Fenerbahçe vs SK Sturm Graz — preview

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Champions League ·Wed 05 Aug

Fenerbahçe

18:00UTC

Upcoming

SK Sturm Graz

Chobani Stadium, Istanbul

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 29 bookmakers

Fenerbahçe 68%

20%

Sturm 12%

Who winsFenerbahçe to win (DNB) 83% · 1.14 @ Betano

1X2Fenerbahçe to win 68% · 1.42 @ Novibet

CornersOver 9.5 corners 53% · 1.80 @ Betsson

CornersOver 8.5 corners 65% · 1.47 @ Betsson

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 58% · 1.69 @ 1xBet

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 79% · 1.22 @ Betano

BTTSBTTS: No 51% · 1.86 @ Novibet

1X2Draw 20% · 5.00 @ Bwin

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 58% · 1.65 @ Betway

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 64% · 1.48 @ 10bet

1X2Sturm to win 12% · 8.40 @ Marathon

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

1.38

Fenerbahçe

4.75

Draw ▲

7.56

SK Sturm Graz ▲

Double Chanceconsensus

1.08

Fenerbahçe or Draw

1.17

Fenerbahçe or SK Sturm Graz

2.96

Draw or SK Sturm Graz ▲

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.90

Yes ▲

1.81

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.03

Over 0.50

12.26

Under 0.50 ▲

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.21

Over 1.50

4.35

Under 1.50 ▲

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.67

Over 2.50 ▲

2.20

Under 2.50 ▲

Total Goals 3.50consensus

2.65

Over 3.50 ▲

1.47

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

4.65

Over 4.50 ▲

1.19

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.12

Fenerbahçe

5.61

SK Sturm Graz ▲

Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus

1.01

Over 4.50

13.00

Under 4.50 ▼

Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus

1.05

Over 5.50 ▲

9.60

Under 5.50 ▲

Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus

1.12

Over 6.50 ▲

5.75

Under 6.50 ▲

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.24

Over 7.50 ▲

3.68

Under 7.50 ▼

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.43

Over 8.50 ▲

2.61

Under 8.50 ▼

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

1.74

Over 9.50 ▲

1.96

Under 9.50 ▼

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

2.20

Over 10.50 ▲

1.59

Under 10.50 ▼

Full odds via API →

2.5 – 0.8Expected goals

2-0Most likely score

~12Expected corners

No bet in this match — nothing offers both a real edge and a worthwhile price. The full breakdown is below for the curious.

Every market recommended rows highlighted

Our call	How likely	Bookmakers say	Their odds	Price check	Confidence
Fenerbahçe to win (DNB)Who wins	83%	83%	1.12	Overpriced	high
Fenerbahçe to win1X2	68%	68%	1.38	Overpriced	medium
Over 9.5 cornersCorners	53%	53%	1.74	Overpriced	low
Over 8.5 cornersCorners	65%	65%	1.43	Overpriced	medium
Over 2.5 goalsGoals	58%	57%	1.64	Fair	low
Over 1.5 goalsGoals	79%	78%	1.19	Overpriced	high
BTTS: NoBTTS	51%	51%	1.81	Overpriced	low
Draw1X2	20%	20%	4.75	Overpriced	low
Under 10.5 cornersCorners	58%	58%	1.59	Overpriced	low
Under 3.5 goalsGoals	64%	64%	1.45	Overpriced	medium
Sturm to win1X2	12%	12%	7.56	Overpriced	low

Where we disagree most with the bookmakers: Over 10.5 corners — we say 52%, they say 42%.

Probability vs league average

Market	This match	League avg	Diff	More likely?
Over 1.5 goals	79%	81%	-2%	No
Over 2.5 goals	58%	58%	0%	No
Over 3.5 goals	36%	36%	0%	No
Both teams to score	49%	52%	-3%	No
Home win	68%	48%	+20%	Yes
Draw	20%	20%	0%	No
Away win	12%	32%	-20%	No

How to read this: "72% · high" means we expect it to happen about 72 times out of 100 — football always keeps the rest. "Worth it above X" is the minimum odds where the pick makes mathematical sense; "Overpriced" means the bookmaker pays less than that. Not betting advice — no outcome is guaranteed.

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