Guatemala 1-0 Suriname: Stats, xG & Lineups – Oct 6, 2026

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Guatemala 1-0 Suriname.

90+12'

E. Vaessen

Attempt saved. E. Vaessen (Suriname), header from a corner. xG 0.17.

90+12'

Suriname

Corner, Suriname.

90+11'

J. Bantes

Yellow card for J. Bantes (Guatemala) for foul.

90+10'

S. Pinas

Attempt missed. S. Pinas (Suriname), left-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.03.

90+8'

Guatemala

Offside, Guatemala.

90+6'

M. Evans

Goal! Guatemala 1-0 Suriname. M. Evans (Guatemala) scores, assisted by O. Escobar.

90+5'

O. Escobar

Attempt blocked. O. Escobar (Guatemala), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

90+4'

O. Escobar

Attempt missed. O. Escobar (Guatemala), left-footed shot. xG 0.06.

90+4'

I. Pherai

Substitution, Suriname: S. Denswil comes on for I. Pherai.

90+3'

I. Pherai

Attempt saved. I. Pherai (Suriname), right-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.04.

90+2'

M. Evans

Yellow card for M. Evans (Guatemala) for foul.

90'

12 minutes of added time.

90'

R. Rubin

Substitution, Guatemala: J. Bantes comes on for R. Rubin.

84'

N. Bakboord

Substitution, Suriname: J. Turfkruier comes on for N. Bakboord.

84'

Suriname

Corner, Suriname.

79'

J. Rosales

Substitution, Guatemala: M. Evans comes on for J. Rosales.

75'

D. Lom

Attempt missed. D. Lom (Guatemala), right-footed shot. xG 0.29.

74'

D. Daniels

Substitution, Suriname: Gleofilo Vlijter comes on for D. Daniels.

74'

S. '. Zand

Substitution, Suriname: Y. Leliendal comes on for S. '. Zand.

63'

R. Margaret

Red card! R. Margaret (Suriname) is sent off for argument.

62'

A. López

Substitution, Guatemala: O. Escobar comes on for A. López.

62'

W. Fajardo

Substitution, Guatemala: R. Muñoz comes on for W. Fajardo.

61'

S. '. Zand

Attempt missed. S. '. Zand (Suriname), right-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.04.

60'

W. Fajardo

Yellow card for W. Fajardo (Guatemala) for foul.

59'

D. Lom

Attempt saved. D. Lom (Guatemala), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

58'

J. Franco

Attempt missed. J. Franco (Guatemala), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

55'

R. Rubin

Attempt blocked. R. Rubin (Guatemala), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

46'

D. Cleonise

Substitution, Suriname: R. Margaret comes on for D. Cleonise.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Guatemala 0-0 Suriname.

45+2'

D. Cleonise

Attempt missed. D. Cleonise (Suriname), left-footed shot. xG 0.05.

45'

2 minutes of added time.

44'

Suriname

Corner, Suriname.

42'

Suriname

Corner, Suriname.

41'

D. Cleonise

Attempt missed. D. Cleonise (Suriname), left-footed shot. xG 0.67.

41'

I. Pherai

Attempt missed. I. Pherai (Suriname), left-footed shot. xG 0.07.

39'

D. Lom

Attempt missed. D. Lom (Guatemala), header from a corner. xG 0.05.

39'

D. Lom

Attempt blocked. D. Lom (Guatemala), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.13.

39'

Suriname

Corner, Suriname.

35'

R. Rubin

Attempt missed. R. Rubin (Guatemala), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

34'

N. Samayoa

Attempt saved. N. Samayoa (Guatemala), header from a set piece. xG 0.04.

34'

K. Paal

Yellow card for K. Paal (Suriname) for foul.

23'

Guatemala

Offside, Guatemala.

19'

Suriname

Corner, Suriname.

18'

R. Rubin

Attempt saved. R. Rubin (Guatemala), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.15.

15'

I. Pherai

Attempt missed. I. Pherai (Suriname), right-footed shot. xG 0.06.

14'

D. Lom

Attempt missed. D. Lom (Guatemala), left-footed shot. xG 0.66.

