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Gurban Gurbanov
Qarabağ FK
Dynamo Kyiv
Qarabağ FK
4-2-1-3 · 4-2-3-1
Dynamo Kyiv
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
382155 EUR · live
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
88.6%
-10.4 vs price
Draw
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
6.3%
+6.2 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
5.1%
+5.0 vs price
Half time
2197 EUR · live
Home
1.18 · implied 84.7%
85.9%
+1.1 vs price
Away
80.0 · implied 1.2%
9.9%
+8.6 vs price
Draw
6.8 · implied 14.7%
4.1%
-10.6 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
539021 EUR · live
Under
1.03 · implied 97.1%
90.2%
-6.9 vs price
Over
34.0 · implied 2.9%
9.9%
+6.9 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
4347 EUR · live
Under
1.09 · implied 91.7%
94.3%
+2.5 vs price
Over
10.0 · implied 10.0%
5.7%
-4.3 vs price
12 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Match events
12'
⚽
J. Mouaddib · assist M. Silva1–0
29'
V. Dubinchak · Unsporting behaviour
Half-time · 1–0
45'+4
M. Ponomarenko · Foul
62'
B. Huseynov · Foul
69'
⚽
O. Kashchuk · assist E. Cafarquliyev2–0
72'
🔁
O. Tymchyk ◂ E. Guerrero
72'
🔁
M. Shaparenko ◂ J. Lonwijk
72'
🔁
V. Kabaiev ◂ B. Redushko
72'
🔁
R. Cephas ◂ K. Borges
72'
🔁
M. Qurbanlı ◂ J. Mouaddib
72'
🔁
B. Langa ◂ E. Cafarquliyev
79'
🔁
S. Ogundana ◂ V. Dubinchak
80'
🔁
S. Lobato ◂ A. Zoubir
83'
🔁
V. Buyalskiy ◂ V. Rubchynskyi
88'
🔁
J. Montiel ◂ O. Kashchuk
Full-time · 2–0
Coaches
Gurban GurbanovIhor Kostiuk 
Recent form
Qarabağ FKLADynamo Kyiv0-1
DACSKA Sofia0-0
DHCSKA Sofia0-0
WAIF Vestri3-0
WHIF Vestri3-0
Dynamo KyivWHQarabağ FK1-0
LAPAOK0-2
LHPAOK2-3
DAFC Universitatea Cluj0-0
WARadomiak Radom4-2
Match facts
Stadium
Tofiq Bəhramov
City
Baku
Kickoff
13 Aug, 16:00 UTC
Competition
Conference League
Highlights & clips
Qarabağ FK
4-2-1-3 · 4-2-3-1
Dynamo Kyiv
23
M. Zlomislić
2
M. Silva
4
B. Várkonyi
55
B. Huseynov
5
B. Langa
↑ 72'
35
P. Bicalho
8
M. Janković
22
M. Qurbanlı
↑ 72'
29
R. Cephas
↑ 72'
9
J. Montiel
↑ 88'
88
S. Lobato
↑ 80'
71
V. Surkis
5
O. Sych
40
K. Bilovar
32
T. Mykhavko
16
S. Ogundana
↑ 79'
6
V. Brazhko
29
V. Buyalskiy
↑ 83'
18
O. Tymchyk
↑ 72'
10
M. Shaparenko
↑ 72'
22
V. Kabaiev
↑ 72'
11
M. Ponomarenko
Top stats
74%Possession26%
1.77Expected goals (xG, estimated)1.74
1Shots on target0
1Corners0
Shots
2Shots off target0
0Blocked shots0
Attack
0Offsides1
6Free kicks2
Passing
3Throw-ins2
Discipline
1Fouls4
0Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
Goalkeeping
0Goal kicks2
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 19 bookmakers
CornersOver 9.5 corners 53% · 1.80 @ Betway
CornersOver 8.5 corners 64% · 1.50 @ Betway
Who winsQarabağ to win (DNB) 65% · 1.42 @ Pinnacle
1X2Qarabağ to win 50% · 1.91 @ William Hill
BTTSBoth teams to score 54% · 1.80 @ Bet365
1X2Draw 26% · 3.80 @ Marathon
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 52% · 1.95 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 75% · 1.30 @ Bet365
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 69% · 1.40 @ Pinnacle
1X2Dynamo Kyiv to win 24% · 4.00 @ Novibet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 59% · 1.73 @ Bet365
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.87
Qarabağ FK ▲
3.35
Draw ▼
3.77
Dynamo Kyiv ▼
Double Chanceconsensus
1.23
Qarabağ FK or Draw ▲
1.22
Qarabağ FK or Dynamo Kyiv ▼
1.81
Draw or Dynamo Kyiv ▼
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.74
Yes ▼
2.00
No ▼
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.04
Over 0.50
9.95
Under 0.50 ▼
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.27
Over 1.50 ▲
3.55
Under 1.50 ▼
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.84
Over 2.50 ▲
1.89
Under 2.50 ▼
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.30
Over 3.50 ▲
1.33
Under 3.50 ▼
Total Goals 4.50consensus
6.40
Over 4.50 ▲
1.12
Under 4.50 ▼
Draw No Betconsensus
1.40
Qarabağ FK ▲
2.49
Dynamo Kyiv ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.05
Over 5.50
10.00
Under 5.50
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.11
Over 6.50 ▼
5.90
Under 6.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.22
Over 7.50 ▼
3.76
Under 7.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.43
Over 8.50 ▼
2.59
Under 8.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.74
Over 9.50
1.95
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.21
Over 10.50
1.57
Under 10.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.94
Over 11.50 ▼
1.35
Under 11.50 ▲
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.9%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.9%.
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