Barbados 4-1 Bermuda: Stats, xG & Lineups – Oct 3, 2026

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Barbados 4-1 Bermuda.

90+2'

Bermuda

Corner, Bermuda.

90'

3 minutes of added time.

87'

C. Griffith

Substitution, Barbados: Z. Applewhite comes on for C. Griffith.

87'

N. Reid-Stephen

Substitution, Barbados: R. Bourne comes on for N. Reid-Stephen.

86'

N. Reid-Stephen

Goal! Barbados 4-1 Bermuda. N. Reid-Stephen (Barbados) scores, assisted by T. Gale.

85'

E. Russell

Attempt blocked. E. Russell (Bermuda), right-footed shot. xG 0.11.

81'

Bermuda

Corner, Bermuda.

81'

Z. Lewis

Attempt blocked. Z. Lewis (Bermuda), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.08.

81'

D. Hill

Attempt missed. D. Hill (Bermuda), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.04.

80'

N. Tucker

Attempt saved. N. Tucker (Bermuda), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

80'

Bermuda

Corner, Bermuda.

79'

J. Gollop

Substitution, Barbados: D. Thorne comes on for J. Gollop.

79'

J. Neblett

Substitution, Barbados: D. King comes on for J. Neblett.

78'

N. Wells

Substitution, Bermuda: E. Russell comes on for N. Wells.

78'

A. Burchall

Substitution, Bermuda: Z. Lewis comes on for A. Burchall.

76'

N. Wells

Attempt missed. N. Wells (Bermuda), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

74'

N. Wells

Attempt saved. N. Wells (Bermuda), right-footed shot. xG 0.09.

69'

Bermuda

Corner, Bermuda.

68'

O. Leacock

Substitution, Barbados: S. Hoyte comes on for O. Leacock.

67'

Bermuda

Corner, Bermuda.

66'

A. Burchall

Attempt missed. A. Burchall (Bermuda), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.28.

65'

R. Robinson

Attempt blocked. R. Robinson (Bermuda), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

65'

T. Gale

Attempt saved. T. Gale (Barbados), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.08.

64'

D. Parfitt-Williams

Substitution, Bermuda: A. Burchall comes on for D. Parfitt-Williams.

64'

J. Donawa

Substitution, Bermuda: B. Borgesson comes on for J. Donawa.

61'

J. Gollop

Attempt missed. J. Gollop (Barbados), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.02.

59'

D. Parfitt-Williams

Attempt blocked. D. Parfitt-Williams (Bermuda), right-footed shot. xG 0.07.

58'

N. Tucker

Attempt missed. N. Tucker (Bermuda), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

56'

D. Parfitt-Williams

Yellow card for D. Parfitt-Williams (Bermuda) for foul.

53'

J. Neblett

Attempt blocked. J. Neblett (Barbados), right-footed shot. xG 0.05.

46'

L. Robinson

Substitution, Bermuda: R. Robinson comes on for L. Robinson.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Barbados 3-1 Bermuda.

45+1'

N. Reid-Stephen

Attempt blocked. N. Reid-Stephen (Barbados), left-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.04.

45'

2 minutes of added time.

45'

T. Gale

Attempt blocked. T. Gale (Barbados), right-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.03.

44'

N. Wells

Yellow card for N. Wells (Bermuda) for foul.

41'

T. Gale

Goal! Barbados 3-1 Bermuda. T. Gale (Barbados) scores, assisted by A. Applewhaite.

38'

J. Neblett

Attempt missed. J. Neblett (Barbados), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.02.

38'

D. Parfitt-Williams

Attempt missed. D. Parfitt-Williams (Bermuda), right-footed shot. xG 0.06.

37'

J. Neblett

Attempt blocked. J. Neblett (Barbados), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

29'

A. Applewhaite

Goal! Barbados 2-1 Bermuda. A. Applewhaite (Barbados) scores, assisted by J. Neblett.

26'

T. Gale

Attempt blocked. T. Gale (Barbados), right-footed shot. xG 0.09.

26'

T. Gale

Goal! Barbados 1-1 Bermuda. T. Gale (Barbados) scores.

25'

N. Reid-Stephen

Attempt saved. N. Reid-Stephen (Barbados), left-footed shot. xG 0.05.

