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Vagner Mancini
Red Bull Bragantino
Atlético Mineiro
Red Bull Bragantino
4-3-3 · 4-2-3-1
Atlético Mineiro
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
283941 EUR · live
Home
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
57.8%
+57.7 vs price
Away
1.01 · implied 99.0%
34.3%
-64.7 vs price
Draw
27.0 · implied 3.7%
8.4%
+4.7 vs price
Half time
1304 EUR · live
Away
6.8 · implied 14.7%
64.6%
+49.8 vs price
Draw
1.83 · implied 54.6%
27.1%
-27.5 vs price
Home
3.65 · implied 27.4%
8.2%
-19.2 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
92491 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
88.9%
-10.2 vs price
Over
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
11.2%
+11.1 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
6706 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
95.5%
-3.5 vs price
Over
90.0 · implied 1.1%
4.5%
+3.4 vs price
13 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 2 clips
Player of the match
Match events
29'
🔁
V. Hugo ◂ Lyanco
Half-time · 0–0
52'
J. Capixaba · Foul
56'
🔁
G. Neves ◂ J. Herrera
65'
🔁
I. Gomes ◂ V. Hugo
65'
🔁
M. Cassierra ◂ Reinier
65'
🔁
A. Minda ◂ Bernard
71'
🔁
I. Pitta ◂ E. Sasha
73'
⚽
T. Cuello · assist I. Gomes0–1
81'
L. Barbosa · Argument
83'
🔁
E. Ramires ◂ G. Girotto
84'
🔁
M. Braz ◂ L. Barbosa
86'
🔁
M. Cissé ◂ T. Cuello
Full-time · 0–1
Coaches
Vagner ManciniEduardo Dominguez 
Recent form
Red Bull BragantinoLHCorinthians0-2
WHClub Sporting Cristal1-0
DHCoritiba0-0
DAClub Sporting Cristal0-0
DAFluminense1-1
Atlético MineiroDARemo2-2
WAJuventude1-0
DHJuventude0-0
WAPalmeiras2-1
DHBahia1-1
Where to watch
ESPN 2 Sur
Disney+ESPN
Match facts
Stadium
Estádio Cícero de Souza Marques
City
Bragança Paulista
Kickoff
12 Aug, 22:00 UTC
Competition
Copa Sudamericana
Highlights & clips
Red Bull Bragantino
4-3-3 · 4-2-3-1
Atlético Mineiro
1
Cleiton
5.9
23
A. Sant Anna
6.8
16
G. Marques
6.8
2
G. Rodríguez
6.8
29
J. Capixaba
7.1
57
M. Braz
6.6
↑ 84'
7
E. Ramires
6.6
↑ 83'
20
Rodriguinho
6.6
22
G. Neves
6.6
↑ 56'
9
I. Pitta
6.5
↑ 71'
17
Vinicinho
7.8
22
Everson
9.6
2
Natanael
7.6
4
Ruan
6.8
14
V. Hugo
7.4
↑ 29'
6
R. Lodi
6.7
8
Maycon
7.3
21
A. Franco
7.3
39
M. Cissé
6.6
↑ 86'
17
I. Gomes
6.8
↑ 65'
27
A. Minda
6.7
↑ 65'
9
M. Cassierra
6.4
↑ 65'
Substitutes
18GT. Volpi
3DE. Santos
4DA. Vinicius
34DJ. A. Hurtado
14DP. Henrique
32MJ. Herrera↓ 56'7.3
21ML. Barbosa↓ 84'7.1
6MG. Girotto↓ 83'6.8
5MFabinho
15MI. Sosa
41MY. A. d. Aquino
8FE. Sasha↓ 71'6.7
Coach: Vagner Mancini
Substitutes
1GG. Delfim
13DLyanco↓ 29'6.9
36DK. P. Resende
28MT. Cuello↓ 86'8.1
11MBernard↓ 65'6.8
19MReinier↓ 65'6.4
25MT. Pérez
5MAlexsander
48MGutte
23MÁ. Preciado
92FDudu
Coach: Eduardo Dominguez
Top stats
55%Possession45%
1.39Expected goals (xG)1.69
22Total shots10
7Shots on target2
1Big chances1
7Corners3
Shots
9Shots off target4
6Blocked shots4
11Shots inside box7
11Shots outside box3
0Hit woodwork0
0Big chances scored1
1Big chances missed0
0.11Goals prevented1.67
Attack
32Touches in box14
70Final third entries52
1Offsides4
8Free kicks7
3Fouled in final third1
Passing
442Passes366
372Accurate passes300
26/44 (59%)Long balls31/58 (53%)
9/38 (24%)Crosses3/17 (18%)
30Throw-ins23
Duels
51Duels49
24/49 (49%)Ground duels25/49 (51%)
19/36 (53%)Aerial duels17/36 (47%)
5/12 (42%)Dribbles5/10 (50%)
6Dispossessed6
Defending
11Tackles13
64Tackles won77
11Interceptions6
25Clearances38
54Recoveries51
Discipline
7Fouls8
2Yellow cards0
Goalkeeping
1Saves7
1Big saves1
7Goal kicks11
1Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 39 bookmakers
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 55% · 1.52 @ Unibet
Who winsRB Bragantino to win (DNB) 64% · 1.50 @ Bet365
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 76% · 1.19 @ Unibet
1X2Draw 28% · 3.07 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 8.5 corners 60% · 1.64 @ Pinnacle
1X2RB Bragantino to win 46% · 2.20 @ Bet365
BTTSBoth teams to score 50% · 2.25 @ Betway
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 63% · 1.50 @ Interwetten
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 52% · 1.80 @ Bet365
1X2Atlético-MG to win 25% · 3.95 @ Betano
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 69% · 1.59 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.15
Red Bull Bragantino ▲
2.96
Draw ▼
3.74
Atlético Mineiro ▲
Double Chanceconsensus
1.24
Red Bull Bragantino or Draw ▼
1.37
Red Bull Bragantino or Atlético Mineiro ▲
1.67
Draw or Atlético Mineiro ▼
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
2.15
Yes ▼
1.64
No ▲
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.12
Over 0.50 ▲
6.38
Under 0.50 ▼
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.53
Over 1.50 ▲
2.44
Under 1.50 ▼
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.59
Over 2.50 ▲
1.48
Under 2.50 ▼
Total Goals 3.50consensus
5.20
Over 3.50 ▲
1.17
Under 3.50 ▼
Total Goals 4.50consensus
10.44
Over 4.50 ▼
1.04
Under 4.50 ▼
Draw No Betconsensus
1.47
Red Bull Bragantino ▲
2.52
Atlético Mineiro ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
1.01
Over 4.50
11.75
Under 4.50
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.06
Over 5.50
7.70
Under 5.50
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.14
Over 6.50 ▼
4.85
Under 6.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.30
Over 7.50 ▲
3.12
Under 7.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.56
Over 8.50 ▲
2.24
Under 8.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.94
Over 9.50 ▼
1.76
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.48
Over 10.50 ▲
1.45
Under 10.50 ▼
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.6%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.6%.
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