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Rodrigo Aragonez Gloria
Botafogo
Cienciano
Botafogo
4-3-1-2 · 4-2-3-1
Cienciano
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
480386 EUR · live
Home
1.03 · implied 97.1%
97.3%
+0.2 vs price
Draw
48.0 · implied 2.1%
1.5%
-0.6 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
1.3%
+1.2 vs price
Half time
40100 EUR · live
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
98.9%
-0.1 vs price
Draw
36.0 · implied 2.8%
0.6%
-2.1 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
0.4%
+0.3 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
326134 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
81.3%
-17.7 vs price
Over
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
18.7%
+18.6 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
17091 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
78.4%
-20.6 vs price
Over
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
21.6%
+21.5 vs price
15 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 2 clips
Player of the match
Match events
8'
⚽
Danilo · assist Á. Montoro1–0
11'
Huguinho · Foul
22'
S. Arias · Foul
36'
VAR
Goal not given after review · D. Santos
40'
A. Telles · Argument
40'
M. Amondarain · Foul
Half-time · 1–0
45'+6
🔁
G. Batista ◂ Warleson
46'
🔁
J. Santos ◂ Huguinho
46'
🔁
N. Bandiera ◂ J. Romagnoli
50'
VAR
Penalty not given after review · A. Telles
59'
🔁
H. Caparó ◂ S. Arias
60'
G. Barreto · Foul
64'
🔁
K. Barría ◂ D. Santos
64'
🔁
Edenilson ◂ Danilo
64'
🔁
A. Robles ◂ G. Barreto
70'
🔁
G. Aguirre ◂ A. Hohberg
70'
🔁
M. Succar ◂ C. Garcés
74'
🔁
M. Martins ◂ C. Medina
77'
C. Cabello · Time wasting
89'
G. Justino · Foul
Full-time · 1–0
90'
H. Melgarejo · Argument
90'+8
N. Ferraresi · Foul
90'+8
VAR
Red card check · N. Ferraresi
Coaches
Rodrigo Aragonez GloriaHoracio Melgarejo 
Recent form
BotafogoLAVitória0-1
LACienciano1-6
DHFluminense1-1
WACruzeiro1-0
DHVitória0-0
CiencianoWHBotafogo6-1
WHCA Lanús4-0
LACA Lanús0-2
DHJuventud de Las Piedras1-1
LAAtlético Mineiro0-2
Where to watch
DGODIRECTV Sports
Tigo Sports 2
BetanoParamount+
DGO
DGO
Sportdigital FUSSBALLSportdigital+
DGODIRECTV Sports
Como
DIRECTV Sports
Sport TV2
Match facts
Stadium
Estádio Nilton Santos
City
Rio de Janeiro
Kickoff
21 Aug, 00:30 UTC
Competition
Copa Sudamericana
Highlights & clips
Botafogo
4-3-1-2 · 4-2-3-1
Cienciano
12
G. Batista
7.0
↑ 45'
2
Vitinho
7.5
5
N. Ferraresi
7.1
34
G. Justino
7.0
13
A. Telles
7.7
88
Edenilson
6.9
↑ 64'
7
J. Santos
7.7
↑ 46'
11
M. Martins
6.6
↑ 74'
10
Á. Montoro
8.0
19
A. Cabral
5.9
37
K. Barría
6.5
↑ 64'
31
Í. Espinoza
6.7
13
C. Nunez
6.9
4
M. Amondarain
6.6
3
K. Becerra
7.5
16
M. Martinich
6.6
29
A. Robles
6.9
↑ 64'
39
H. Caparó
6.7
↑ 59'
22
C. Cabello
6.6
8
G. Aguirre
6.4
↑ 70'
11
N. Bandiera
6.7
↑ 46'
19
M. Succar
6.2
↑ 70'
Substitutes
17GWarleson↓ 45'6.6
33DL. Monzón
4DM. Ponte
21DMarçal
6MC. Medina↓ 74'6.9
75MHuguinho↓ 46'6.7
8MD. Santos↓ 64'6.5
23MS. Rodríguez
77ML. Villalba
25MAllan
59MK. Toledo
9FDanilo↓ 64'7.7
Coach: Rodrigo Aragonez Gloria
Top stats
69%Possession31%
2.51Expected goals (xG)0.23
22Total shots8
8Shots on target1
4Big chances0
6Corners1
Shots
11Shots off target6
3Blocked shots1
18Shots inside box1
4Shots outside box7
0Hit woodwork0
1Big chances scored0
3Big chances missed0
0.25Goals prevented0.85
Attack
35Touches in box7
54Final third entries46
2Offsides4
17Free kicks12
2Fouled in final third2
Passing
492Passes231
412Accurate passes138
29/44 (66%)Long balls17/64 (27%)
10/32 (31%)Crosses0/4 (0%)
33Throw-ins18
Duels
51Duels49
41/80 (51%)Ground duels39/80 (49%)
18/35 (51%)Aerial duels17/35 (49%)
14/26 (54%)Dribbles8/16 (50%)
9Dispossessed3
Defending
11Tackles21
64Tackles won43
7Interceptions12
13Clearances47
53Recoveries51
Discipline
12Fouls17
4Yellow cards4
Goalkeeping
1Saves6
9Goal kicks14
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 65 bookmakers
1X2Botafogo to win 85% · 1.37 @ Novibet
Who winsBotafogo to win (DNB) 92% · 1.07 @ forbet
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 71% · 1.33 @ betfair
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 87% · 1.11 @ betinasia
BTTSBTTS: No 53% · 1.91 @ Novibet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 67% · 3.30 @ Novibet
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 55% · 4.65 @ Novibet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 56% · 1.18 @ Bwin
1X2Draw 10% · 4.70 @ tipico
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 54% · 2.16 @ mansion
1X2Cienciano to win 5% · 13.00 @ efbet.net
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.11
Botafogo ▲
9.17
Draw ▼
16.00
Cienciano ▼
Double Chanceconsensus
1.02
Botafogo or Draw
1.06
Botafogo or Cienciano ▲
5.78
Draw or Cienciano ▼
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.98
Yes ▲
1.74
No ▲
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.01
Over 0.50
26.50
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.06
Over 1.50 ▲
7.64
Under 1.50 ▼
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.26
Over 2.50 ▲
3.51
Under 2.50 ▼
Total Goals 3.50consensus
1.70
Over 3.50 ▲
2.06
Under 3.50 ▼
Total Goals 4.50consensus
2.56
Over 4.50
1.45
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.02
Botafogo
11.99
Cienciano ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.00
Over 5.50
15.50
Under 5.50
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.00
Over 6.50
13.25
Under 6.50
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.03
Over 7.50
9.70
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.13
Over 8.50
5.45
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.22
Over 9.50
3.70
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
1.34
Over 10.50
2.89
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
1.55
Over 11.50
2.23
Under 11.50
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
Botafogo to win or draw
✓
95% confidence
Botafogo to avoid defeat
✓
92% confidence
Over 1.5 goals
✗
87% confidence
Botafogo win
✓
85% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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