6'

G. Kerk

Attempt missed. G. Kerk (Suriname), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

1'

Kick-off: Guatemala vs Suriname.

Where the money is

172767 EUR matched · captured 1 month, 1 week ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 64693 EUR · live

Home 1.04 · implied 96.2%

44.0%

-52.2 vs price

Draw 26.0 · implied 3.8%

32.7%

+28.8 vs price

Away 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

23.7%

+23.6 vs price

Half time 1112 EUR · live

Draw 1.11 · implied 90.1%

42.7%

-47.4 vs price

Away 24.0 · implied 4.2%

30.4%

+26.2 vs price

Home 17.0 · implied 5.9%

26.8%

+20.9 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 30601 EUR · live

Under 1.01 · implied 99.0%

82.1%

-16.9 vs price

Over 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

17.9%

+17.8 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 2434 EUR · live

Under 1.01 · implied 99.0%

97.7%

-1.3 vs price

Over 330.0 · implied 0.3%

2.3%

+2.0 vs price

14 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG (estimated)

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 1 clip

Player of the match

Match events

34' K. Paal · Foul

Half-time · 0–0

46' 🔁 R. Margaret ◂ D. Cleonise

60' W. Fajardo · Foul

62' 🔁 R. Muñoz ◂ W. Fajardo

62' 🔁 O. Escobar ◂ A. López

63' R. Margaret · Argument

74' 🔁 Y. Leliendal ◂ S. '. Zand

74' 🔁 Gleofilo Vlijter ◂ D. Daniels

79' 🔁 M. Evans ◂ J. Rosales

84' 🔁 J. Turfkruier ◂ N. Bakboord

Full-time · 1–0

90' 🔁 J. Bantes ◂ R. Rubin

90'⁺² M. Evans · Foul

90'⁺⁴ 🔁 S. Denswil ◂ I. Pherai

90'⁺⁶ ⚽ M. Evans · assist O. Escobar1–0

90'⁺¹¹ J. Bantes · Foul

Coaches

Luis Fernando Tena

Henk Ten Cate

Recent form

Guatemala

DASuriname0-0

WHEl Salvador6-0

LAJamaica2-3

LAEcuador0-3

LACzechia1-3

Suriname

DHGuatemala0-0

WHMartinique2-1

WAHonduras3-2

LAGuatemala1-3

WHEl Salvador4-0

About this match

**Guatemala's home turf could be the decider here** — they're unbeaten in their last two meetings with Suriname, but form tells a messier story. 🏟️

Guatemala are streaky (1W, 3L in the last five), while Suriname have quietly built some momentum with three wins in their past five. The visitors showed serious composure beating Honduras 3-2 away, and they'll fancy their chances against a shaky home side.

Key storylines:

- **Guatemala's home edge** is real — they're unbeaten H2H against Suriname — but inconsistent form means they can't take anything for granted
- **Suriname's attack is clicking**, especially after that Honduras win; G. Kerk and Gleofilo Vlijter will test **N. Hagen** early
- **J. Bantes** and **R. Rubin** need to fire for Guatemala to break Suriname's solid defensive setup

Expected lineups:

- **Guatemala**: N. Hagen, J. Morales, A. Herrera, N. Samayoa, A. Yanes, J. Rosales, J. Franco, O. Escobar, J. Aparicio, R. Rubin, J. Bantes
- **Suriname**: E. Vaessen, K. Paal, S. Pinas, M. Abena, L. Gelderen, J. Lonwijk, D. Jubitana, R. Margaret, D. M. Klas, G. Kerk, Gleofilo Vlijter

Prediction:

**Guatemala 1-1 Suriname** — home advantage keeps them from losing, but Suriname's form earns a draw. Coin flip either way. ⚖️

