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Valdas Dambrauskas
Sabah FK
AGF
Sabah FK
4-2-3-1 · 3-1-4-2
AGF
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
556035 EUR · live
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
84.0%
-15.0 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
11.4%
+11.3 vs price
Draw
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
4.7%
+4.6 vs price
Half time
1097 EUR · live
Away
6.6 · implied 15.2%
56.5%
+41.4 vs price
Home
3.1 · implied 32.3%
36.2%
+3.9 vs price
Draw
1.85 · implied 54.1%
7.2%
-46.9 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
256219 EUR · live
Under
2.02 · implied 49.5%
77.4%
+27.9 vs price
Over
2.0 · implied 50.0%
22.6%
-27.4 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
10725 EUR · live
Under
1.03 · implied 97.1%
93.6%
-3.5 vs price
Over
29.0 · implied 3.4%
6.4%
+3.0 vs price
15 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Player of the match
Match events
8'
R. Carstensen · Foul
32'
J. Andersen · Foul
Half-time · 0–0
58'
🔁
X. Severina ◂ P. O. M'Bina
59'
⚽
V. Simić · assist J. Mickels1–0
64'
🔁
F. Emmery ◂ G. Links
65'
🔁
M. Anderson ◂ R. Carstensen
66'
E. Kahl · Foul
67'
⚽
S. Solvet · assist A. Isayev2–0
72'
🔁
J. Serra ◂ M. Knudsen
78'
⚽
J. Mickels3–0
81'
🔁
M. Camara ◂ C. Rösler
82'
🔁
C. Nwachukwu ◂ A. Isayev
82'
🔁
S. Jørgensen ◂ J. Jønsson
89'
⚽
X. Severina · assist A. Zedadka4–0
Full-time · 4–0
90'+3
🔁
A. Khaybulaev ◂ I. Lepinjica
90'+3
🔁
R. Fernandes ◂ J. Mickels
90'+4
🔁
T. Mutallimov ◂ A. Zedadka
Coaches
Jakob Poulsen 
Recent form
LAAGF1-2
WAKuopion Palloseura2-0
WHKuopion Palloseura1-0
WAThe New Saints2-1
WHThe New Saints2-0
WHSabah FK2-1
DALyngby2-2
WALech Poznań4-1
DHBrøndby IF1-1
LHLech Poznań1-4
Where to watch
TV3+ HDViaplay
Viaplay
Match facts
Stadium
Bank Respublika Arena
City
Absheron
Kickoff
11 Aug, 16:00 UTC
Competition
Champions League
92
S. Pokatilov
7.4
17
T. Mutallimov
↑ 90'
3
S. Solvet
8.6
5
R. Dashdamirov
7.3
27
T. Puchacz
7.3
7
U. Rahmonaliev
7.2
88
R. Fernandes
↑ 90'
21
V. Simić
9.8
8
C. Nwachukwu
6.7
↑ 82'
6
A. Khaybulaev
↑ 90'
34
X. Severina
8.0
↑ 58'
21
M. Hedenstad
5.8
26
J. Andersen
5.4
44
M. Camara
7.0
↑ 81'
19
E. Kahl
6.5
8
S. Jørgensen
6.4
↑ 82'
23
M. Anderson
6.4
↑ 65'
13
J. Serra
6.5
↑ 72'
10
K. Arnstad
5.7
39
F. Emmery
6.5
↑ 64'
31
T. Bech
6.4
28
J. Bogere
6.8
Top stats
50%Possession50%
0.0Expected goals (xG)0.0
29Total shots14
10Shots on target5
3Big chances1
7Corners4
Shots
11Shots off target5
8Blocked shots4
23Shots inside box8
6Shots outside box6
0Hit woodwork0
1Big chances scored0
2Big chances missed1
Attack
44Touches in box14
50Final third entries35
3Offsides0
10Free kicks11
3Fouled in final third1
Passing
367Passes376
312Accurate passes325
33/53 (62%)Long balls19/41 (46%)
8/24 (33%)Crosses1/12 (8%)
20Throw-ins12
Duels
59Duels41
33/59 (56%)Ground duels26/59 (44%)
11/16 (69%)Aerial duels5/16 (31%)
10/15 (67%)Dribbles7/14 (50%)
3Dispossessed6
Defending
13Tackles8
77Tackles won75
5Interceptions6
15Clearances31
48Recoveries40
Discipline
11Fouls10
0Yellow cards3
Goalkeeping
5Saves5
7Goal kicks9
0Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers
BTTSBoth teams to score 60% · 1.57 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 58% · 1.65 @ Betsson
Who winsSabah to win (DNB) 65% · 1.44 @ Novibet
1X2Sabah to win 49% · 1.95 @ Interwetten
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 79% · 1.20 @ Bet365
CornersOver 8.5 corners 60% · 1.57 @ 888Sport
1X2Draw 26% · 3.70 @ Bet365
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 63% · 1.56 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 51% · 1.95 @ Pinnacle
1X2AGF to win 26% · 3.95 @ Betsson
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 64% · 1.50 @ Bet365
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.92
Sabah FK ▼
3.66
Draw ▲
3.79
AGF
Double Chanceconsensus
1.26
Sabah FK or Draw
1.26
Sabah FK or AGF
1.85
Draw or AGF ▲
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.56
Yes
2.31
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.03
Over 0.50 ▼
11.33
Under 0.50 ▼
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.20
Over 1.50 ▼
4.35
Under 1.50 ▲
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.64
Over 2.50 ▼
2.23
Under 2.50 ▲
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.55
Over 3.50 ▼
1.49
Under 3.50 ▲
Total Goals 4.50consensus
4.45
Over 4.50 ▼
1.20
Under 4.50 ▲
Draw No Betconsensus
1.42
Sabah FK
2.75
AGF ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 3.50consensus
15.25
Under 3.50
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
1.01
Over 4.50
12.00
Under 4.50
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.06
Over 5.50
8.00
Under 5.50
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.16
Over 6.50
4.92
Under 6.50
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.27
Over 7.50 ▼
3.37
Under 7.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.50
Over 8.50 ▼
2.41
Under 8.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.84
Over 9.50 ▼
1.86
Under 9.50 ▲
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
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