20'

J. Donawa

Yellow card for J. Donawa (Bermuda) for foul.

11'

Barbados

Offside, Barbados.

8'

D. Parfitt-Williams

Goal! Barbados 0-1 Bermuda. D. Parfitt-Williams (Bermuda) scores, assisted by D. Hill.

7'

T. Gale

Attempt missed. T. Gale (Barbados), right-footed shot. xG 0.07.

3'

T. Bailey-Edwards

Yellow card for T. Bailey-Edwards (Barbados) for foul.

1'

N. Reid-Stephen

Attempt missed. N. Reid-Stephen (Barbados), left-footed shot. xG 0.04.

1'

Kick-off: Barbados vs Bermuda.

Where the money is

89412 EUR matched · captured 1 month, 1 week ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 28917 EUR · live

Home 1.01 · implied 99.0%

85.6%

-13.4 vs price

Away 770.0 · implied 0.1%

11.4%

+11.3 vs price

Draw 950.0 · implied 0.1%

3.7%

+3.6 vs price

Half time 3397 EUR · live

Home 10.5 · implied 9.5%

88.6%

+79.1 vs price

Away 1.53 · implied 65.4%

10.9%

-54.4 vs price

Draw 3.75 · implied 26.7%

0.4%

-26.3 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 1016 EUR · live

Over 1.32 · implied 75.8%

56.8%

-18.9 vs price

Under 4.1 · implied 24.4%

43.0%

+18.6 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 1141 EUR · live

Over 4.9 · implied 20.4%

56.2%

+35.8 vs price

Under 1.36 · implied 73.5%

43.7%

-29.8 vs price

12 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG (estimated)

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 1 clip

Player of the match

Match events

3' T. Bailey-Edwards · Foul

8' ⚽ D. Parfitt-Williams · assist D. Hill0–1

20' J. Donawa · Foul

26' ⚽ T. Gale1–1

29' ⚽ A. Applewhaite · assist J. Neblett2–1

41' ⚽ T. Gale · assist A. Applewhaite3–1

44' N. Wells · Foul

Half-time · 3–1

46' 🔁 R. Robinson ◂ L. Robinson

56' D. Parfitt-Williams · Foul

64' 🔁 B. Borgesson ◂ J. Donawa

64' 🔁 A. Burchall ◂ D. Parfitt-Williams

68' 🔁 S. Hoyte ◂ O. Leacock

78' 🔁 Z. Lewis ◂ A. Burchall

78' 🔁 E. Russell ◂ N. Wells

79' 🔁 D. King ◂ J. Neblett

79' 🔁 D. Thorne ◂ J. Gollop

86' ⚽ N. Reid-Stephen · assist T. Gale4–1

87' 🔁 R. Bourne ◂ N. Reid-Stephen

87' 🔁 Z. Applewhite ◂ C. Griffith

Full-time · 4–1

Coaches

Kent Hall

Michael Findlay

Recent form

Barbados

DAGuadeloupe2-2

WHSaint Lucia2-0

LHSaint Vincent and the Grenadines2-3

LASaint Martin1-3

LASint Maarten1-3

Bermuda

LASaint Lucia2-5

LHGuadeloupe1-2

LACabo Verde0-3

LADR Congo0-2

DATrinidad and Tobago2-2

About this match

**Barbados hosts Bermuda in a must-win spot — both sides are struggling, but the Tridents have at least shown they can score at home.** 🏝️

Barbados are 1W-1D-3L in their last five, though that home win vs Saint Lucia proves they can turn up when the crowd's behind them. Bermuda are in freefall: 0W-1D-4L with a hammering from Saint Lucia (2-5) and a blank at Cabo Verde (0-3) in their last two outings.

