Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
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**Haiti just beat Costa Rica 2-0 at home** — and now they're rolling into San José for the reverse fixture. This is revenge season written all over it. 🔥
Costa Rica are desperate; they've won just once in five. Haiti, meanwhile, have strung together three wins and look genuinely sharp. That recent scalp over Costa Rica has them buzzing, and they know how to travel in this competition.
Key storylines:
- **Haiti's form vs Costa Rica's fragility**: Los Ticos have leaked four goals in their last two outings, while Haiti's attack (led by **W. Isidor** and **L. Joseph**) has found rhythm.
- **Home advantage on the line**: Costa Rica need to prove **Estadio Ricardo Saprissa Aymá** is fortress enough to flip the script.
- **K. Navas under pressure**: The goalkeeper will be tested early and often if Costa Rica's backline—**F. Calvo** and **J. Mitchell** anchoring—can't settle.
Expected lineups:
- **Costa Rica**: K. Navas, F. Calvo, J. Mitchell, J. Vargas, C. Mora, S. Acuña, J. Méndez, K. Michel, R. Wilson, O. Sinclair
- **Haiti**: J. Placide, M. Expérience, R. Adé, G. Metusala, D. Jean Jacques, J. Bellegarde, D. Simon, R. Providence, W. Isidor, L. Joseph
Prediction:
**Haiti 1–1 Costa Rica**. Home boost keeps it tight, but Haiti's momentum is real—lean slight edge to Haiti if it goes 90.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.3%.
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