Where to watch

ViX

Match facts

Stadium

Estadio Manuel Felipe Carrera

City

Guatemala City

Kickoff

06 Oct, 00:00 UTC

Competition

CONCACAF Nations League

Highlights & clips

Guatemala 4-4-2 · 4-1-4-1 Suriname

1 N. Hagen 7.6 7 A. Herrera 8.7 15 A. Yanes 7.3 3 N. Samayoa 7.9 16 J. Morales 7.2 11 R. Muñoz 6.5 ↑ 62' 22 J. Franco 6.6 8 M. Evans 7.6 ↑ 79' 10 O. Escobar 6.6 ↑ 62' 4 J. Bantes 6.6 ↑ 90' 14 D. Lom 5.9 23 E. Vaessen 7.7 15 J. Turfkruier 6.6 ↑ 84' 21 L. Gelderen 6.9 12 M. Abena 6.8 19 S. Pinas 6.9 22 K. Paal 7.3 9 R. Margaret 4.6 ↑ 46' 4 S. Denswil 6.2 ↑ 90' 5 Y. Leliendal 6.4 ↑ 74' 7 G. Kerk 7.0 20 Gleofilo Vlijter 6.6 ↑ 74'

Substitutes

21GL. Morán 12GK. Navarro 6DC. Calderón 2DC. S. Estrada 18MA. López↓ 62'7.0 19MW. Fajardo↓ 62'6.7 5MJ. Rosales↓ 79'6.4 23MJ. Bolaños 13MS. Robles 17MO. Castellanos 20MK. Ramírez 9FR. Rubin↓ 90'6.6

Coach: Luis Fernando Tena

Substitutes

1GJ. Wiegel 13GJ. Fonkel 2DN. Bakboord↓ 84'7.2 16MS. '. Zand↓ 74'6.9 6MI. Pherai↓ 90'6.8 11MD. Cleonise↓ 46'5.9 17MD. M. Klas 10MD. Jubitana 14MC. Nunnely 18FD. Daniels↓ 74'6.5

Coach: Henk Ten Cate

Top stats

55%Possession45%

1.08Expected goals (xG)0.32

13Total shots9

4Shots on target2

1Big chances1

7Corners3

Shots

6Shots off target7

3Blocked shots0

7Shots inside box4

6Shots outside box5

1Big chances missed1

Attack

18Touches in box17

63Final third entries64

3Offsides1

8Free kicks11

3Fouled in final third2

Passing

382Passes331

313Accurate passes256

21/49 (43%)Long balls28/67 (42%)

9/30 (30%)Crosses4/14 (29%)

13Throw-ins17

Duels

49Duels51

24/47 (51%)Ground duels23/47 (49%)

17/36 (47%)Aerial duels19/36 (53%)

5/7 (71%)Dribbles5/11 (45%)

6Dispossessed5

Defending

11Tackles8

82Tackles won50

4Interceptions7

29Clearances24

43Recoveries42

Discipline

11Fouls8

3Yellow cards1

0Red cards1

Goalkeeping

2Saves3

0Big saves1

8Goal kicks10

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 24 bookmakers

Guatemala 43%

27%

Suriname 30%

Who winsSuriname to win (DNB) 61% · 2.80 @ Betway

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 71% · 1.25 @ 1xBet

CornersUnder 9.5 corners 59% · 1.46 @ Pinnacle

BTTSBoth teams to score 54% · 3.40 @ Bet365

1X2Draw 27% · 2.44 @ 1xBet

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 50% · 4.60 @ William Hill

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 74% · 2.10 @ 1xBet

1X2Suriname to win 30% · 3.49 @ 1xBet

1X2Guatemala to win 43% · 2.60 @ Bet365

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 69% · 1.33 @ betfair

CornersOver 8.5 corners 52% · 1.99 @ Pinnacle

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

2.10

Guatemala

3.35

Draw

3.10

Suriname

Double Chanceconsensus

1.31

Guatemala or Draw

1.30

Guatemala or Suriname

1.65

Draw or Suriname

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.75

Yes

2.00

No

Home Win to Nilconsensus

3.80

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

5.00

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.03

Over 0.50

9.90

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.27

Over 1.50

3.50

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.90

Over 2.50

1.87

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

3.25

Over 3.50

1.31

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

6.42

Over 4.50

1.08

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.40

Guatemala

2.75

Suriname

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.56

Over 7.50

2.26

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.98

Over 8.50

1.77

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

2.54

Over 9.50

1.46

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

3.40

Over 10.50

1.25

Under 10.50

Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus

4.80

Over 11.50

1.12

Under 11.50

Full odds via API →

No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.3%.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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