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Johannes Thorup
SK Rapid Wien
Paide Linnameeskond
SK Rapid Wien
4-4-2 · 4-3-3
Paide Linnameeskond
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
419992 EUR · live
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
96.9%
-2.1 vs price
Draw
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
1.7%
+1.6 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
1.4%
+1.3 vs price
Half time
3033 EUR · live
Home
2.26 · implied 44.2%
91.4%
+47.2 vs price
Away
13.0 · implied 7.7%
4.7%
-3.0 vs price
Draw
2.12 · implied 47.2%
3.9%
-43.3 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
269725 EUR · live
Under
1.02 · implied 98.0%
81.6%
-16.4 vs price
Over
29.0 · implied 3.4%
18.4%
+14.9 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
9800 EUR · live
Under
1.03 · implied 97.1%
93.7%
-3.4 vs price
Over
24.0 · implied 4.2%
6.3%
+2.2 vs price
15 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
37'
J. Schöller · Foul
38'
⚽
M. Tilio · assist N. Wurmbrand1–0
38'
VAR
Goal check · M. Tilio
Half-time · 1–0
46'
🔁
R. Smirnov ◂ M. Miller
63'
🔁
P. Dahl ◂ M. Haïdara
63'
🔁
N. Bajlicz ◂ R. Amane
63'
🔁
T. Adamsen ◂ M. Tilio
68'
🔁
E. Tur ◂ H. Ojamaa
68'
🔁
H. Ojamaa ◂ P. M. Sohna
74'
L. Schaub · Foul
74'
🔁
S. Raux-Yao ◂ J. Schöller
79'
VAR
Penalty check · N. Wurmbrand
81'
H. Anier · Argument
82'
⚽
L. Schaub (pen)2–0
83'
M. Laurikainen · Argument
84'
🔁
K. Piht ◂ H. Anier
84'
🔁
M. Seidl ◂ L. Schaub
84'
🔁
P. A. Cham ◂ D. Luts
Full-time · 2–0
Coaches
Tarmo Kink 
Recent form
WASV Ried2-1
WAPaide Linnameeskond4-1
WHSCR Altach1-0
WHFC Santa Coloma6-2
WAFC Santa Coloma3-1
LHSK Rapid Wien1-4
DAZirə FK1-1
WHZirə FK1-0
WHFC Hegelmann3-0
DAFC Hegelmann1-1
Where to watch
ORF 1
ORF 1
Match facts
Stadium
Allianz Stadion
City
Vienna
Referee
Kickoff
12 Aug, 16:00 UTC
Competition
Conference League
Highlights & clips
1
N. Hedl
7.6
2
E. Roka
7.5
55
N. Cvetković
7.2
6
S. Raux-Yao
6.7
↑ 74'
23
J. Auer
7.1
15
N. Wurmbrand
8.0
10
P. Dahl
6.6
↑ 63'
18
M. Seidl
6.6
↑ 84'
30
N. Bajlicz
6.7
↑ 63'
8
T. Adamsen
6.6
↑ 63'
17
T. Gulliksen
6.5
99
E. Jarju
7.9
7
E. Tur
6.3
↑ 68'
27
N. Baranov
6.5
3
V. Hugo
6.8
2
M. Lilander
5.8
8
H. Ojamaa
6.4
↑ 68'
28
O. Hoim
6.8
21
R. Smirnov
6.7
↑ 46'
17
P. A. Cham
6.5
↑ 84'
20
K. Piht
6.6
↑ 84'
6
Daniel Cabral
7.0
Substitutes
25GP. Gartler
50GL. Orgler
4DJ. Schöller↓ 74'7.7
38DJ. Horn
61DF. Demir
77DB. Bolla
21ML. Schaub↓ 84'7.7
29MR. Amane↓ 63'6.9
7FM. Tilio↓ 63'7.4
43FM. Haïdara↓ 63'6.8
9FE. Kara
22FY. Demir
Coach: Johannes Thorup
Top stats
65%Possession35%
0.0Expected goals (xG)0.0
23Total shots2
7Shots on target1
3Big chances1
5Corners1
Shots
11Shots off target0
5Blocked shots1
16Shots inside box1
7Shots outside box1
0Hit woodwork0
2Big chances scored0
1Big chances missed1
Attack
35Touches in box7
89Final third entries29
4Offsides3
2Free kicks11
1Fouled in final third1
Passing
673Passes365
609Accurate passes296
17/32 (53%)Long balls16/43 (37%)
7/20 (35%)Crosses1/4 (25%)
17Throw-ins15
Duels
46Duels54
26/62 (42%)Ground duels36/62 (58%)
5/6 (83%)Aerial duels1/6 (17%)
9/20 (45%)Dribbles6/14 (43%)
8Dispossessed6
Defending
14Tackles19
50Tackles won42
9Interceptions20
11Clearances22
57Recoveries50
Discipline
11Fouls3
2Yellow cards2
Goalkeeping
1Saves5
1Big saves0
3Goal kicks11
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 19 bookmakers
1X2Rapid to win 86% · 1.17 @ Betsson
Who winsRapid to win (DNB) 94% · 1.05 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 69% · 1.37 @ Novibet
BTTSBTTS: No 64% · 1.83 @ Betano
CornersOver 9.5 corners 60% · 1.57 @ 888Sport
CornersOver 8.5 corners 71% · 1.33 @ 888Sport
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 85% · 1.11 @ 1xBet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 51% · 1.90 @ fonbet
1X2Draw 10% · 13.40 @ 1xBet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 52% · 2.02 @ Bet365
1X2Paide to win 4% · 39.00 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.15
SK Rapid Wien ▲
7.38
Draw ▼
14.60
Paide Linnameeskond ▲
Double Chanceconsensus
1.02
SK Rapid Wien or Draw ▲
1.07
SK Rapid Wien or Paide Linnameeskond ▲
4.59
Draw or Paide Linnameeskond ▼
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.99
Yes ▲
1.74
No ▼
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.01
Over 0.50
22.63
Under 0.50 ▲
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.10
Over 1.50 ▼
7.00
Under 1.50 ▲
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.37
Over 2.50 ▲
3.00
Under 2.50 ▼
Total Goals 3.50consensus
1.86
Over 3.50 ▲
1.91
Under 3.50 ▼
Total Goals 4.50consensus
2.90
Over 4.50 ▲
1.40
Under 4.50 ▼
Draw No Betconsensus
1.03
SK Rapid Wien
10.83
Paide Linnameeskond ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.03
Over 5.50
13.00
Under 5.50
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.08
Over 6.50
7.00
Under 6.50
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.17
Over 7.50 ▼
4.57
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.30
Over 8.50
3.19
Under 8.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.52
Over 9.50
2.35
Under 9.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
1.87
Over 10.50 ▼
1.80
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.37
Over 11.50
1.50
Under 11.50 ▲
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
SK Rapid Wien to win or draw
✓
96% confidence
SK Rapid Wien to avoid defeat
✓
94% confidence
SK Rapid Wien win
✓
86% confidence
Over 1.5 goals
✓
85% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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