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Mattia Croci-Torti
FC Lugano
NSÍ Runavík
FC Lugano
3-4-1-2 · 5-4-1
NSÍ Runavík
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
48381 EUR · live
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
95.8%
-3.2 vs price
Draw
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
2.8%
+2.7 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
1.5%
+1.4 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
113497 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
83.2%
-15.8 vs price
Over
27.0 · implied 3.7%
16.8%
+13.1 vs price
9 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Player of the match
Match events
7'
⚽
E. Pihlstrom · assist Y. Cimignani1–0
Half-time · 1–0
61'
🔁
A. Grgić ◂ A. Kendouci
61'
🔁
D. Moncada ◂ D. Dos Santos
72'
🔁
A. Papadopoulos ◂ Y. Cimignani
77'
🔁
T. Hestad ◂ M. Przybylski
79'
⚽
K. Behrens · assist M. Zanotti2–0
82'
🔁
B. Castro ◂ E. Pihlstrom
85'
🔁
M. Danielsen ◂ M. Lindh
Full-time · 2–0
Coaches
Mattia Croci-TortiSigurdur Ragnar Eyjolfsson 
Recent form
FC LuganoWAGrasshopper Club Zürich4-1
WADukagjini5-1
WHFC Vaduz2-1
WHDukagjini1-0
LHFC Vaduz1-2
NSÍ RunavíkWAFC Koper3-1
LHFC Koper0-2
WAĦamrun Spartans FC2-1
DHĦamrun Spartans FC1-1
LAHJK0-5
Match facts
Stadium
AIL Arena
City
Lugano
Referee
Viktor Kopievskiy
Kickoff
06 Aug, 18:30 UTC
Competition
Conference League
FC Lugano
3-4-1-2 · 5-4-1
NSÍ Runavík
16
D. von Ballmoos
6.9
46
M. Zanotti
9.2
4
D. Kelvin
7.3
3
H. Delcroix
7.9
6
A. Papadopoulos
6.8
↑ 72'
8
A. Grgić
7.6
↑ 61'
30
D. Moncada
6.3
↑ 61'
22
B. Castro
6.4
↑ 82'
25
U. Bislimi
7.2
11
R. Steffen
8.0
91
K. Behrens
6.9
13
T. Amos
9.0
5
A. F. Elisson
6.8
12
F. Drinic
6.3
4
D. Obbekjær
6.6
3
V. Davidsen
7.0
17
J. Benjaminsen
7.1
28
M. Danielsen
6.5
↑ 85'
6
B. Nolsøe
6.8
29
E. Joensen
6.6
9
T. Hestad
6.4
↑ 77'
2
S. Skytte
6.2
Substitutes
28GF. Gebhardt
39GA. Ndiaye
17DL. Mai
18DJ. Bichsel
44DCarbone
24ME. Pihlstrom↓ 82'7.8
14MA. Kendouci↓ 61'7.5
21MY. Cimignani↓ 72'7.5
27MD. Dos Santos↓ 61'7.0
23MG. Ajdin
32FN. Puddu
33FC. Raffa
Coach: Mattia Croci-Torti
Substitutes
1GK. Joensen
30GD. Danielsen
22DJ. Tróndargjógv
11MM. Lindh↓ 85'6.5
33MM. Przybylski↓ 77'6.4
10FK. Olsen
Coach: Sigurdur Ragnar Eyjolfsson
Top stats
69%Possession31%
0.0Expected goals (xG, estimated)0.0
31Total shots5
9Shots on target1
2Big chances0
15Corners3
Shots
13Shots off target2
9Blocked shots2
22Shots inside box3
9Shots outside box2
2Hit woodwork0
1Big chances scored0
1Big chances missed0
Attack
48Touches in box8
53Final third entries45
3Free kicks16
1Fouled in final third1
Passing
589Passes273
533Accurate passes202
16/26 (62%)Long balls21/68 (31%)
16/50 (32%)Crosses2/15 (13%)
17Throw-ins10
Duels
49Duels51
16/42 (38%)Ground duels26/42 (62%)
21/33 (64%)Aerial duels12/33 (36%)
5/9 (56%)Dribbles5/9 (56%)
3Dispossessed4
Defending
8Tackles7
75Tackles won71
6Interceptions6
21Clearances47
52Recoveries34
Discipline
16Fouls3
Goalkeeping
1Saves6
0Big saves1
6Goal kicks20
1Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 16 bookmakers
1X2Lugano to win 85% · 1.22 @ 1xBet
Who winsLugano to win (DNB) 94% · 1.03 @ Betano
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 67% · 1.40 @ Novibet
BTTSBTTS: No 61% · 1.58 @ Novibet
CornersOver 9.5 corners 55% · 1.75 @ 888Sport
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 85% · 1.12 @ Betano
CornersOver 8.5 corners 67% · 1.44 @ 888Sport
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 55% · 1.74 @ Novibet
1X2Draw 11% · 14.26 @ Pinnacle
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 52% · 1.90 @ Bet365
1X2NSÍ Runavík to win 4% · 31.03 @ Pinnacle
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.11
FC Lugano ▲
8.40
Draw ▼
20.43
NSÍ Runavík ▲
Double Chanceconsensus
1.01
FC Lugano or Draw ▼
1.05
FC Lugano or NSÍ Runavík ▼
6.29
Draw or NSÍ Runavík ▼
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
2.36
Yes ▼
1.53
No ▲
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.01
Over 0.50
19.46
Under 0.50 ▼
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.10
Over 1.50 ▼
7.00
Under 1.50 ▲
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.38
Over 2.50 ▼
3.00
Under 2.50 ▲
Total Goals 3.50consensus
1.95
Over 3.50 ▼
1.84
Under 3.50 ▲
Total Goals 4.50consensus
2.85
Over 4.50 ▼
1.40
Under 4.50 ▲
Draw No Betconsensus
1.02
FC Lugano ▲
12.86
NSÍ Runavík ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.05
Over 5.50 ▲
10.00
Under 5.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.13
Over 6.50 ▲
5.78
Under 6.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.22
Over 7.50 ▲
3.91
Under 7.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.38
Over 8.50 ▼
2.75
Under 8.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.67
Over 9.50 ▲
2.04
Under 9.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.09
Over 10.50 ▼
1.65
Under 10.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.76
Over 11.50 ▲
1.38
Under 11.50 ▼
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
FC Lugano to win or draw
✓
96% confidence
FC Lugano to avoid defeat
✓
94% confidence
Over 1.5 goals
✓
85% confidence
FC Lugano win
✓
85% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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