Boca Juniors vs Estudiantes de La Plata — live & stats

Where the money is

965167 EUR matched · captured 1 month, 1 week ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 284333 EUR · live

Home 1.01 · implied 99.0%

87.0%

-12.0 vs price

Draw 110.0 · implied 0.9%

7.5%

+6.6 vs price

Away 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

5.5%

+5.4 vs price

Half time 2594 EUR · live

Home 3.9 · implied 25.6%

42.7%

+17.0 vs price

Draw 1.61 · implied 62.1%

33.9%

-28.2 vs price

Away 10.5 · implied 9.5%

23.4%

+13.8 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 159490 EUR · live

Under 1.01 · implied 99.0%

88.1%

-10.9 vs price

Over 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

11.9%

+11.8 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 7157 EUR · live

Under 1.02 · implied 98.0%

90.3%

-7.7 vs price

Over 48.0 · implied 2.1%

9.7%

+7.6 vs price

14 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 1 clip

Player of the match

Match events

Half-time · 1–0

45'⁺¹ ⚽ S. Ascacíbar · assist L. Blanco1–0

56' E. Piovi · Foul

60' 🔁 B. Aguirre ◂ J. Tobio Burgos

60' 🔁 E. Cetré ◂ F. Pérez

67' 🔁 S. Villa ◂ M. Merentiel

68' 🔁 G. Neves ◂ T. Palacios

68' 🔁 F. Farías ◂ A. Castro

74' L. Flores · Foul

78' G. Neves · Foul

80' 🔁 A. Velasco ◂ T. Aranda

85' 🔁 C. R. Domenech ◂ L. Paredes

85' 🔁 K. Zenón ◂ L. Flores

86' 🔁 L. Alario ◂ E. Piovi

Full-time · 1–0

90' G. Benedetti · Foul

Coaches

Rodolfo Arruabarrena

Alexander Medina

Recent form

Boca Juniors

DANewell's Old Boys2-2

LAO'Higgins0-1

LADeportivo Riestra0-3

WHO'Higgins1-0

WHAthletico1-0

Estudiantes de La Plata

WHDefensa y Justicia3-0

LHCA Independiente0-2

WHIndependiente Medellín1-0

LAFlamengo0-1

LHRacing Club0-1

Where to watch

Disney+ Premium ArgentinaMax ArgentinaTNT Sports ArgentinaViX

Match facts

Stadium

Alberto Jose Armando

City

Buenos Aires

Referee

Nazareno Arasa

5.08 yellows/match · 36 matches

Kickoff

05 Aug, 22:00 UTC

Competition

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Highlights & clips

Boca Juniors 4-1-4-1 · 4-2-3-1 Estudiantes de La Plata

1 Á. Montero 8.0 17 L. Lozano 7.1 2 L. D. Lollo 7.5 26 M. Pellegrino 6.9 3 L. Blanco 8.1 23 C. R. Domenech 6.7 ↑ 85' 21 K. Zenón 6.7 ↑ 85' 25 S. Ascacíbar 7.4 18 M. Delgado 7.3 20 A. Velasco 6.4 ↑ 80' 22 S. Villa 6.5 ↑ 67' 1 F. Iacovich 6.6 20 E. Meza 6.8 4 S. Núñez 7.5 8 G. Neves 6.7 ↑ 68' 13 G. Benedetti 6.3 21 E. Piovi 7.4 11 F. Farías 6.9 ↑ 68' 28 B. Aguirre 6.7 ↑ 60' 27 L. Alario 6.4 ↑ 86' 18 E. Cetré 6.5 ↑ 60' 9 G. Carrillo 6.9

Substitutes

12GL. Brey 32DA. Costa 27DM. Braida 24DD. Gorosito 4DN. Figal 5ML. Paredes↓ 85'7.9 10MT. Aranda↓ 80'6.7 15MW. Alarcón 16FM. Merentiel↓ 67'6.7 19FL. Flores↓ 85'6.7 9FM. Giménez 11FÁ. Romero

Coach: Rodolfo Arruabarrena

Substitutes

12GR. Borzone 26DR. Funes Mori 36DJ. Pereyra 40DE. Mancuso 22MA. Castro↓ 68'6.9 29MF. Pérez↓ 60'6.4 17MJ. Tobio Burgos↓ 60'6.3 24MT. Palacios↓ 68'6.0 10MT. Palacios↓ 68'6.0 52MB. Kociubinski 7MJ. Sosa 19FA. Gaich

Coach: Alexander Medina

Top stats

61%Possession39%

1.02Expected goals (xG)0.38

12Total shots8

2Shots on target4

2Big chances1

5Corners2

Shots

4Shots off target3

6Blocked shots1

7Shots inside box5

5Shots outside box3

0Hit woodwork0

1Big chances scored0

1Big chances missed1

0.78Goals prevented-0.34

Attack

28Touches in box18

77Final third entries54

2Offsides0

11Free kicks16

2Fouled in final third0

Passing

609Passes381

528Accurate passes305

32/59 (54%)Long balls23/49 (47%)

1/24 (4%)Crosses4/20 (20%)

17Throw-ins14

Duels

45Duels55

37/81 (46%)Ground duels44/81 (54%)

11/25 (44%)Aerial duels14/25 (56%)

6/14 (43%)Dribbles10/22 (45%)

10Dispossessed9

Defending

21Tackles18

71Tackles won67

5Interceptions14

23Clearances29

57Recoveries52

Discipline

16Fouls11

1Yellow cards3

Goalkeeping

4Saves1

10Goal kicks9

1Punches0

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 72 bookmakers

Boca Juniors 47%

31%

Estudiantes 22%

GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 65% · 1.54 @ betfair

BTTSBTTS: No 59% · 1.71 @ betfair

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 82% · 1.19 @ Unibet

Who winsBoca Juniors to win (DNB) 66% · 1.50 @ merkurxtip

1X2Draw 31% · 2.30 @ tipico

1X2Boca Juniors to win 47% · 2.52 @ merkurxtip

CornersUnder 9.5 corners 57% · 1.73 @ Bet365

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 67% · 1.45 @ Betway

CornersOver 8.5 corners 55% · 1.74 @ Novibet

1X2Estudiantes to win 22% · 5.30 @ fonbet

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 61% · 1.60 @ betfair

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

1.91

Boca Juniors

3.08

Draw

4.47

Estudiantes de La Plata

Double Chanceconsensus

1.19

Boca Juniors or Draw

1.34

Boca Juniors or Estudiantes de La Plata

1.81

Draw or Estudiantes de La Plata

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

2.26

Yes

1.57

No

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.11

Over 0.50 ▼

6.40

Under 0.50 ▲

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.52

Over 1.50

2.40

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

2.61

Over 2.50

1.45

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

5.18

Over 3.50

1.13

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

10.81

Over 4.50 ▼

1.04

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.34

Boca Juniors

3.04

Estudiantes de La Plata

Total Corners (O/U) 3.50consensus

14.25

Under 3.50

Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus

1.03

Over 4.50

9.90

Under 4.50

Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus

1.08

Over 5.50 ▼

6.49

Under 5.50 ▲

Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus

1.19

Over 6.50 ▼

4.07

Under 6.50 ▲

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.39

Over 7.50 ▲

2.74

Under 7.50 ▼

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.69

Over 8.50 ▲

2.05

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

2.13

Over 9.50 ▲

1.63

Under 9.50 ▼

Full odds via API →

Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.

Under 3.5 goals

✓

82% confidence

A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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