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Rodolfo Arruabarrena
Boca Juniors
Recoleta FC
Boca Juniors
4-3-3 · 4-4-2
Recoleta FC
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
511767 EUR · live
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
92.9%
-6.1 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
4.5%
+4.4 vs price
Draw
990.0 · implied 0.1%
2.6%
+2.5 vs price
Half time
14648 EUR · live
Away
1.01 · implied 99.0%
67.1%
-31.9 vs price
Home
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
27.3%
+27.2 vs price
Draw
100.0 · implied 1.0%
5.5%
+4.5 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
82625 EUR · live
Over
1.09 · implied 91.7%
57.0%
-34.8 vs price
Under
13.0 · implied 7.7%
43.0%
+35.3 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
28629 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
91.4%
-7.6 vs price
Over
70.0 · implied 1.4%
8.6%
+7.2 vs price
15 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
5'
⚽
P. Ríos0–1
33'
J. Franco · Argument
Half-time · 0–1
45'+2
W. Baez · Violent conduct
45'+2
VAR
Card check · W. Baez
46'
🔁
J. Espinola ◂ J. Franco
46'
🔁
O. Barreto ◂ P. Charpentier
46'
🔁
S. Villa ◂ L. Blanco
49'
⚽
S. Ascacíbar · assist S. Villa1–1
51'
⚽
M. Delgado · assist S. Villa2–1
57'
🔁
F. Galeano ◂ R. Dominguez
59'
A. Costa · Foul
60'
D. Mosquera · Foul
62'
⚽
L. Flores · assist M. Merentiel3–1
69'
D. Mosquera · Foul
72'
🔁
L. Monzón ◂ A. Gonzalez
72'
🔁
M. Pellegrino ◂ A. Costa
82'
🔁
K. Zenón ◂ L. Flores
84'
🔁
H. López ◂ P. Ríos
89'
🔁
Á. Romero ◂ S. Ascacíbar
Full-time · 3–1
Coaches
Rodolfo ArruabarrenaJorge González 
Recent form
Boca JuniorsDHVélez Sarsfield1-1
WHEstudiantes de La Plata1-0
DANewell's Old Boys2-2
LAO'Higgins0-1
LADeportivo Riestra0-3
Recoleta FCWASan Lorenzo1-0
DADeportivo Cuenca2-2
DHSantos1-1
DHDeportivo Cuenca0-0
DASantos1-1
Where to watch
DIRECTV Sports
Disney+ Premium Chile
Paramount+
Disney+ Premium Chile
Sportdigital FUSSBALLSportdigital+
M+ Liga de Campeones
Arena Sport 1 HR
Como
Disney+ Premium Chile
Sport TV2
beIN SportsbeIN Sports en EspañolfuboTV
Match facts
Stadium
Estadio Tomas Adolfo Duco
City
Buenos Aires
Kickoff
11 Aug, 22:00 UTC
Competition
Copa Sudamericana
Highlights & clips
Boca Juniors
4-3-3 · 4-4-2
Recoleta FC
1
Á. Montero
6.7
17
L. Lozano
7.4
2
L. D. Lollo
6.8
26
M. Pellegrino
6.8
↑ 72'
22
S. Villa
8.8
↑ 46'
18
M. Delgado
8.8
5
L. Paredes
8.7
11
Á. Romero
↑ 89'
21
K. Zenón
6.4
↑ 82'
16
M. Merentiel
6.3
10
T. Aranda
7.9
12
N. Ferreira
6.6
15
B. Medina
6.0
5
N. Marotta
7.0
3
L. Cardozo
6.7
25
D. Mosquera
5.7
17
W. Baez
5.7
6
J. Espinola
5.9
↑ 46'
8
F. Galeano
6.4
↑ 57'
19
H. López
6.7
↑ 84'
22
O. Barreto
6.2
↑ 46'
32
L. Monzón
6.9
↑ 72'
Substitutes
12GL. Brey
3DL. Blanco↓ 46'6.9
32DA. Costa↓ 72'6.5
24DD. Gorosito
27DM. Braida
4DN. Figal
25MS. Ascacíbar↓ 89'7.6
20MA. Velasco
23MC. R. Domenech
7MC. Palacios
8MT. Belmonte
19FL. Flores↓ 82'10.0
Coach: Rodolfo Arruabarrena
Top stats
77%Possession23%
4.52Expected goals (xG)0.63
39Total shots6
8Shots on target3
4Big chances1
8Corners1
Shots
23Shots off target1
8Blocked shots2
23Shots inside box3
16Shots outside box3
3Hit woodwork0
2Big chances scored0
2Big chances missed1
-0.3Goals prevented-1.14
Attack
68Touches in box11
108Final third entries28
1Offsides0
9Free kicks9
4Fouled in final third0
Passing
735Passes216
669Accurate passes137
18/27 (67%)Long balls15/50 (30%)
13/38 (34%)Crosses3/6 (50%)
26Throw-ins13
Duels
53Duels47
38/73 (52%)Ground duels35/73 (48%)
12/22 (55%)Aerial duels10/22 (45%)
15/28 (54%)Dribbles7/14 (50%)
6Dispossessed8
Defending
15Tackles19
47Tackles won58
12Interceptions10
10Clearances47
59Recoveries46
Discipline
9Fouls9
1Yellow cards3
0Red cards2
Goalkeeping
2Saves5
0Goal kicks21
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 24 bookmakers
1X2Boca Juniors to win 76% · 1.23 @ Bwin
Who winsBoca Juniors to win (DNB) 89% · 1.05 @ Bet365
BTTSBTTS: No 63% · 1.50 @ 888Sport
CornersOver 8.5 corners 61% · 1.55 @ Interwetten
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 53% · 1.70 @ Bwin
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 75% · 1.22 @ Bwin
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 69% · 1.53 @ Betway
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 61% · 1.73 @ Bet365
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 50% · 1.99 @ Pinnacle
1X2Draw 16% · 8.00 @ Bet365
1X2Recoleta to win 8% · 19.50 @ Betano
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.17
Boca Juniors ▼
6.88
Draw ▲
15.45
Recoleta FC ▲
Double Chanceconsensus
1.02
Boca Juniors or Draw ▼
1.10
Boca Juniors or Recoleta FC ▼
4.77
Draw or Recoleta FC ▲
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
2.56
Yes ▲
1.46
No ▼
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.03
Over 0.50
12.85
Under 0.50 ▲
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.19
Over 1.50 ▼
4.53
Under 1.50 ▲
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.60
Over 2.50 ▼
2.30
Under 2.50 ▲
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.51
Over 3.50 ▼
1.50
Under 3.50 ▲
Total Goals 4.50consensus
4.40
Over 4.50 ▼
1.20
Under 4.50 ▲
Draw No Betconsensus
1.04
Boca Juniors ▼
11.29
Recoleta FC ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
1.01
Over 4.50
12.25
Under 4.50
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.05
Over 5.50
8.00
Under 5.50
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.14
Over 6.50
4.90
Under 6.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.27
Over 7.50
3.37
Under 7.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.48
Over 8.50 ▼
2.46
Under 8.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.81
Over 9.50 ▼
1.89
Under 9.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.30
Over 10.50 ▼
1.54
Under 10.50 ▲
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
Boca Juniors to win or draw
✓
92% confidence
Boca Juniors to avoid defeat
✓
89% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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