Key storylines:

- **Barbados' home edge** is real — they've picked up their only win on familiar turf this stretch and face a Bermuda side leaking goals
- **Bermuda's defensive collapse** is the worry; conceding five to Saint Lucia is not Nations League form, and away records don't get easier
- **T. Gale and N. Reid-Stephen** will need to make Barbados' attacking threat count; Bermuda's backline has looked vulnerable

Expected lineups:

- **Barbados**: J. Malcolm, A. Applewhaite, M. Williams, N. Brathwaite, T. Bailey-Edwards, R. Morris, O. Leacock, T. Gale, N. Reid-Stephen
- **Bermuda**: D. Eve, D. Hill, H. Twite, D. Leverock, R. Jones Jr., K. Martin, N. Tucker, J. Donawa, N. Wells

Prediction:

**Barbados 2–0 Bermuda.** Home advantage + Bermuda's current form trouble = comfortable Tridents win. 🎯

Where to watch

ViX

Match facts

Stadium

BFA Technical Centre

City

Bridgetown

Kickoff

03 Oct, 00:00 UTC

Competition

CONCACAF Nations League

Highlights & clips

Barbados 3-4-3 · 4-4-2 Bermuda

1 J. Blackman 6.5 20 T. Bailey-Edwards 7.0 4 M. Williams 6.9 14 A. Banton 6.5 13 D. King 6.5 ↑ 79' 6 S. Hoyte 6.6 ↑ 68' 17 D. Thorne 6.7 ↑ 79' 3 A. Applewhaite 8.1 22 Z. Applewhite ↑ 87' 16 R. Bourne ↑ 87' 11 T. Gale 10.0 12 J. Hill 5.3 7 L. Simmons 6.0 4 L. Steede-Jackson 5.8 17 H. Twite 6.2 11 D. Hill 7.1 19 A. Burchall 6.3 ↑ 64' 5 N. Tucker 7.6 20 R. Robinson 6.3 ↑ 46' 13 B. Borgesson 6.7 ↑ 64' 6 S. Hall 6.9 10 Z. Lewis 6.5 ↑ 78'

Top stats

53%Possession47%

1.37Expected goals (xG)1.39

15Total shots12

6Shots on target3

3Big chances2

4Corners4

Shots

4Shots off target5

5Blocked shots4

4Shots inside box8

11Shots outside box4

3Big chances scored1

0Big chances missed1

Attack

9Touches in box35

31Final third entries58

0Offsides2

12Free kicks8

1Fouled in final third2

Passing

429Passes375

392Accurate passes329

19/33 (58%)Long balls21/35 (60%)

0/7 (0%)Crosses2/11 (18%)

14Throw-ins15

Duels

50Duels50

30/60 (50%)Ground duels30/60 (50%)

2/4 (50%)Aerial duels2/4 (50%)

6/13 (46%)Dribbles10/16 (63%)

5Dispossessed6

Defending

12Tackles12

50Tackles won67

4Interceptions6

21Clearances8

36Recoveries37

Discipline

8Fouls12

1Yellow cards3

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

2Saves2

1Big saves1

8Goal kicks7

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 24 bookmakers

Barbados 50%

23%

Bermuda 27%

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 69% · 2.75 @ William Hill

BTTSBoth teams to score 68% · 2.37 @ Bet365

Who winsBarbados to win (DNB) 70% · 1.40 @ 888Sport

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 86% · 1.57 @ William Hill

1X2Barbados to win 50% · 2.12 @ 1xBet

1X2Draw 23% · 3.00 @ Bet365

1X2Bermuda to win 27% · 3.60 @ William Hill

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 50% · 1.90 @ betfair

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

1.80

Barbados

3.92

Draw

3.40

Bermuda

Double Chanceconsensus

1.26

Barbados or Draw

1.19

Barbados or Bermuda

1.85

Draw or Bermuda

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.37

Yes

2.85

No

Home Win to Nilconsensus

4.80

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

8.50

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.01

Over 0.50

17.00

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.08

Over 1.50

6.60

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.33

Over 2.50

3.00

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

1.92

Over 3.50

1.81

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

2.96

Over 4.50

1.32

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.38

Barbados

2.75

Bermuda

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.83

Over 8.50

1.83

Under 8.50

1X2 (1st Half)consensus

2.25

Barbados

2.56

Draw

3.65

Bermuda

1X2 (2nd Half)consensus

2.05

Barbados

2.95

Draw

3.50

Bermuda

Both Teams to Score (1st Half)consensus

3.10

Yes

1.33

No

Both Teams to Score (2nd Half)consensus

2.30

Yes

1.55

No

Full odds via API →

Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.

Over 1.5 goals

✓

86% confidence

A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Report a data issue