Key storylines:

- **Nicaragua** have home advantage but defensive wobbles (conceded 6, 3, 4 in recent outings)
- **Costa Rica's** attack has sputtered everywhere — only 3 goals in five games, all defeats
- This is a chance for either side to break the curse; desperation might spark something unpredictable

Expected lineups:

- **Nicaragua**: J. Vega, J. Cano, Ó. Acevedo, J. L. Pérez, E. Gomez, C. Reyes, R. Cole, J. Moncada, K. Cole, B. Bonilla
- **Costa Rica**: A. Madriz, F. Calvo, J. Mitchell, D. Araya, C. Barahona, J. Alcócer, O. Galo, C. Mora, A. Murillo, O. Sinclair

Prediction:

**Nicaragua 1–0 Costa Rica**

Slim edge to the home side, but honestly this is a coin flip between two teams fighting for oxygen. 🤷

Where to watch

ViX

Match facts

Stadium

Nicaragua National Football Stadium

City

Managua

Kickoff

02 Oct, 02:00 UTC

Competition

CONCACAF Nations League

Highlights & clips

Nicaragua 4-4-2 · 4-2-3-1 Costa Rica

1 B. Mayorga 5.1 10 B. Bonilla 6.7 ↑ 63' 4 M. Fletes 6.3 19 J. L. Pérez 6.0 3 Ó. Acevedo 5.3 16 R. Cole 6.2 22 R. Estrada 6.5 14 K. Cole 6.6 11 B. Hernández 6.7 ↑ 59' 9 E. Mejía 6.6 ↑ 70' 13 W. Talavera 6.3 1 K. Navas 6.8 2 Y. Sosa 8.1 4 J. Vargas 7.4 ↑ 19' 15 F. Calvo 8.0 7 J. Ruiz 6.7 ↑ 56' 22 S. Acuña 6.9 12 R. Wilson 7.2 20 K. Michel 7.9 9 J. Méndez 6.8 ↑ 56' 13 G. Torres 6.6 ↑ 78' 5 C. Borges 6.8 ↑ 78'

Substitutes

23GJ. Vega 12GH. Ibarra 5DJ. Cano↓ 63'6.4 15DM. Hernández 21DC. Reyes 6DE. Gomez 2DJ. Gutiérrez 20MJ. Moncada↓ 59'6.2 17MO. Salinas 18MA. Zamora 8MJ. Montes 7FJ. García↓ 70'6.3

Coach: Marco Antonio Figueroa

Substitutes

18GA. Madriz 23GP. Sequeira 8DD. Araya↓ 56'7.0 3DJ. Mitchell↓ 19'6.8 14DY. Molina 16DJ. Azofeifa 6DC. Barahona 17MC. Mora↓ 78'8.0 11MC. Montero↓ 56'6.7 10MA. Soto 21MD. López 19FO. Sinclair↓ 78'7.2

Coach: Bryan Ruiz

Top stats

36%Possession64%

0.28Expected goals (xG)1.62

4Total shots13

1Shots on target6

0Big chances4

4Corners6

Shots

2Shots off target5

1Blocked shots2

2Shots inside box10

2Shots outside box3

0Big chances scored2

0Big chances missed2

Attack

7Touches in box23

40Final third entries59

3Offsides0

13Free kicks14

1Fouled in final third4

Passing

237Passes427

177Accurate passes357

14/39 (36%)Long balls32/48 (67%)

2/16 (13%)Crosses6/25 (24%)

20Throw-ins25

Duels

45Duels55

30/59 (51%)Ground duels29/59 (49%)

9/28 (32%)Aerial duels19/28 (68%)

6/13 (46%)Dribbles7/13 (54%)

5Dispossessed5

Defending

11Tackles12

55Tackles won42

9Interceptions8

34Clearances22

33Recoveries31

Discipline

14Fouls13

3Yellow cards2

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

3Saves1

2Big saves0

9Goal kicks9

0Punches1

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 22 bookmakers

Nicaragua 15%

22%

Costa Rica 63%

1X2Costa Rica to win 63% · 1.85 @ William Hill

Who winsCosta Rica to win (DNB) 68% · 1.10 @ Bet365

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 76% · 1.26 @ 1xBet

CornersUnder 8.5 corners 52% · 1.90 @ Pinnacle

CornersUnder 9.5 corners 64% · 1.55 @ Pinnacle

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 54% · 4.33 @ William Hill

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 77% · 2.00 @ William Hill

BTTSBoth teams to score 50% · 3.75 @ Bet365

1X2Draw 22% · 2.72 @ 1xBet

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 64% · 1.41 @ Pinnacle

1X2Nicaragua to win 15% · 5.65 @ 1xBet

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

6.00

Nicaragua

4.15

Draw

1.47

Costa Rica

Double Chanceconsensus

2.50

Nicaragua or Draw

1.18

Nicaragua or Costa Rica

1.10

Draw or Costa Rica

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

2.10

Yes

1.65

No

Home Win to Nilconsensus

9.50

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

2.50

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.02

Over 0.50

10.60

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.22

Over 1.50

3.92

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.75

Over 2.50

2.04

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

2.88

Over 3.50

1.38

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

5.54

Over 4.50

1.12

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

7.00

Nicaragua

1.07

Costa Rica

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.48

Over 7.50

2.40

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.86

Over 8.50

1.90

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

2.31

Over 9.50

1.52

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

2.90

Over 10.50

1.26

Under 10.50

Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus

3.85

Over 11.50

1.14

Under 11.50

Full odds via API →

Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.

Costa Rica to win or draw

✓

85% confidence

A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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