Sarmiento vs Independiente Rivadavia — preview

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Liga Profesional de Fútbol ·Mon 03 Aug

Sarmiento

19:45UTC

Upcoming

Independiente Rivadavia

Estadio Eva Perón, Junin · Ref: Pablo Echavarria

Coaches

Facundo Sava

Alfredo Berti

Injuries & suspensions

Sarmiento

J. Godoy

Cruciate Ligament Injury · back 2026-08-20

injured

Recent form

Sarmiento

LABanfield2-3

LHArgentinos Juniors2-3

LAClub Atlético Belgrano0-4

WHTigre1-0

LARosario Central1-2

Independiente Rivadavia

WHHuracán2-1

DAAtlético Tucumán0-0

WABolívar3-1

WADeportivo La Guaira4-2

LHClub Atlético Unión de Santa Fe1-2

Where to watch

Disney+ Premium ChileTyC Sports Internacional

Match facts

Stadium

Estadio Eva Perón

City

Junin

Referee

Pablo Echavarria

Kickoff

03 Aug, 19:45 UTC

Competition

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 34 bookmakers

Sarmiento 27%

31%

Ind. Rivadavia 42%

Who winsInd. Rivadavia to win (DNB) 60% · 1.58 @ Betsson

GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 61% · 1.56 @ 1xBet

1X2Ind. Rivadavia to win 42% · 2.30 @ Betano

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 80% · 1.19 @ Betano

BTTSBTTS: No 55% · 1.75 @ 888Sport

1X2Draw 31% · 3.10 @ Bwin

CornersUnder 9.5 corners 58% · 1.66 @ Pinnacle

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 68% · 1.40 @ Unibet

CornersOver 8.5 corners 54% · 1.75 @ Interwetten

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 64% · 1.54 @ Unibet

1X2Sarmiento to win 27% · 3.80 @ Bet365

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

3.47

Sarmiento ▲

2.98

Draw ▼

2.24

Independiente Rivadavia ▼

Double Chanceconsensus

1.61

Sarmiento or Draw ▲

1.36

Sarmiento or Independiente Rivadavia ▼

1.29

Draw or Independiente Rivadavia ▼

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

2.04

Yes ▲

1.70

No ▼

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.11

Over 0.50 ▲

6.80

Under 0.50 ▼

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.48

Over 1.50 ▲

2.60

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

2.48

Over 2.50

1.52

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

4.63

Over 3.50 ▼

1.18

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

9.62

Over 4.50 ▼

1.04

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

2.35

Sarmiento ▲

1.55

Independiente Rivadavia ▼

Total Corners (O/U) 3.50consensus

14.25

Under 3.50

Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus

1.03

Over 4.50

9.90

Under 4.50

Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus

1.08

Over 5.50

6.23

Under 5.50

Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus

1.21

Over 6.50 ▲

3.87

Under 6.50 ▼

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.41

Over 7.50 ▲

2.68

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.72

Over 8.50

2.01

Under 8.50 ▼

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

2.18

Over 9.50 ▲

1.61

Under 9.50

Full odds via API →

1.0 – 1.7Expected goals

1-1Most likely score

~9Expected corners

No bet in this match — nothing offers both a real edge and a worthwhile price. The full breakdown is below for the curious.

Every market recommended rows highlighted

Our call	How likely	Bookmakers say	Their odds	Price check	Confidence
Ind. Rivadavia to win (DNB)Who wins	60%	60%	1.55	Overpriced	medium
Under 2.5 goalsGoals	61%	62%	1.5	Overpriced	medium
Ind. Rivadavia to win1X2	42%	42%	2.24	Overpriced	low
Under 3.5 goalsGoals	80%	80%	1.17	Overpriced	high
BTTS: NoBTTS	55%	55%	1.7	Overpriced	low
Draw1X2	31%	31%	2.98	Overpriced	low
Under 9.5 cornersCorners	58%	58%	1.61	Overpriced	low
Under 10.5 cornersCorners	68%	68%	1.35	Overpriced	medium
Over 8.5 cornersCorners	54%	54%	1.72	Overpriced	low
Over 1.5 goalsGoals	64%	64%	1.47	Fair	medium
Sarmiento to win1X2	27%	27%	3.47	Overpriced	low

Where we disagree most with the bookmakers: Over 2.5 goals — we say 52%, they say 38%.

Probability vs league average

Market	This match	League avg	Diff	More likely?
Over 1.5 goals	64%	63%	+1%	Yes
Over 2.5 goals	39%	35%	+4%	Yes
Over 3.5 goals	20%	14%	+6%	Yes
Both teams to score	45%	44%	+1%	Yes
Home win	27%	44%	-17%	No
Draw	31%	29%	+2%	Yes
Away win	42%	27%	+15%	Yes

How to read this: "72% · high" means we expect it to happen about 72 times out of 100 — football always keeps the rest. "Worth it above X" is the minimum odds where the pick makes mathematical sense; "Overpriced" means the bookmaker pays less than that. Not betting advice — no outcome is guaranteed.

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